In my opinion, Koln has a really good chance to avoid a big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on the home side looks like a solid option to play.

I believe Koln came for this game without much fear. They didn’t lose against RBL at home in the last 3 consecutive matches. In the last 7 matches between both teams, RBL recorded only 2 wins.

Obviously, RBL is still a big favorite to win this game, but if you look deeper into this game, that shouldn’t be so easy for them. They are not a convincing team on the road in the current season. RBL failed to win in 7 of 12 away league matches in the Bundesliga. In those 12 matches, only 3 times did they win with more than one goal difference. In addition to that, in 12 matches on the road, RBL kept a clean sheet only two times. They conceded 12 goals away in the current season. Koln scored 3 goals in the last round, so with such momentum on their side, they have all the required tools to make trouble for the RBL defensive formation, which is very inconsistent on the road.

Obviously, Koln is not playing a good season as they are in the relegation zone, but since Timo Schultz came to the club, improvement is visible. Koln has not lost in five of its last seven matches. During that run, Koln only once lost with more than one goal difference. That happened against the leader of the table, Leverkusen. Koln lost that game 0:2 at home, but received a red card very early (15’) and still was able to produce a solid performance. Leverkusen had 1.59 expected goals scored in that game, and Koln had 1.00.

In my opinion, Koln is able to score at least one goal, and that should be simply enough to cover the +1.5 AH line. I see a draw or small win for guests here.

在我看来，科隆在这场比赛中有很大的机会避免大损失。+1.5 AH在主队看来是个不错的选择。

我相信科隆来参加这场比赛没有太多的恐惧。他们在最近的3场比赛中没有在主场输给RBL。在两队最近的7场比赛中，RBL只取得了2场胜利。

显然，RBL仍然是赢得这场比赛的大热门，但如果你深入研究这场比赛，那对他们来说就不那么容易了。他们在本赛季的客场表现并不令人信服。在德甲联赛的12场客场比赛中，RBL有7场没有获胜。在这12场比赛中，他们只有3场胜率超过1个净胜球。除此之外，在12场客场比赛中，RBL只保持了2场零封。本赛季他们在客场丢了12个球。科隆在上一轮打进3球，所以在他们这边有这样的势头，他们有所有需要的工具来给RBL的防守阵型制造麻烦，这在路上是非常不稳定的。

显然，科隆这个赛季踢得并不好，因为他们处于降级区，但自从蒂莫·舒尔茨来到俱乐部后，进步是显而易见的。科隆队在过去七场比赛中有五场未输。在那场比赛中，科隆只有一次输球超过1个净胜球。这发生在对阵积分榜领头羊勒沃库森的比赛中。科隆在主场0:2输掉了那场比赛，但在比赛开始的第15分钟就领到了一张红牌，但他仍然能够拿出稳定的表现。勒沃库森在那场比赛中有1.59个预期进球，科隆有1.00个。

在我看来，科隆至少能进一个球，这应该足以覆盖+1.5 AH线。我认为这里的客人会有平局或小幅获胜。