8/9 last picks WON! ¥¥¥ 德乙 凯泽VS奥斯纳
2024-03-10

Tapio

外籍分析师

德乙

03/10 20:30

已完赛

解读理由:

FC Kaiserslautern VS VfL Osnabrück


Kaiserlautern host Osnabruck for this German 2. Bundesliga round 25 clash at Fritz Walter Stadion Sunday evening Beijing time. This stadium has a capacity of almost 50 000 and I expect the atmosphere to be good at the stadium here. Kaiserslautern have loyal and loud fans by this league's standards. This is the second-best second tier, after the English Championship, in the world. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by this league's standards here. However, we have yet another very strong betting option to make more profit betting on this league here! Kaiserslautern currently occupy the 15th place in the standings. They have a total of 25 points in the pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher – 29.56 to be precise. They have scored a decent number of goals – 38 - and do have some good offensive players in the squad! For example Greuther Furth, currently in 7th place, have netted the ball 36 times so far this season. However, Kaiserslautern's defence has, in all honesty, been a disappointment.. Indeed, their defensive structure is not bad as such but their defenders have made too many stupid mistakes – for example giving too risky passes near their own goal. However, at home I would expect them to concentrate better at this phase of the season when stakes are high! They are not safe from relegation as three of the last team will be relegated to 3. Bundesliga. A total of 18 teams play in this league. Kaiserslautern have allowed 48 goals but this number is misleading. Indeed, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 41.25.

The visitors are a way too bad team for this level and will almost certainly be relegated back to 3. Bundesliga. This is where they belong! They lack quality in all areas of the game and I simply cannot write anything positive about them.. Well, most of their players do fight hard, at least in home games. Away from home they have been abysmal - losing 10/12 of the games in this league this season! They are often way too passive/cautious which leads to too much pressure on their shaky defence, late into the second half at the latest.. They have conceded 46 goals and have scored just 22 goals. This is the lowest number in this league. They have a pathetic 18 goals to their account. Their number of xPTS is higher though. Yes, they did beat Hamburger SV 2-1 on the road in their last game as big underdogs on the betting market. However, they did not deserve the three points. I believe this win affects the odds too much here.. Indeed, the hosts had 63% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (133-13), shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 71-41.. Odds of around 1.85 on the home win are widely available and we will take it! Based on my sophisticated analysis the hosts have a 63% chance of taking all three points. They crushed Hansa Rostock 3-0 in their last game and generated a stunning 4.04 in xG – the hosts managed only 0.37.Hansa's Husig was sent off in the 37th minute but Kaiserslautern were strong even before this – leading 1-0.



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凯泽斯劳滕VS奥斯纳布尔<e:2>克


凯泽劳滕主办了本届德国世界杯。北京时间周日晚,德甲第25轮比赛将在弗里茨沃尔特球场进行。这个球场能容纳近5万人,我希望这里的气氛会很好。按照这个联盟的标准,凯泽斯劳滕拥有忠实而响亮的球迷。这是世界上仅次于英冠的第二顶级联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。然而,我们有另一个非常强大的投注选项,使更多的利润投注这个联赛在这里!凯泽斯劳滕目前排名第15位。他们总共得到了25分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要高得多——准确地说是29.56。他们进了相当多的球——38个——而且阵容中确实有一些优秀的进攻球员!例如,目前排名第七的格鲁瑟·弗斯,本赛季到目前为止已经进球36次。然而,说实话,凯泽斯劳滕的防守令人失望。事实上,他们的防守结构并不糟糕,但他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误——比如在自己的球门附近传球太危险。然而,在主场,我希望他们在这个赌注很高的赛季阶段能更好地集中精力!最后一支球队中有3支将被降级为3支,因此他们也不能保证保级。德甲。这个联盟共有18支球队参加。凯泽斯劳滕已经丢了48个球,但是这个数字是有误导性的。实际上,他们允许的预期进球数(xGA)“只有”41.25。

客队对这个级别来说太糟糕了,几乎肯定会降级到3级。德甲。这才是他们的归宿!他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量,我根本无法写出任何积极的东西。嗯,他们的大多数球员都很努力,至少在主场比赛中是这样。在客场,他们的表现糟透了——本赛季在联赛中输掉了10/12场比赛!他们通常过于被动/谨慎,导致他们脆弱的防守承受了太多压力,最迟在下半场后期。他们丢了46球,只进了22球。这是联盟中最低的数字。他们只有可怜的18个进球。不过,它们的xpt数量更高。是的,他们确实在上一场比赛中以2-1击败了汉堡SV,在博彩市场上他们是大输家。然而,他们配不上这三分。我认为这场胜利对赔率的影响太大了。事实上,东道主拥有63%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(133比13)、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数——71比41。大约1.85的赔率在主场获胜是广泛可用的,我们将采取它!根据我的精密分析东道主有63%的机会包揽全部三分。他们在上一场比赛中以3比0大胜罗斯托克汉萨,并取得了惊人的4.04的进球,而东道主只取得了0.37的进球。汉萨的胡西格在第37分钟被红牌罚下,但凯泽斯劳滕在此之前就很强大——1-0领先。

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