What will happen at St. Mary's stadium? 南安普敦 VS 水晶宫
2021-05-11

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

05/12 03:15

已完赛

解读理由:

在我看来,水晶宫在今天的比赛中至少获得1个积分的良好机会。

两队之间的赛季首场对话以水晶宫1:0主场胜利而收尾。客队具有良好的心理优势,他们过去在圣玛丽体育场的连续三场比赛都没有输过。

与南安普敦一样,客场比赛更适合水晶宫,因为他们喜欢反击打法。这就是为什么今天比赛的主队在主场并不是那么有利-南安普敦在过去的54场英超联赛中只赢了17场,在最近的7场主场比赛中至少丢进了一个进球,目前的防守阵型尚不牢固。我相信,像本特克,埃兹或扎哈水晶宫这样的进攻性球员也能得分。在过去的7场比赛中,水晶宫仅在对阵曼城的比赛中未能得分(全联盟最佳防守),但即便如此,他们的进球数也仅为0.91。

水晶宫没有任何新的重要缺席,另一方面,南安普敦队的前锋和队长丹尼·英格斯仍然不会首发。如果没有他,这是一个很大的打击。在过去的8场比赛中,球队没有取得任何一场胜利。

水晶宫的状态更好,在过去的10轮中,他们仅输给了前七名的球队。在最后一场比赛中,客场(2:0)对阵谢菲尔德时,他们看上去非常出色。对团队的信心应该很高。南安普敦是2021年最差的英超联赛球队,他们只取得11分但失球41球。自从1月份对阵利物浦的比赛以来,他们输了17场比赛中的13场。在上回合,他们在对阵利物浦的比赛中输给了0:2,并且肯定他们的士气不佳。

南安普敦在周中进行的最近10场英超联赛比赛中均未赢得任何胜利。我认为他们今天并没有很大机会取胜。


In my opinion Crystal Palace have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Crystal Palace 1:0 home win. Guests have good mental advantage, they as well didn't lost in last 3 consecutive matches at St. Mary's stadium.

Away match should suit Crystal Palace even more as they loves to play from the counter attack, same as Southampton. That's why hosts of today's match are not so good at home - Southampton won only 17 of last 54 home Premier League matches. Defensive formation is not solid at the moment as Saints conceded at least one goal in last 7 home matches in a row. I believe with offensive players like Benteke, Eze or Zaha Crystal Palace is able to score as well. In last 7 matches Crystal Palace failed to score only against Manchester City (the best defense in whole league), but even then they had 0.91 expected goals scored.

Crystal Palace don't have any new important absences, on the other hand Southampton top striker and captain Danny Ings still is not fully fit to start in first squad. It's a big blow, without him team didn't recorded a single win in last 8 matches.

Crystal Palace is in better form, in last 10 rounds they lost only against teams from top7. In last match they looked excellent against Sheffield on away (2:0) - expected goals scored for CP 2.04, for Sheffield 0.68. Confidence in team should be sky high. Southampton is the worst Premier League team in 2021, they made only 11 points and conceded 41 goals. Since win against Liverpool in January, they lost 13 of last 17 matches. In last round they lost 0:2 on away against Liverpool and for sure morale in the team is not good.

Southampton didn't made any win in last 10 Premier League matches played midweek. I don't see them as a so big favorite today as welll.

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