Borussia or PSV to 1/4 finals?
2024-03-13

Borja

外籍分析师

欧冠

03/14 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

This is a tie that's on a razor’s edge after finishing 1-1 in the first leg in the Netherlands. That game saw Dortmund take a 24th-minute lead through Donyell Malen before PSV talisman Luuk de Jong converted a penalty in the 56th minute to level the scores, which is how it finished. PSV dominated the game, with 14 shots to Dortmund’s eight, giving up nearly half the number of fouls and bossing possession too.

However, I felt PSV Eindhoven’s best chance of eliminating Dortmund was to win at home, and now it will be very tough to go to Germany and get the victory.

It was their former player Donyell Malen who dealt the blow by opening the scoring in the first leg, and his pace and power will again be key because defenders don’t enjoy playing against him.

Big striker Niclas Fullkrug poses a physical threat in the box, and I’m sure manager Edin Terzic will want his creators – such as Marco Reus and Julian Brandt – to provide him with opportunities. And Jadon Sancho has been featuring regularly since returning to Dortmund, so he could have an impact on the left.

Borussia are fourth in the Bundesliga, six points off third place, and unlikely to catch them. So that’s why I see them focused on the Champions League and this fixture.

PSV will want to keep Dortmund goalless for as long as possible. If they can silence the crowd, their opponents may start to feel pressure. They were better than Borussia in the first game but didn’t take advantage of that, and now will struggle a lot because Borussia is a strong home team in the UCL: beat Newcastle United and drew against PSG and AC Milan.

Johan Bakayoko’s speed on the counter will be a big weapon in this game – if Dortmund get caught in possession in the opposition half, look for PSV to play long balls to release the winger.

Luuk de Jong also has an important role to play in terms of holding the ball up and bringing others into play, particularly those that are good on the ball such as midfielders Malik Tillman and Joey Veerman, who both have the ability to unlock the Dortmund defence with key passes.

I remember PSV’s games against Sevilla in the group stage, where they achieved a very lucky win in Spain (2:3), when till 66’ they were 2:0 and totally outplayed. But Ocampos made a mistake, received a red card and PSV scored three goals in the last 25 minutes of the game, including the last one at 93’. In the Netherlands, Sevilla achieved a draw 2:2 and PSV again scored in the last minute, at 95’.

I think that PSV has been very lucky in this tournament so far. They were totally outplayed by Arsenal away (4:0) whilst at home were lucky to achieve a draw (1:1) as they saw how VAR disallowed a goal to Arsenal at 82'. On the other hand, Borussia managed to qualify as leaders in the “group of the death” (PSG, AC Milan and Newcastle), with three points advantage with PSG and Milan, losing only one game against PSG in France.

In my opinion the teams are fairly evenly matched, but I see the crowd at the Westfalenstadion making the difference and Dortmund progressing, who have been performing much better than PSV in this tournament.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在与荷兰的首回合1-1结束后,这是一场处于危险边缘的平局。那场比赛,多特蒙德在第24分钟由马伦(Donyell Malen)取得领先,埃因霍温(PSV)球星德容(Luuk de Jong)在第56分钟罚进点球,将比分扳平,比赛就是这样结束的。埃因霍温在比赛中占据主导地位,他们有14次射门,而多特蒙德只有8次,他们丢了近一半的犯规次数,而且还拥有控球权。

然而,我觉得埃因霍温淘汰多特蒙德的最好机会是在主场取胜,而现在去德国取得胜利将是非常困难的。

他们的前球员唐耶尔·马伦在首回合率先得分,他的速度和力量将再次成为关键,因为防守球员不喜欢和他比赛。

大个子前锋尼古拉斯·富勒克鲁格在禁区内构成了身体上的威胁,我相信主教练埃丁·特齐奇会希望他的创造者——比如马尔科·罗伊斯和朱利安·勃兰特——给他提供机会。桑乔在回到多特蒙德后一直是主力,所以他可以在左路发挥作用。

俄罗斯目前在德甲排名第四,与第三名相差6分,不太可能追上他们。所以这就是为什么我看到他们专注于欧冠和这场比赛。

埃因霍温希望尽可能长时间保持多特蒙德无进球。如果他们能让人群安静下来,他们的对手可能会开始感到压力。他们在第一场比赛中比博尔西亚强,但没有利用这一点,现在他们会很挣扎,因为博尔西亚是欧冠联赛中的一支强大的主场球队:击败了纽卡斯尔联队,战平了巴黎圣日耳曼和AC米兰。

巴卡约科的反击速度将是本场比赛的一个重要武器——如果多特蒙德在对方半场被控球,寻找埃因霍温的长传来释放边锋。

德容在控球和带动其他人发挥作用方面也扮演着重要的角色,尤其是那些擅长控球的中场球员,比如马利克·蒂尔曼和乔伊·维尔曼,他们都有能力通过关键的传球打开多特蒙德的防线。

我记得埃因霍温在小组赛中对阵塞维利亚的比赛,他们在西班牙取得了一场非常幸运的胜利(2:3),直到1966年他们才2:0,完全被击败。但是奥坎波斯犯了一个错误,得到了一张红牌,埃因霍温在比赛的最后25分钟进了3球,包括93分钟的最后一个球。在荷兰,塞维利亚2:2战平,埃因霍温在最后一分钟95分再次进球。

我认为到目前为止,埃因霍温在这项赛事中非常幸运。他们在客场完全被阿森纳击败(4:0),而在主场幸运地取得了平局(1:1),因为他们看到VAR在82'时吹掉了阿森纳的进球。另一方面,在法国对阵巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛中,仅输掉一场比赛,以3分的优势在“死亡之组”(巴黎圣日耳曼、AC米兰和纽卡斯尔)领先出线。

在我看来,两支球队势均力敌,但我认为威斯特法伦球场的观众发挥了作用,多特蒙德晋级了,他们在这次比赛中的表现比埃因霍温要好得多。

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