03月08日西悉尼流浪者 VS 西部联比赛分析直播
2：澳超临场推荐！
解读理由：
In my opinion, Western United has bigger chances to avoid a loss in this game than bookmakers suggest for us based on their odds.
Both teams played each other at the end of January. United lost 0:1 at home, but that was a very close game: expected goals scored for United 1.26, for Wanderers 1.20. It's time for revenge today!
Hosts are 6th in the league table, 6 places above Western, but if you look deeper - this is not a deserved outcome at all. According to the expected goals scored model, Wanderers are the worst team in the whole league, with 27.1 expected goals scored in 19 rounds. They had a lot of luck, as they scored 31 goals. On the other hand, United scored only 19 goals. but they should score 29.2. In those circumstances, I really don’t see the Wanderers as a big favorite here.
In addition to that, United is currently in better form. In the last 6 rounds, they lost only against two teams from top4 (Wellington and Victory). Guests’ came for this game in a good mood as they won in the last round against Perth and want to go with momentum today. On the other hand, Wanderers in the last 5 matches recorded only one win - against out-of-form Adelaide (5 losses in last 6 matches). Team confidence for sure is on a very low level as they lost 1:4 at home in the last round against Sydney.
Wanderers currently are without any stability or consistency at the back - 5 consecutive matches without a clean sheet (13 goals conceded in the process). Western in the last rounds looked much better in the back because they kept a clean sheet twice in the last 4 games.
In those circumstances Western United looks like a really valuable option to play!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，西联在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。
两队在一月底进行了一场比赛。曼联主场0:1输球，但这是一场非常接近的比赛:曼联的预期进球数为1.26，流浪者为1.20。今天是复仇的时候了!
东道主目前排名第6，比西部高6位，但如果你看得更深入一点，就会发现这根本不是一个应得的结果。根据预期进球数模型，在19轮比赛中，流浪者队的预期进球数为27.1，是整个联赛中最差的球队。他们运气很好，进了31个球。另一方面，曼联只进了19球。但他们应该得29.2分。在这种情况下，我真的不认为流浪者是这里的大热门。
除此之外，曼联现在的状态更好了。在过去的6轮比赛中，他们只输给了前4名中的两支球队(惠灵顿和胜利)。客人们是带着良好的心情来观看这场比赛的，因为他们在上一轮战胜珀斯的比赛中获胜，今天他们想要带着动力去比赛。另一方面，流浪者在最近5场比赛中只取得了1场胜利——对阵状态不佳的阿德莱德(最近6场比赛5负)。球队的信心肯定很低，因为他们在上一轮主场1:4输给了悉尼。
流浪者队目前后防线缺乏稳定性和稳定性——连续5场比赛没有零封对手(其中丢了13个球)。西部在最近几轮比赛中看起来要好得多，因为他们在最近4场比赛中两次保持了零封。
在这种情况下，西联看起来是一个非常有价值的选择!
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