Maccabi Haifa VS Fiorentina

Maccabi Haifa and Fiorentina lock horns in this UEFA Europa Conference 1/8-finals first leg clash at Bozsik Arena in Budapest, Hungary, early Friday morning Beijing time. This is third-highest of UEFA's club competitions – after the legendary Champions League and Europa League. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this competition's standards here. However, we have yet another very lucrative betting option here! We have won six bets in a row betting in this league! Maccabi Haifa are an Israeli team – Fiorentina come from Italy. Haifa cannot play international games in Israel because of the ongoing violent crisis between Israel and Hamas. This has a huge effect on their chances here as the home advantage is almost non-existent here! It seems that the bookies and recreational bettors fail to give this factor enough emphasis here! Israeli teams are often strong at their own stadiums but rarely do well outside Israel. I believe not being able to play at home also lowers their spirit - as, of course, does the crisis with Hamas. I believe that some of their players do not have their minds quite 100% on football as their countrymen - or even families face a violent threat. Maccabi Haifa currently occupy the 2nd place in the Israeli Ligat Ha'al with 54 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 49.23. They have scored 54 goals and have conceded 16 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xG) is much higher though - 20.56 to be precise. The level of this league is massively worse than the Italian Serie A! They have won three games in a row against Israeli teams but I want to highlight that the opponents have been very limited! I will not give these matches a lot of emphasis ahead of the game against a superior opponent in terms of pure class..

Fiorentina occupy the 8th place in the 4th-best league in the world! They have a good 42 points to their account and fight hard for a top-6 place.. Their score difference is pretty strong – 39:30. They have a massive edge over the Haifa in all areas of the game! Yes, some squad rotation would not be a big surprise but Fiorentina have a long list of good – even excellent players in the squad - ready to prove their skills! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the difference between the two teams is gigantic! Indeed, the Fiorentina squad is valued at some 250 million euros! The Maccabi Haifa players have an estimated total market value of only about 25 million. Odds of around 1.65 are available on the Italian visitors to win. With the expected lineups this is, based on my strongly data-based analysis, way too high! I see them having a 69% chance to win! In their last game Fiorentina faced Torino away from home as solid underdogs on the betting market. No goals were scored but Fiorentina were the better team. Indeed, they had 65% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-8), shots on goal, shots of target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! They also generate more in expected goals (xG). Before this they were excellent at home against Lazio – despite winning only 2-1. Lazio even played in the Champions League Playoffs where they beat Bayern Munich at home three weeks ago – but lost in Germany 0-3 though. Fiorentina dominated the visitors in this game. They had "only" 54% ball possession but recorded more goal attempts (22-5), shots on goal (7-1), shots off target, corner kicks (13-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! They also generate massively more in xG - 3.02-0.33!

海法马卡比VS佛罗伦萨

北京时间15日凌晨，在匈牙利布达佩斯的博兹克球场，海法马卡比与佛罗伦萨展开了欧联杯1/8决赛首回合的较量。这是欧足联第三高的俱乐部赛事，仅次于传奇的欧冠和欧联杯。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。然而，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博选择!我们在这个联赛中已经连续赢了六场了!海法马卡比是一支以色列球队，佛罗伦萨来自意大利。由于以色列和哈马斯之间持续的暴力危机，海法无法在以色列举行国际比赛。这对他们的机会有很大的影响，因为主场优势在这里几乎不存在!似乎博彩公司和娱乐投注者在这里没有给予这个因素足够的重视!以色列球队在本国主场通常表现强劲，但在国外却很少有出色表现。我相信不能在主场比赛也会降低他们的士气——当然，与哈马斯的危机也是如此。我相信他们的一些球员并没有百分之百地关注足球，因为他们的同胞甚至家庭都面临着暴力威胁。海法马卡比目前在以色列联赛中以54分排名第二。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)“只有”49.23。他们进了54球丢了16球。他们的预期进球(xG)要高得多——准确地说是20.56个。这个联赛的水平比意甲差多了!他们在对阵以色列的比赛中取得了三连胜，但我想强调的是，对手非常有限!我不会给这些比赛太多的强调，在比赛之前，我将面对一个纯粹的阶级优势对手。

佛罗伦萨在世界排名第四的联赛中排名第八!他们有42分，为了前6的位置而努力奋斗。他们的比分差距很大，39:30。他们在游戏的所有领域都比海法有巨大的优势!是的，一些阵容轮换并不会让人感到惊讶，但是佛罗伦萨有一长串优秀的球员——甚至是优秀的球员——准备好证明他们的技术!根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，两支球队之间的差距是巨大的!事实上，佛罗伦萨队的价值约为2.5亿欧元!海法马卡比球员的总市值估计只有2500万欧元。意大利游客获胜的赔率约为1.65。根据我强烈的数据分析，对于预期的阵容来说，这太高了!我认为他们有69%的机会赢!在上一场比赛中，佛罗伦萨客场面对的是都灵，在博彩市场上他们是绝对的弱者。虽然没有进球，但佛罗伦萨是一支更好的球队。事实上，他们有65%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(14胜8负)、射正、射正、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数!它们还会产生更多的预期目标(xG)。在此之前，他们在主场对阵拉齐奥的比赛中表现出色——尽管只赢了2-1。拉齐奥甚至参加了三周前的冠军联赛季后赛，他们在主场击败了拜仁慕尼黑，但却以0比3输给了德国。佛罗伦萨队在这场比赛中压倒了客队。他们“只有”54%的控球率，但却记录了更多的进球尝试(22-5)、射正(7-1)、射偏、角球(13-2)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数!它们在xG - 3.02-0.33中也产生了更多!