Club Brugge VS Molde

Club Brugge KV welcome Molde for this UEFA Europa Conference 1/8-finals second leg clash at Aker Stadion very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is third-highest of UEFA's club competitions – after the legendary Champions League and Europa League. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this competition's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative betting option here! We have won six bets in a row betting in this league! Molde come from Norway – Brugge are a Belgian team. They currently occupy the third place in the Belgian Jupiler League. This is surely a disappointment for them. Indeed, they are an amazing 18 points behind Royale Union Sg and 12 points behind Anderlecht. Furthermore, they are not much better than Antwerp, Cercle Brugge, Genk and Gent.. They have 51 points in their pocket. They have not been in good form recently, losing twice, winning only two of their last six games. Moreover, they have lost four of these six matches! In their last match they beat Leuven 3-1 at home but not not fully impress me.. They were priced around 1.35 to win on the betting market. They had 53.90% ball possession and generated 1.60 in expected goals (xG). Leuven, currently in 13th place, managed 1.21. Before last week's first leg Brugge beat Genk 3-0 away from home but the final score is extremely misleading! Both teams recorded five goal attempts and the hosts even had many more attacks and dangerous attacks! Genk also generated a little more in expected goals (xG) – 1.45-1.42 to be precise. Before this Union SG beat Brugge 2-0 in a Belgian Cup battle. On the 25th of last month Brugge lost to Anderlecht 1-2 at home as very clear favourites according to the bookies – priced around 1.70 to win by the bookmakers. This was yet another example of them being overrated on the betting market!

Club Brugge are undoubtedly the better team here by pure class. However, Norwegian teams have done better than the bookmakers have expected in the past five or so years in UEFA's international games! The home advantage here is substantial and taking this factor into account – with the expected lineups Brugge are clear favourites. The biggest bookies offer Brugge odds of only around 1.40 to win.. This is, based on my strongly data-based analysis, clearly too low! Molde +1.5 goals handicap option is the professional bettor's choice here. Odds of around 1.80 are widely available with the biggest bookies that accept the largest stakes from customers. Let's not forget that Molde won the first leg 2-1 after a balanced game. Both teams had 50% ball possession and recorded four shots on target. Furthermore, both teams had 97 attacks. Brugge generated 1.13 in xG – Molde managed 1.08. In the previous round of Conference League Molde easily defeated Legia, a dangerous Polish team 6-2 on aggregate! In the first leg at home the final score was 3-2 and Molde generated more in xG - 1.89-0.89. In the second leg they crushed the Poles 3-0 - again generating more in xG – 1.67-0.79. They were priced around 4.00 to win this game by the bookies. Indeed, the bootmakers should respect them more. They do not have any stars in the squad and are on average individually not as skilled as the Brugge players. However, they play very well-organized football, have an awesome team spirit and have an awesome coach! The Norwegian Elitserien season has not started but Molde now have five competitive games under their belt after a winter break so they should improve further! They have had a week to prepare for this huge game – Brugge played last Sunday. Molde will surely defend hard here - and are unlikely to change their tactic even if they were to end up trailing by a margin of one goal. If Brugge take a 2-0 lead Molde will, of course, take more risks and have a chance to force an extra time! The goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 45.50%.

布鲁日俱乐部VS莫尔德

布鲁日KV俱乐部欢迎莫尔德参加北京时间周五凌晨在阿克球场举行的欧联杯1/8决赛次回合比赛。这是欧足联第三高的俱乐部赛事，仅次于传奇的欧冠和欧联杯。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博选择!我们在这个联赛中已经连续赢了六场了!莫尔德来自挪威——布鲁日是一支比利时球队。他们目前在比利时Jupiler联赛中排名第三。这对他们来说肯定是一个失望。事实上，他们落后皇家联盟Sg 18分，落后安德莱赫特12分。此外，他们并不比安特卫普、布鲁日、根克和根特好多少。他们现在有51分。他们最近状态不佳，输了两场，在过去的六场比赛中只赢了两场。而且，他们在这六场比赛中输了四场!在上一场比赛中，他们在主场3-1击败了鲁汶，但并没有完全打动我。在博彩市场上，他们的价格在1.35左右。他们的控球率为53.90%，预期进球(xG)为1.60。目前排名第13位的鲁汶获得了1.21分。在上周的首回合比赛之前，布鲁日客场3-0击败了亨克，但最终的比分却极具误导性!两支球队都有5次进球尝试，东道主甚至有更多的进攻和危险的进攻!Genk也产生了更多的期望进球(xG)——1.45-1.42更准确。在此之前，SG在比利时杯的比赛中以2:0击败布鲁日。上个月25日，布鲁日主场1-2不敌安德莱赫特，根据博彩公司的预测，布鲁日的夺冠概率在1.70左右。这是他们在博彩市场上被高估的又一个例子!

布鲁日俱乐部无疑是这里最优秀的球队。然而，在过去五年左右的欧足联国际比赛中，挪威球队的表现比博彩公司预期的要好!这里的主场优势是巨大的，考虑到这个因素，布鲁日的预期阵容显然是最受欢迎的。最大的博彩公司给布鲁日的赔率只有1.40左右。根据我强烈的数据分析，这显然太低了!莫尔德+1.5个进球的障碍选项是专业投注者的选择。最大的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注，赔率约为1.80。别忘了莫尔德在一场势均力敌的比赛中以2-1获胜。两队都有50%的控球率，并且有4次射正。此外，两队都有97次进攻。布鲁日在xG中生成1.13，莫尔德生成1.08。在上一轮的联盟联赛中，莫尔德以总比分6-2轻松击败了莱吉亚，一支危险的波兰球队!在首回合主场比赛中，最终比分是3-2，莫尔德在xG - 1.89-0.89创造了更多的进球。在第二回合比赛中，他们以3-0击败波兰人，并再次以1.67-0.79的比分创造了更多的进球。庄家给他们的赌价是4元左右。事实上，鞋履制造商应该更加尊重他们。他们的阵容中没有任何明星球员，而且平均个人技术也不如布鲁日的球员。然而，他们踢得很有组织，有很棒的团队精神，还有一个很棒的教练!挪威精英队的新赛季还没有开始，但是在冬歇期后，莫尔德已经有了5场正式比赛，所以他们应该进一步提高!他们有一个星期的时间来准备这场重要的比赛——布鲁日上周日的比赛。莫尔德肯定会在这里努力防守，即使他们最终落后一球，他们也不太可能改变战术。如果布鲁日以2-0领先，莫尔德当然会冒更大的风险，有机会强迫加时赛!这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低。进球数低于2.5球的概率为45.50%。