We are VERY HOT! $$$ 西甲 拉帕马斯VS毕尔巴鄂
2024-03-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

03/10 23:15

已完赛

解读理由:

Las Palmas VS Athletic Bilbao


Las Palmas and Athletic Bilbao lock horns in this Spanish LaLiga round 28 battle at Estadio de Gran Canaria late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much better than average level by this league's standards here. My fans and I have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit.. Las Palmas currently occupy the 9th place in the standings. They have a fine total of 37 points in the pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is slightly lower though. They have scored 29 goals so far this season. Their attack is only mediocre by the high LaLiga standards. It has a good structure but they do lack individual skill and also creativity to some extent. They were promoted to this level from the LaLiga2 and have done much better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. I have, as a result, raised their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor and possible fatigue caused by a demanding match schedule. The bookies should respect this rather small team in terms of financial resources and players' estimated total market value – according to Transfermarkt.com. They play very well as a team and are much better than the list of players would suggest. Furthermore, I trust their coach a lot and according to my sources they have an awesome team spirit. Their defence has been much more solid than I would have expected – they have conceded only 33 goals. This is less than Girona (2nd place) and Barcelona, currently in 3rd place. Las Palmas have lost just one of their last five games. In their last match they played well on the road – it was a 3-3 draw against Getafe. Las Palmas were very clear underdogs in this game on the betting market – priced around 4.50 to win. Las Palmas had a whopping 73% ball possession and recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks - 34-28. Both teams had five shots on target. Before this they played a 1-1 draw at home against Osasuna. Las Palmas had an impressive 72% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as attacks.

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, are in 5th place in the standings. They are undoubtedly the better team by pure class. They have 50 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is a little lower. They have much more firepower than Las Palmas – they have scored 46 goals. In terms of defensive quality they do not have a big edge over the hosts. Indeed, they have allowed only three goals less than Las Palmas. They have allowed 26 goals in LaLiga so far. However, LaLiga has one of the biggest home win percentages on average of the top-20 leagues in the world. The home advantage here is substantial here as well! The bookies offer the visitors odds of only around 2.00 to take all three points here. This is, based on my expert analysis, way too low! Las Palmas have a 57.50% chance to avoid defeat here. The Las Palmas +0.5 goals handicap is the smart bettor's choice here! Athletic Bilbao have been in mediocre form recently. They have won two of their last five games. In their last game they faced Barcelona at home - it was a goalless draw. They visitors recorded much much more in expected goals (xG) - 0.89-0.32. I was disappointed with Athletic's offense as a whole – taking into account that Barcelona's defence has not been very solid this season. Before this they beat Atletico Madrid at home but the final score is misleading. Indeed, A. Madrid had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts – 13-8. Bilbao did generate a little more in xG though – 1.34-1.13 to be precise. It was a Copa del Rey (Spanish Cup) game. In round 26 they were abysmal – losing to Betis 1-3 away from home. They were clear favourites in this game – priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. Betis had 58% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts (13-3), shots on goal (5-1) and shots off target – 6-1. Poor Bilbao generated only 0.16 in xG!



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拉斯帕尔马斯VS毕尔巴鄂竞技


北京时间周日晚,拉斯帕尔马斯和毕尔巴鄂竞技将在西甲第28轮的比赛中在大加那利岛球场展开对决。这是世界上第二好的联赛。按照联赛的标准,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比平均水平好得多的比赛。我的粉丝和我还有另一个非常强大的投注选择来赚取更多的利润…拉斯帕尔马斯目前排名第九。他们总共拿到了37分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)略低。本赛季到目前为止,他们已经进了29个球。以西甲的高标准来衡量,他们的进攻只是平庸。它有一个很好的结构,但他们确实缺乏个人技能和创造力在某种程度上。他们是从西甲升级到这个级别的,并且比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好得多。因此,随着赛季的进展,我提高了他们的能量评级。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了激励因素和高强度赛程可能造成的疲劳。根据Transfermarkt.com的说法,博彩公司应该尊重这支相当小的球队的财政资源和球员的估计总市值。他们作为一个团队踢得很好,比球员名单上所显示的要好得多。此外,我非常信任他们的教练,根据我的消息来源,他们有令人敬畏的团队精神。他们的防守比我想象的要坚固得多,他们只丢了33个球。这低于赫罗纳(第二名)和巴塞罗那(目前排名第三)。拉斯帕尔马斯最近五场比赛只输了一场。上一场比赛他们在客场打得很好——3-3战平赫塔菲。在这场比赛中,拉斯帕尔马斯在博彩市场上明显处于劣势,其获胜概率约为4.50。拉斯帕尔马斯拥有惊人的73%的控球率,记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻——34胜28负。两队都有5次射正。在此之前,他们在主场1-1战平奥萨苏纳。拉斯帕尔马斯有令人印象深刻的72%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数和进攻次数。

另一方面,毕尔巴鄂竞技在积分榜上排名第五。毫无疑问,纯粹从实力上看,他们是更好的球队。他们的口袋里有50分,但他们的xPTS数量略低。他们的火力比拉斯帕尔马斯强得多,他们进了46个球。就防守质量而言,他们与东道主相比没有太大的优势。事实上,他们只比拉斯帕尔马斯少丢了3个球。到目前为止,他们在西甲已经丢了26个球。然而,西甲联赛是世界前20大联赛中主场平均胜率最高的联赛之一。这里的主场优势也是相当可观的!博彩公司给游客提供的赔率只有2.00左右,可以在这里拿到全部三分。根据我的专家分析,这太低了!拉斯帕尔马斯有57.50%的机会避免在这里失利。拉斯帕尔马斯+0.5球的障碍是聪明的赌徒的选择!毕尔巴鄂竞技队最近表现平平。他们在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。上一场比赛他们在主场面对巴塞罗那,结果是0比0战平。客队的预期进球数(xG)要高得多——0.89-0.32。我对竞技的整体进攻感到失望——考虑到巴塞罗那本赛季的防守并不稳固。在此之前,他们在主场击败了马德里竞技,但最后的比分是误导性的。事实上,皇马有60%的控球率,13-8的进球次数也更多。毕尔巴鄂在xG中产生了更多的数据——准确地说是1.34-1.13。这是一场西班牙国王杯的比赛。在第26轮,他们表现糟糕——客场1-3不敌贝蒂斯。在这场比赛中,他们显然是最受欢迎的——博彩公司开出的赔率约为2.10英镑。贝蒂斯的控球率为58%,进球次数(13胜3负)、射正(5胜1负)和射偏(6胜1负)都大大高于贝蒂斯。可怜的毕尔巴鄂在xG中只生成了0.16 !

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