8/9 last WON! $$$ 德乙 菲尔特VS埃沃斯堡
2024-03-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

德乙

03/10 20:30

已完赛

菲尔特
1:0
埃沃斯堡
解读理由:

SpVgg Greuther Fürth VS SV Elversberg


Greuther Furth welcome Elversberg for this German 2. Bundesliga round 25 clash at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer Sunday evening Beijing time. Greuther Furth have demanding and loud fans by this league's standards. This is the second-best second tier, after the English Championship, on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards here. We have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit.. Greuther Furth currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of 38 points in the pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher – 39.76 to be precise. They have scored 36 goals so far this season. For example Greuther Furth, currently in 7th place, have netted the ball 36 times so far this season. Their offense has, in all honesty, been a slight disappointment to me.. Their attacks are sometimes a bit too slow and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal could be better. Even so, their number of expected goals (xG) is 38.65. Their defensive structure is good and their defenders do not make too many silly mistakes. They  have conceded 33 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 32.32. For example Holstein Kiel, currently in 2nd place, have allowed 34 goals. The hosts have an edge over Elversberg in all areas of the game. Indeed, the visitors have allowed 40 goals - (xGA) 42.33. They have scored 35 goals but their number of xG is 32.38.

The visitors have managed to take 32 points and are in the 11th place in the league table. Their number of xPTS is 29.56. They were promoted to this level from 3. Bundesliga and are a pretty small team in terms of financial resources and players' total market value – according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. Greuther Furth are a much bigger team and even played in the Bundesliga not that long ago. Yes, Elversberg have played a little better than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. Even so, I rate them only as the 15th-best team in this league in terms of pure class. Greuther Furth, on the other hand, are in 4th place in this ranking. The biggest bookmakers who accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of about 1.90 on the hosts to send Elversberg home empty-handed. Based on my strongly data-based analysis they have a 59% chance! The hosts lost to Karlsruhe SC in their last game 0-4 away from home as solid underdogs on the betting market. No, it was not a good performance from Greuther Furth but Karlsruher also played better than normally in this game. The final score is still misleading and I believe this loss affects the odds too much here! The visitors had 54% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Karlsruher did generate more in xG though. Before this Greuther Furth were strong and defeated Nurnberg 2-1 at home. Indeed, the hosts had 65% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (18-3), shots on goal (7-1), corner kicks (13-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 80-14! They also generated much more in xG. Elversberg have lost two games in a row – without scoring a single goal! They were abysmal in their last game – losing 0-3 to Wehen at home as clear favourites – priced around 1.95 by the bookies to win. Wehen recorded many more goal attempts (14-10), shots on goal and attacks. Moreover, they generated 2.55 in xG - poor Elversberg managed only 0.78. Before this Hamburger SV defeated Elversberg 1-0 and deserved the three points.



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格鲁瑟与埃尔弗斯伯格


欢迎埃尔弗斯伯格为我们的德国2。北京时间周日晚,德甲联赛第25轮比赛将在索默隆霍夫体育公园举行。按照这个联盟的标准,格鲁瑟·弗斯拥有要求很高、声音很大的球迷。这是这个星球上仅次于英格兰联赛的第二顶级联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。我们还有另一个非常强大的投注选项来赚取更多的利润。格鲁瑟·福特目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们总共得到38分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)更高——准确地说是39.76。本赛季到目前为止,他们已经进了36个球。例如,目前排名第七的格鲁瑟·弗斯,本赛季到目前为止已经进球36次。老实说,他们的进攻令我有点失望。他们的进攻有时有点太慢,在对手的球门附近传球的准确性可能会更好。即便如此,他们的预期进球数(xG)为38.65。他们的防守结构很好,他们的后卫不会犯太多愚蠢的错误。他们已经丢了33个球,他们的预期失球(xGA)是32.32个。比如目前排名第二的基尔,丢了34个球。东道主在比赛的各个方面都比埃尔弗斯伯格有优势。事实上,客队已经丢了40个球——42.33。他们已经进了35个球,但是他们的进球数是32.38个。

客队已经拿到了32分,排在联赛的第11位。它们的xPTS数是29.56。他们从3级晋升到这个级别。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,从财力和球员的总市值来看,这支德甲球队是一支相当小的球队。格鲁瑟福特是一支更大的球队,甚至在不久之前还在德甲踢球。是的,埃尔弗斯伯格的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好一些。即便如此,我也只把他们评为联赛中排名第15的球队。另一方面,格鲁瑟·福特在该排行榜上排名第四。接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司开出约1.90的赔率,让埃尔弗斯伯格空手而归。根据我强有力的数据分析,他们有59%的机会!东道主在上一场客场0-4负于卡尔斯鲁厄,在博彩市场上处于劣势。不,格鲁瑟·富特的表现并不好,但卡尔斯鲁厄在这场比赛中的表现也比平时好。最后的比分仍然具有误导性,我认为这场失利对比赛的影响太大了!客队有54%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。不过卡尔斯鲁厄在xG中确实产生了更多。在此之前,荷兰队实力很强,在主场2-1击败了纽伦堡队。事实上,东道主拥有65%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(18-3)、射正(7-1)、角球(13-0)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数——80-14!他们在xG中也产生了更多。埃尔弗斯伯格已经连续输了两场比赛——一球未进!他们在上一场比赛中表现糟糕——在主场0-3输给了被看好的威尔士——博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.95英镑。他有更多的射门次数(14胜10负)、射门次数和进攻次数。此外,他们在xG中产生了2.55个,可怜的埃尔弗斯伯格只产生了0.78个。在此之前,汉堡SV 1-0击败了埃尔弗斯伯格,理应得到三分。

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