In my opinion, Empoli has a bigger chance than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.

Empoli had a big mental advantage before this game, as they won four consecutive home matches against Bologna. Overall, Empoli's balance against today’s opponent looks great, as they went unbeaten in 9 of the last 11 matches against them.

Empoli is just one point above the relegation zone, so I’m sure the team will give absolutely everything to avoid a loss in this game. The team has made solid progress since coach Davide Nicola came to the club in January. Empoli had a streak of 6 matches without a loss (3 wins in the process). Unfortunately, in the last two rounds, they lost. 0:1 at home against Cagliari, but that wasn’t deserved at all: expected goals scored for Empoli 1.46, for Cagliari 0.57. In the last round, they lost 0:1 on the road against a strong Milan, but that wasn’t easy for Milan as they finished with only 0.84 expected goals scored. Today Empoli have all the top players available, so I believe they have all the required tools to bounce back on track in front of their home crowd.

There are two big reasons why I don’t trust Bologna in this game, and I don’t agree with the market odds. Guests’ are a poor team on the road, no doubt about that. In the current season, Bologna has failed to win 10 of their 13 away league matches. In addition to that, today they are without their best player, Zirkzee. It's a huge blow, as he is the team's best scorer and best assistant. That should have a very bad impact on guests’ performances.

In those circumstances, I see excellent value on the home side.

在我看来，恩波利有一个更大的机会比博彩公司希望我们根据他们的赔率。

恩波利在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在主场对博洛尼亚取得了四连胜。总的来说，恩波利对今天的对手的平衡看起来很好，因为他们在过去11场比赛中有9场保持不败。

恩波利只比降级区高出一分，所以我相信球队会尽一切努力避免在这场比赛中输球。自从教练大卫·尼古拉1月份来到俱乐部以来，这支球队取得了坚实的进步。恩波利连续6场不败(其中3场获胜)。不幸的是，在最后两轮，他们输了。主场0:1输给卡利亚里，但这根本不值得:恩波利的预期进球数为1.46，卡利亚里的预期进球数为0.57。在上一轮比赛中，他们在客场以0:1输给了实力强大的米兰，但这对米兰来说并不容易，因为他们只打进了0.84个预期进球。今天恩波利拥有所有的顶级球员，所以我相信他们有所有必要的工具在他们的主场球迷面前回到正轨。

我不相信博洛尼亚在这场比赛中的表现有两个主要原因，我也不同意市场的赔率。客队在客场表现不佳，这是毫无疑问的。本赛季，博洛尼亚在13场客场比赛中有10场失利。除此之外，今天他们失去了他们最好的球员Zirkzee。这是一个巨大的打击，因为他是球队最好的得分手和最佳助理。这会对客人的表演产生非常坏的影响。

在这种情况下，我认为主队很有价值。