In my opinion Chicago Fire has excellent chances to make at least one point in today's match.

Chicago came for this game without any fear as they didn't lost against New England Revolution in last 5 consecutive matches.

For me is very hard to trust New England Revolution. They lost all 4 matches in current season of MLS. Team is without any stability or consistency at the back - they conceded 10 goals in 4 games. Also according to the expected goals conceded model, it's the worst defensive formation in whole league. I can't imagine big improvement today - hosts are without first goalkeeper Ravas (4 matches). They are also without key midfielder Buck (3 matches )and winger Bajraktarevic (4 matches). In addition to that they are probably without other 4 key players: Kaye (3 matches), Nacho Gil (4 matches), Carles Gil (top scorer) and Polster (3 matches). It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on hosts performance.

On the other hand, Chicago with only on absence - winger Shaqiri is unavailable (4 matches & 1 goal). Guests' are in much better mood as they won in last round against Montreal. Chicago don't have any problems with goalscoring as they scored 8 goals in 4 matches. They should be able to score some goals against unstable defensive formation of today's opponents.

In those circumstances I see excellent value on the away side.

在我看来，芝加哥火队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

芝加哥来参加这场比赛没有任何恐惧，因为他们在过去的5场比赛中没有输过新英格兰革命。

对我来说很难相信新英格兰革命。他们输掉了本赛季MLS的4场比赛。球队后防线缺乏稳定性和稳定性，他们在4场比赛中丢了10球。此外，根据预期失球模型，这是整个联赛中最糟糕的防守阵型。我无法想象今天会有什么大的进步——东道主没有第一门将拉瓦斯(4场比赛)。主力中场巴克(3场比赛)和边锋巴杰拉塔雷维奇(4场比赛)也缺阵。除此之外，他们可能没有其他4名关键球员:Kaye(3场比赛)，Nacho Gil(4场比赛)，Carles Gil(最佳射手)和Polster(3场比赛)。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对主机的性能产生非常坏的影响。

另一方面，芝加哥队只有一人缺阵，边锋沙奇里缺阵(4场比赛1球)。客人们在上一轮战胜蒙特利尔后心情好多了。芝加哥在进球方面没有任何问题，他们在4场比赛中进了8个球。面对今天对手不稳定的防守阵型，他们应该能够进一些球。

在这种情况下，我看到了客场的巨大价值。