High winning rate in this league!
2024-03-15

Borja

外籍分析师

德乙

03/16 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

After successive wins against Hannover and Hamburg (both of them lucky and undeserved), two teams fighting for promotion, Osnabruck suffered a brutal defeat on Sunday against direct competitor Kaiserslautern (undeserved last-minute 3:2-defeat). Perhaps this was the ultimate knock out for them in the relegation battle.

They are at the bottom with only 3 victories so far this season and now need a miracle, they now sit seven points behind Rostock, who occupy the relegation playoff spot. Two of Osnabruck’s three league wins this season have come at home, but no team has picked up fewer points at home (11).

Still, I respect their recent development. Despite having the worst squad in the league, they showed some good performances lately, and they brought themselves into a spot that is not as hopeless anymore as it has used to be.

But nevertheless, they are clearly inferior to Dusseldorf. Dusseldorf is technically the second-best team in 2. Bundesliga together with Hamburg and behind leaders St Pauli. Their individual quality in the offensive is outstanding with guys like Tanaka, Klaus or Tzolis who are actually all too good for 2. Bundesliga. So quality differences are truly enormous here.

Dusseldorf are also in a pretty good spot again at promotion battle and three points at Osnabruck are without any alternative for them. They have injury issues in the central defence, but Oberdorf and Siebert should form a totally solid central defence. They just have no replacements left anymore.

For Dusseldorf the promotion is almost mandatory, after finishing 4th last season they can’t fail again this year. However, they have been showing a good and competitive face against weak teams, as the majority of their defeats came against teams from the top positions.

Their attack is great with 52 goals scored in 25 games, which means the best attack in the league. Greek striker Tzolis is in great form with 14 goals scored so far, and 5 in the last 4 games with great performances. This won’t be a good deal for Osnabruck, who have conceded 49 goals and only Kaiserlautern (50) have conceded more this season in the Bundesliga 2.

The quality differences are just too large here. Osnabruck might be in a mentally different situation after this nightmare from Sunday, too. Dusseldorf are technically closer to 1. Bundesliga level, whereas Osnabruck do rather have 3. Liga level with regard to their team quality. Among normal circumstances, Dusseldorf should win this match, as I’m expecting a one-sided affair here.

Previous game in Dusseldorf finished 1:1 but totally undeserved: Fortuna dominated the whole game, controlled the match but conceded a late goal at 91’, although Osnabruck generated only 0.60 expected goals.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

后连续战胜汉诺威和汉堡(他们幸运,不当),两队争取晋升,奥斯纳布吕克周日遭受残酷的失败与直接竞争对手凯泽斯劳滕(不当最后一刻3:2-defeat)。也许这是他们在保级战中的最后一击。

本赛季到目前为止,他们只取得了3场胜利,现在他们需要一个奇迹,他们现在落后罗斯托克7分,罗斯托克占据了降级季后赛的席位。奥斯纳布吕克两三个联盟赢得本赛季已经在家里,但是家里没有团队拿起少点(11)。

尽管如此,我还是尊重他们最近的发展。尽管他们的阵容是联盟中最差的,但他们最近表现得很好,他们把自己带到了一个不再像以前那样绝望的境地。

但无论如何,他们明显不如杜塞尔多夫。杜塞尔多夫在技术上是第二好的球队。在德甲联赛中与汉堡并列,仅次于领头羊圣保利。他们在进攻端的个人能力非常出色,像田中、克劳斯和佐利斯这样的球员实际上对2号位来说都太好了。德甲。所以质量差异是巨大的。

杜塞尔多夫也再次在一个很好的地方在促销战役,三分在奥斯纳布吕克没有任何选择。他们的中卫有伤病问题,但奥伯多夫和西伯特应该能组成一个完全稳固的中卫。他们只是没有替代品了。

对于杜塞尔多夫来说,升级几乎是必须的,在上赛季排名第四之后,他们今年不能再失败了。然而,他们在面对弱队时表现出了良好的竞争力,因为他们的大部分失败都是来自排名靠前的球队。

他们的进攻很棒,在25场比赛中打进52球,这意味着他们是联赛中最好的进攻。希腊前锋佐利斯状态极佳,目前已打进14球,近4场比赛打进5球,表现出色。奥斯纳布吕克这不会是一个很好的协议,承认49球,只有Kaiserlautern(50)已经承认本赛季德甲2。

这里的质量差别太大了。奥斯纳布吕克可能在精神上不同的情况下从周日,这个噩梦后。杜塞尔多夫在技术上接近于1。联赛的水平,而奥斯纳布吕克而有3。他们的球队实力达到了西甲水平。在正常情况下,杜塞尔多夫应该赢得这场比赛,因为我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。

以前的游戏在杜塞尔多夫完成1:1但是完全不当:命运主宰整个游戏,控制了比赛,但是他承认目标在91年晚些时候,尽管奥斯纳布吕克只有0.60生成预期的目标。

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