6/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-03-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

03/08 04:00

已完赛

萨迪纳摩
1:0
塞萨洛
解读理由:

Dinamo Zagreb VS PAOK Saloniki


Dinamo Zagreb welcome PAOK for this UEFA Europa Conference 1/8-finals first leg clash at Stadion Maksimir early Friday morning Beijing time. This is third-best of UEFA's club competitions – after the iconic Champions League and Europa League. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat better than average level by this competition's standards here. Moreover, we have yet another very strong betting option here! We have won six bets in a row betting in this league! Dinamo are a Croatian team – PAOK come from Greece. PAOK were stunningly strong in the group stage, winning five of the six games.  The only draw came at home against Aberdeen but PAOK would have deserved a win - they were simply unlucky in this game. Their score difference was strong – 16:10. I need to mention that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was only 7.33. They were not the favourites to win this group as there was Eintracht Frankfurt, a pretty big German team in this group. However, PAOK beat them twice! PAOK were priced at over 6.00 to beat Frankfurt away from home but took a 2-1 win after a strong performance. The bookies should respect this talented team much more! PAOK are much better than last season. They have better players and play better as a team than in the 2022-2023 season. Yes, they top the Greek Super League standings with a fine 60 points to their account. This league is of a much better level than the Croatian HNL where over half of the teams are pretty bad, in all honesty! PAOK have huge firepower and have scored 66 goals in this league! This is the biggest number – by a wide margin in the Super League. Their defence is also solid – without any obvious weaknesses. Silly mistakes are extremely rare. They have conceded 21 goals – the smallest number in this league! They have now won four games in a row - even beating a big team Panathinaikos 2-0 away from home on the 21st of February as solid underdogs!

In their last game PAOK dominated Lamia away from home – easily winning 2-0. They had a whopping 78% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (17-4), shots on goal (8-2), shots of target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks - 112-17! They also generated more in expected goals (xG) – 2.45-0.13 to be precise. Before this they were excellent on the road – giving Panserraikos no real chance to take points. PAOK won 2-0. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the difference between the two teams is small. Indeed, the PAOK squad is valued at around 73 million euros – which is much too low in my expert opinion. The Zagreb players have an estimated market value of 71 million which is too high. Four players are overvalued. Some 55 million would be a more realistic number.. They are having a disappointing season in the Croatian HNL – currently occupying the third place behind Rijeka and Hajduk Split with 48 points to their account.. They have been in good form result-wise recently but have also had some luck on their side in many games.. They have won two of their last four matches. In the previous round of Conference League they beat Spanish Betis but were not the better team in the two games as a whole. They did play better than I expected, I have to admit this. However, Betis played much below their normal level.. Betis are a big team and I believe beating them affects the odds too much here. In the Conference League Group stage they were disappointing – losing three of the six games. They even lost to a small team, Balkani, 0-2! Plzen dominated this group. Astana, a pretty small team, finished in third place. In their last game Zagreb faced Osijek away from home and it was a 1-1 draw. Zagreb were priced around 1.80 to win by the bookies but Osijek generated more in xG – 1.33-1.04! It was not a good performance at all from the visitors! Before this they did beat Gorica 4-0 in a cup game but the match was much more balanced then the final score would suggest. Zagreb had only 53% ball possession and recorded 58 dangerous attacks – Gorica, the massive underdogs, managed 44. The bookies see the hosts as solid favourites here but according to my in-depth expert analysis the strong Greek visitors deserve to be narrow favourites! The PAOK +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bettor's choice to make more profit here!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

萨格勒布迪纳摩VS萨洛尼基PAOK


北京时间周五凌晨,萨格勒布迪纳摩将在马克西米尔球场迎来欧联杯1/8决赛首回合比赛。这是欧足联第三好的俱乐部赛事,仅次于标志性的欧冠和欧联杯。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比比赛平均水平更好的比赛。此外,我们还有另一个非常强大的投注选项!我们在这个联赛中已经连续赢了六场了!迪纳摩是一支克罗地亚球队,而PAOK来自希腊。PAOK在小组赛中实力惊人,赢得了六场比赛中的五场。唯一的平局是在主场对阵阿伯丁,但是PAOK本应该赢得一场胜利——他们在这场比赛中只是运气不好。他们的比分差距很大——16:10。我需要提到的是,他们的预期进球(xGA)只有7.33个。他们不是最有希望赢得小组冠军的球队,因为小组中有法兰克福,一支相当强大的德国球队。然而,PAOK击败了他们两次!在客场击败法兰克福后,PAOK的定价超过6.00,但在表现强劲后以2-1获胜。博彩公司应该更加尊重这支才华横溢的球队!PAOK比上个赛季好多了。与2022-2023赛季相比,他们有更好的球员,整体表现也更好。是的,他们在希腊超级联赛积分榜上排名第一,他们的账户上有60分的罚款。这个联赛的水平比克罗地亚的HNL好得多,在克罗地亚,超过一半的球队都很糟糕,说实话!pak火力强大,在联赛中打进66球!这是最大的数字——在超级联赛中遥遥领先。他们的防守也很稳固,没有任何明显的弱点。愚蠢的错误是极其罕见的。他们丢了21球,是联赛中丢球最少的!他们现在已经取得了四连胜,甚至在2月21日客场以2比0击败了强队帕纳辛奈科斯。

在上一场比赛中,PAOK在客场2-0轻松战胜了Lamia。他们的控球率高达78%,进球次数(17-4)、射正次数(8-2)、射正次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数——112-17!他们也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是2.45-0.13。在此之前,他们在客场表现出色,让潘塞莱科斯没有真正的得分机会。PAOK以2-0获胜。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,两支球队之间的差距很小。事实上,PAOK队的价值约为7300万欧元——在我的专家看来,这个数字太低了。萨格勒布球员的市场价值估计为7100万欧元,这太高了。有四个球员被高估了。大约5500万是更现实的数字。他们在克罗地亚的HNL中度过了一个令人失望的赛季,目前以48分排名第三,仅次于里耶卡和哈伊杜克斯普利特。他们最近的成绩很好,但在很多比赛中也有一些运气。他们在最近四场比赛中赢了两场。在上一轮的联盟联赛中,他们击败了西班牙贝蒂斯,但在两场比赛中,他们整体上并不是更好的球队。他们踢得比我预期的要好,我必须承认这一点。然而,贝蒂斯队的表现远远低于他们的正常水平。贝蒂斯是一支强大的球队,我相信击败他们会影响很大的赔率。在东部联赛小组赛阶段,他们表现令人失望,六场比赛输了三场。他们甚至以0比2输给了一支小球队——巴尔卡尼!Plzen主导了这个群体。阿斯塔纳,一支相当小的球队,获得了第三名。在上一场比赛中,萨格勒布客场对阵奥西耶克,双方1-1战平。博彩公司对萨格勒布的胜率定在1.80左右,但奥西耶克的胜率更高——1.33-1.04!客队的表现一点也不好!在此之前,他们确实在一场杯赛中4-0击败了戈里察,但这场比赛比最终比分所显示的要平衡得多。萨格勒布只有53%的控球率,有58次危险进攻,而处于劣势的戈里察有44次。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队,但根据我深入的专家分析,强大的希腊访客应该是最受欢迎的球队!PAOK +0.5个进球障碍显然是聪明的投注者在这里赚取更多利润的选择!

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