VfL Bochum VS SC Freiburg

Bochum and Freiburg lock horns in this German Bundesliga round 25 battle at Vonovia Ruhrstadion late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit! Bochum currently occupy the 15th place in the league table. They have a only 25 points in their pocket. They have not been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) is They have scored 29 goals in the Bundesliga so far this season. Their offense is somewhat limited by the high Bundesliga standards. It has a mediocre structure and lacks individual skill, speed, passing accuracy and creativity. Bochum's number of expected goals (xG) is somewhat higher though. They have conceded a whopping 50 goals. This is the second-highest number in this league! Only Darmstadt, the rock-bottom team, have allowed more goals. It is hard to write anything positive about Bochum's defence. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is even a bit higher! Furthermore, they have a massive number of missing players here. Indeed, Tolba, Antwi-Adjei, Esser, Kwarteng, Luthe, Osterhage, Soares, Thielde are all out due to different kinds of injuries. This hurts their chances a lot – seemingly more than the bookies estimate.. The visitors will be without Kyereh, Rosenfelder and Schmidt. Liehart is questionable at the time of posting. With the expected lineups the current odds of around 2.40 on the home win are way too low! Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis the visitors deserve to be the favourites here. We will take the Freiburg +0.5 goals handicap option!

Freiburg are the better team here – in all areas of the game. They have netted the ball 32 times and have allowed 44 goals. I have, in all honesty, been a little disappointed with the defence though. Their defenders have made too many silly mistakes this season. Their number of xGA is "only" 41.22 though. They have much more firepower than the hosts. Indeed, their strikers and midfielders are – on average - much more skilled individuals than those of Bochum! Their number of xG is 39.12. They are in 10th place with a decent 30 points to their account – xPTS is 32.03. They have defeated Bochum four times in a row! Bochum have scored only one goal in these four matches. Last October Freiburg defeated them 2-1 at home and generated much more in xG – 2.78-1.33 to be precise. Freiburg are also a much bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-respected source – Transfermarkt.com. Their squad is valued at around 190 million euros – the Bochum players are valued at a total of only about 57 million! Bochum have won only one of their last six games. They have now lost two games in a row – allowing a stunning nine goals in these two matches. In their last game they did not have much of a chance and lost to Leipzig at home 1-4. Before this they were horribly bad defensively and lost to Monchengladbach 2-5 on the road. The hosts generated 3.56 in xG and fully deserved the three points. Freiburg played well last season, earning a place in the very competitive UEFA Europa League for this season. They have made it all the way to the 1/8-finals! On Thursday (Germany time) they beat a dangerous English team, West Ham, 1-0 at home in the first leg. They were underdogs in this game according to the bookies but generated more in xG 1.89-1.63. Before this they forced Bayern Munich, one of the biggest teams in the world, into a 2-2 draw at home as big underdogs on the betting market! Bayern generated only a little more than the hosts. A strong performance from Freiburg as a whole. Beating West Ham, a much bigger team in terms of players total market value, was surely a big boost to their confidence!

波鸿VS弗莱堡

北京时间周日晚，波鸿和弗莱堡将在德甲第25轮比赛中在沃诺维亚鲁尔球场展开较量。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我的粉丝和我还有另一个非常强大的投注选项来赚取更多的利润!波鸿目前在联赛中排名第15位。他们的口袋里只有25分。从预期积分(xPTS)来看，他们既不幸运也不不幸。本赛季到目前为止，他们在德甲联赛中打进了29球。他们的进攻受到德甲高标准的限制。它的结构平庸，缺乏个人技术、速度、传球准确性和创造力。波鸿的预期进球数(xG)略高。他们丢了50个球。这是联盟第二高的数字!只有排名垫底的达姆施塔特队丢了更多的球。很难对波鸿的防守做出任何正面评价。他们的预期进球数(xGA)甚至更高!此外，他们还有大量的球员缺阵。事实上，托尔巴、安特维-阿杰、埃塞尔、夸瓦滕、卢特、奥斯特哈格、苏亚雷斯、蒂尔德都因不同类型的伤病缺阵。这大大损害了他们的机会——似乎比博彩公司估计的要多。访客将没有凯瑞，罗森菲尔德和施密特。李哈特在发布的时候是有问题的。根据预期的阵容，目前主场获胜的赔率约为2.40，这太低了!根据我的复杂的，强有力的数据为基础的分析，游客应该是这里的最爱。我们将采取弗赖堡+0.5个进球障碍选项!

弗赖堡在这里是一支更好的球队——在比赛的各个方面。他们共打进32球，失球44球。说实话，我对球队的防守有点失望。他们的后卫本赛季犯了太多愚蠢的错误。不过，他们的xGA数量“只有”41.22。他们的火力比东道主强得多。事实上，他们的前锋和中场球员——平均而言——比波鸿的球员更有技术!它们的xG数是39.12。他们以30分的成绩排在第10位，xPTS是32.03分。他们已经连续四次击败波鸿了!波鸿在这四场比赛中只进了一个球。去年10月，弗莱堡在主场2-1击败了他们，并且在xG比赛中产生了更多的进球——准确地说是2.78-1.33。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的市场价值来看，弗赖堡也是一支更大的球队。他们的球队价值约为1.9亿欧元，而波鸿球员的总价值仅为5700万欧元!波鸿在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场。他们已经连输了两场比赛，在这两场比赛中丢了惊人的9球。在上一场比赛中，他们没有多少机会，在主场1-4输给了莱比锡。在此之前，他们的防守非常糟糕，客场2-5不敌门兴格拉德巴赫。东道主全场进球3.56分，完全配得上三分。弗莱堡上赛季表现出色，赢得了本赛季竞争激烈的欧联杯的席位。他们一路杀入了1/8决赛!周四(德国时间)，他们在首回合主场1-0击败了危险的英国球队西汉姆。根据博彩公司的数据，他们在这场比赛中处于劣势，但在xG 1.89-1.63中产生了更多。在此之前，他们迫使世界上最大的球队之一拜仁慕尼黑在主场以2比2战平，在博彩市场上处于劣势!拜仁的进球只比主队多一点点。弗莱堡整体表现强劲。击败西汉姆，这支在球员总市值上要大得多的球队，无疑极大地提升了他们的信心!