PSV Eindhoven VS FC Twente Enschede

PSV welcome Twente for Dutch Eredivisie A round 26 battle at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven early Monday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty high by European standards. However, the differences in pure class between the top and bottom teams are huge.. My fans and I can expect a match of top-quality by this league's standards here. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that PSV are the stronger team here. They have an edge over Twente in all areas of the game. The key question for a professional bettor here is: How much better are they? PSV have been impressive in this league so far, no denying this. However, they have also, as a result, become way too hot on the betting market! They have a fine 69 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 62.34. They have netted the ball 80 times in Eredivisie but their number of expected goals (xG) is still much lower. Even so, they do have big firepower. Twente, however, have a solid defence - they organize in a very organized way and silly mistakes are few. They have allowed only 24 goals. PSV have conceded 13 but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 17.32.

PSV have won just one of their last five games with a margin of two (or more) goals. This win came against Zwolle on the road in round 23. Zwolle are a small team and PSV were huge favourites in this match, priced around 1.20 to win by the bookies. 1-7 was the final score and xG numbers were 0.63-3.12. The odds of around 1.40 offered on the home win by the biggest bookies are way too low here. We will take the Twente +1.5 goals handicap option here. Odds of around 1.75 are widely available and the chance to win - once again - is 63.50%. I expect Twente to defend hard here and they would be happy with a point..  I trust their great coach in terms of (defensive) tactics a lot here! The goal expectancy is lower than the bookies estimate. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 44%. We must not forget PSV lost to Dortmund 0-2 in the UEFA Champions League 2nd leg in Germany on Wednesday. This must be a huge disappointment for them as the bookies saw this match up in terms of qualification as more or less a coin toss without a favourite. The first leg was a 1-1 draw. Dortmund were clearly the better team at home and deserved to qualify! Based on my 23 years of professional football betting it is often hard even for the top-teams to be 100% mentally and physically ready for a domestic league game right after a big international game – especially if the game was lost.. Twente have also had a week to prepare for this game so they are better rested for sure.. Before losing to Dortmund PSV beat G.A Eagles 1-0 away from home as big favourites but failed to truly impress me.. The hosts, too, had their chances – recording 12 goal attempts. Twente have been in fine form lately – winning five of their last games! They are in 3rd place with a strong 53 points in their pocket and still have a small chance of toppling Feyenoord, 3rd place with 59 points. Twente have won three games in a row and were excellent in their last match – beating Sparta Rotterdam 2-1. They dominated the game - recording 19 goal attempts. Moreover, Twente generated 1.79 in xG – Sparta managed only 0.10! Before this they defeated Vitesse on the road – generating much more in xG – 2.45-0.29 to be precise!

埃因霍温VS特温特恩斯赫德

北京时间周一凌晨，埃因霍温的飞利浦球场将迎来荷甲第26轮对特温特的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相当高的。然而，顶级和低端球队之间的纯粹等级差异是巨大的。我和我的球迷可以期待一场以联盟标准衡量的高质量比赛。毫无疑问，埃因霍温在这里是一支更强的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都比特温特有优势。对于一个职业赌徒来说，关键问题是:他们到底好多少?到目前为止，埃因霍温在联赛中的表现令人印象深刻，这是不可否认的。然而，他们也因此在博彩市场上变得太热了!他们的账户上有69分的罚款，但他们的预期分数(xPTS)“只有”62.34分。他们在荷甲联赛中有80次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然要低得多。即便如此，他们也有强大的火力。然而，特文特有坚实的防守——他们组织得很有条理，很少犯愚蠢的错误。他们只丢了24个球。埃因霍温丢了13球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是17.32。

埃因霍温在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场，并且两球以上。这场胜利是在第23轮客场对阵兹沃勒的比赛中取得的。兹沃勒是一支小球队，而埃因霍温是这场比赛的大热门，博彩公司开出的赔率在1.20左右。1-7为最终比分，xG数为0.63-3.12。最大的博彩公司在主场获胜的赔率约为1.40，这在这里太低了。我们将采用特温特+1.5进球障碍选项。1.75左右的赔率随处可见，而中奖的几率——再一次——是63.50%。我希望特文特在这里努力防守，他们会很高兴得到一分。在防守战术方面，我非常信任他们伟大的教练!预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低。进球少于2.5球的概率是44%。我们不能忘记周三在德国举行的欧冠第二回合比赛中，埃因霍温0-2不敌多特蒙德。这对他们来说一定是一个巨大的失望，因为博彩公司认为这场比赛在资格方面或多或少是一个没有最受欢迎的硬币投掷。第一回合是1比1战平。多特蒙德显然在主场表现更好，他们理应出线!根据我23年的职业足球赌博经验，即使是顶级球队，在一场重要的国际比赛之后，也很难在精神上和身体上为国内联赛做好100%的准备——尤其是在比赛输球的情况下。特温特也有一个星期的时间来准备这场比赛，所以他们肯定会得到更好的休息。在输给多特蒙德之前，埃因霍温主场1-0击败了老鹰队，但没能给我留下深刻印象。东道主也有机会，他们有12次射门。特文特最近状态很好，最近赢了五场!他们以53分的优势排在第三，并且还有很小的机会超越以59分排名第三的费耶诺德。特温特已经取得了三连胜，并且在上一场比赛中表现出色——2-1击败了鹿特丹斯巴达。他们在比赛中占据了主导地位，共出手19次。此外，Twente在xG中生成了1.79，而Sparta只生成了0.10!在此之前，他们击败了维特斯在路上-产生更多的xG - 2.45-0.29，准确地说!