Dundee VS Aberdeen

Dundee FC welcome Aberdeen for this Scottish Premiership round 19 battle at Dens Park early Thursday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played 28 games in this league. The Premiership is, as a whole, somewhat mediocre by European standards. Two two teams from Glasgow, Rangers and Celtic, have been the two dominant teams in this league for several years already. They have much larger financial resources and better players than the other clubs. This is the situation this season as well. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising chance to increase the nice winning streak of 7/8 last picks won betting on this league! Aberdeen are undoubtedly the better team here in terms of pure class! Last season they played very well, taking third place in the end. This earned them a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification and they made it to the group stage. They eventually ended up in third place but proved their class by taking a point away from home against a strong Greek team, PAOK, who won the group! They also lost only 1-2 in Germany as gigantic underdogs on the betting market. PAOK even beat a pretty strong German Bundesliga team, Frankfurt, twice! Dundee, on the other hand, were promoted from the Championship to this level for this season..

Aberdeen are the much bigger team according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of about 14 million euros. This is, however, still too low in my expert opinion. Three of their players are undervalued. I would say that 19-20 million would be a more accurate number. The Dundee squad is valued at about seven eight which is more or less correct. This season Aberdeen have been a disappointment in the Premiership and have taken only 27 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 35.77! Indeed, most of my fans are probably aware of the fact that I never let the standings fool me! Aberdeen have scored 32 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 36.78. I have been disappointed with their defence as a whole this season, no denying that they have conceded 47 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 41.65. Their defenders have made too many silly mistakes this season for them to be able to challenge for a top-5 position. Furthermore, their midfielders should be more active in defending. Dundee's defence has been even much more leaky! They have allowed 50 goals – this is the biggest number in this league! They have scored 39 goals and their number if xG is 34.12. They are in 7th place in the standings with 33 points in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is much lower though! Many of Dundee's players have played above their normal level this season but the team have been in decline recently. They have lost twice and taken one draw in their last three games. In their last game they played a 2-2 draw at home against Kilmarnock. The match was pretty balanced as a whole. The visitors did generate a little more in xG though – 1.54-1.37. Before this they got crushed by Celtic 7-1 in Glasgow. Aberdeen took a fine 3-1 home win over Kilmarnock in their last game. Before this they were pretty lame, losing to St. Mirren 1-2 on the road. Before this they were unlucky to lose to St. Johnstone 0-2 at home. They had 54% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (17-8), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks - 59-35. Most bookies see Dundee as slim favourites here but based on my expert analysis Aberdeen are solid favourites! We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option.

邓迪VS阿伯丁

北京时间周四凌晨，邓迪足球俱乐部将在邓斯公园迎来苏格兰联赛第19轮与阿伯丁的比赛。然而，实际上两支球队都在联赛中打了28场比赛。总的来说，以欧洲的标准来看，英超联赛有些平庸。来自格拉斯哥的两支球队，流浪者队和凯尔特人队，已经在这个联赛中占据统治地位好几年了。他们比其他俱乐部有更多的财政资源和更好的球员。这也是本赛季的情况。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有希望的机会来增加7/8的连胜纪录!从纯粹的水平来看，阿伯丁无疑是这里更好的球队!上个赛季他们打得很好，最后获得了第三名。这为他们赢得了欧足联联赛资格的入场券，他们进入了小组赛阶段。他们最终以第三名的成绩结束了比赛，但在对阵强大的希腊球队PAOK的比赛中，他们拿了一分，证明了自己的实力。他们在德国的比赛中也只输了1-2，在博彩市场上被视为巨大的失败者。PAOK甚至两次击败德甲强队法兰克福!另一方面，邓迪队本赛季从英冠队升到了这个级别。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，阿伯丁的规模要大得多。事实上，这支球队的市值估计在1400万欧元左右。然而，在我的专家看来，这仍然太低了。他们的三名球员被低估了。我认为1900万到2000万是更准确的数字。邓迪队的估值约为78，这或多或少是正确的。本赛季阿伯丁在英超的表现令人失望，只拿到了27分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)是35.77!事实上，我的大多数粉丝可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!虽然阿伯丁队打进32球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)为36.78球。我对他们本赛季的整体防守感到失望，不可否认他们丢了47个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)“只有”41.65。他们的后卫本赛季犯了太多愚蠢的错误，使他们无法挑战前5名的位置。此外，他们的中场应该更积极地防守。邓迪的防守更是漏洞百出!他们丢了50个球，这是联赛中最多的!他们进了39个球，他们的数字是34.12。他们以33分的积分排在积分榜第7位。不过他们的xpt数量要低得多!邓迪的许多球员本赛季的表现都超出了他们的正常水平，但球队最近一直在走下坡路。他们在最近三场比赛中两负一平。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场2-2战平基尔马诺克。比赛总体上是相当平衡的。访问者在xG中确实产生了更多——1.54-1.37。在此之前，他们在格拉斯哥以7:1被凯尔特人击败。在上一场比赛中，阿伯丁主场3:1完胜基尔马诺克。在此之前，他们很差劲，客场1-2输给了圣米伦。在此之前，他们不幸在主场0-2输给圣约翰斯通。他们有54%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(17胜8负)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻——59胜35负。大多数博彩公司认为邓迪在这里是微弱的希望，但根据我的专家分析，阿伯丁是坚实的希望!我们将采用+0.5个目标障碍选项。