In my opinion Fortuna has really good chances to make win in today's match.

First match of the season between both teams finished with draw 1:1, but that was a bit unlucky for team for Dusseldorf. Fortuna has 9 shots more, higher expected goals scored value and conceded goal in last minute. Before that, they won 4 consecutive matches against Osnabruck and in each game scored more than one goal.

I believe Fortuna have all the required tools to score more than one goal today. So far they scored 29 goals in 12 away matches. In 2024 Fortuna played 9 matches in all competitions and failed to score more than one goal only twice, when they played against leader of the table St.Pauli. Currently 5 consecutive matches with more than one goal scored. In last round Fortuna won 2:0 at home against 3rd HSV. Confidence for sure is on the highest possible level. Now only one point behind top3 and team will give absolutely everything to win this game.

According to the expected goals conceded model, only two teams are worse in the back than Osnabruck. In last round they conceded 3 goals against Kaiserslautern - team just above the relegation zone. For sure Osnabruck confidence is on very low level after such painful loss (deciding goal conceded in last minute).

I don't see easy goals for hosts. According to the expected goals scored model, Osnabruck is second-worst team in whole league. On the other hand, only two teams have lower expected goals conceded value than Fortuna in current season. For me is hard to imagine more than one goal for hosts.

It's not long trip for guests'. It's about 2 hours drive by car from Dusseldorf to Osnabruck and this is another advantage for our bet.

在我看来，福特纳在今天的比赛中有很好的获胜机会。

本赛季两队的第一场比赛以1:1结束，但这对杜塞尔多夫来说有点不幸。福尔图纳有9次射门，更高的预期进球值和最后一分钟的失球。在此之前,他们赢得了连续4场比赛对阵奥斯纳布吕克和在每一场比赛得分超过一个目标。

我相信福尔图纳今天拥有所有必要的工具，可以不止进一个球。到目前为止，他们在12场客场比赛中打进29球。2024年，福尔图纳在各项赛事中打了9场比赛，只有两次未能进球超过一球，当时他们对阵积分榜榜首的圣保利。目前连续5场比赛进球超过1个。在上一轮比赛中，Fortuna在主场2:0战胜了HSV。信心肯定是最高水平的。现在只落后前三1分，球队会尽一切努力赢得这场比赛。

根据预期的目标承认模式,只有两支球队比奥斯纳布吕克更糟的在后面。在上一轮比赛中，他们在对阵凯泽斯劳滕的比赛中丢了3球。肯定奥斯纳布吕克信心是在非常低的水平在这样痛苦的损失(在最后一分钟决定目标承认)。

我不认为东道主能轻易进球。根据预期的进球模型,奥斯纳布吕克无疑是团队在整个联盟。另一方面，只有两支球队在本赛季的预期失球值低于Fortuna。对我来说，很难想象东道主会有一个以上的目标。

对客人来说这不是长途旅行。大约2小时车程坐车从杜塞尔多夫到奥斯纳布吕克打赌,这是另一个优势。