DIsagree with this odds.

Real Sociedad is in a very poor form, the worst in years. The team looks completely tired and the coach looks like cant find the solution, so most probably he’s the necessary change to raise the level again. Only 1 victory in the last 9 games, which was against Mallorca playing with 1 more player due to a red card and scoring at 93’.

They are not dominating the games as did in the past, mainly due to the lack of pace. They can’t put the same intensity needed to make a good pressing in the rival’s field, and also to generate chances. Furthermore, in defense are conceding pretty much. In the past it was a very solid team, specialist in keeping the goal to nil and winning the games by 1-2 goals margin, but now are conceding a lot and upfront they can’t contrarrest the amount of goals conceded. Recently had a run of 5 games in a row without scoring a single goal.

There isn’t any reliable scorer in Real Sociedad. Their topscorer is captain Oyarzabal with 13 goals in 32 games (between all competitions this season).

In the previous game they played a good first half, but in the second half they weren’t able to keep the pace and control the game, so lost possession, conceded chances and two goals. The first half had 46% possession and in the second half 38%; in the first half conceded only 0.30 expected goals and in the second one 1.31. Huge difference, and here I’m expecting the same because the pace and rhythm isn’t something that could be recovered in three weeks, especially with a midweek game as Real Sociedad had last Tuesday, playing an ET against Mallorca in the Cup.

Their morale and confidence is also low: lost in the Cup semifinals against a relegation team (Mallorca), and this weekend lost against Sevilla, who had won just one of the last 9. In La Liga, Real Sociedad is 7th at the moment, out of European positions.

On the other hand, PSG has a very strong squad and made a good job in the first game winning 0:2. They are at the top of the Ligue 1 with 9 points difference, so are in better form and with much more morale. Also they are close to qualify to ¼ finals thanks to the advantage of 2 goals they have.

On paper they have a much better squad. Although Mbappe is playing less minutes as it’s known that he’ll leave the club in summer, he’s still one of the best players in the world and just needs 45 minutes to change a game. In the previous fixture he scored one and was named MVP. He won’t track back defensively, but that could be dangerous for a Real Sociedad team that must chase the game because any ball over the top and he’ll outpace the opposition defence.

PSG have gone from having a team of stars to lots of young players with potential – Bradley Barcola is another. What a fantastic solo goal he scored and what a dangerous player he is on the left – one of many attacking options manager Luis Enrique has to choose from.

If Real Sociedad wants to have any chance, they must score early. PSG have suffered some dramatic defeats in the knockout rounds previously, so they may feel the pressure if they fall behind, but I see them winning this fixture. In this scenario, hosts are forced to make a strong start attacking, playing offensive, and leaving spaces at the back which will be killed by PSG’ strikers who are lethal at counters.

不同意这种可能性。

皇家社会的状态非常糟糕，是近年来最糟糕的。球队看起来完全累了，教练看起来找不到解决办法，所以很可能他是必要的改变，以再次提高水平。在过去的9场比赛中只有1场胜利，那是对马洛卡，因为红牌多了1名球员，在93分进球。

他们没有像过去那样统治比赛，主要是由于缺乏速度。他们不能在对手的场地上施加同样的压力，也不能创造机会。此外，在防守方面，我们输得相当多。在过去，这是一支非常稳固的球队，擅长于将进球保持为零，并以1-2的优势赢得比赛，但现在他们丢了很多球，而且在前场他们无法控制失球的数量。最近连续5场比赛一球未进。

皇家社会没有可靠的得分手。他们的最佳射手是队长奥亚扎巴尔，他在32场比赛中打进13球(本赛季所有比赛中)。

在上一场比赛中，他们上半场踢得很好，但下半场他们无法保持节奏和控制比赛，所以失去了控球权，丢了两个机会。上半场的控球率为46%，下半场为38%;上半场只丢了0.30个预期进球，下半场丢了1.31个。巨大的差异，在这里我期待着同样的变化，因为速度和节奏不可能在三周内恢复，尤其是像上周二皇家社会对阵马洛卡的周中比赛。

他们的士气和信心也很低落:在杯赛半决赛中输给了降级球队(马洛卡)，本周末又输给了塞维利亚，后者在过去的9场比赛中只赢了一场。在西甲联赛中，皇家社会目前排名第七，在欧洲排名之外。

另一方面，巴黎圣日耳曼有一个非常强大的阵容，在第一场比赛中以0:2获胜。他们以9分的差距排在法甲榜首，所以他们的状态更好，士气也更强。此外，由于他们有2个进球的优势，他们很接近进入1 / 4决赛。

理论上他们的阵容要好得多。虽然姆巴佩的出场时间越来越少，因为大家都知道他将在夏天离开俱乐部，但他仍然是世界上最好的球员之一，只需要45分钟就能改变一场比赛。在上一场比赛中，他打进一球，被评为MVP。他不会在防守端回撤，但这对皇家社会来说是很危险的，因为任何一个球越过球门，他都会超过对手的防守。

巴黎圣日耳曼已经从一个拥有球星的球队变成了一个拥有很多有潜力的年轻球员的球队——布拉德利·巴科拉是另一个。他打进了一个多么美妙的进球，他在左路是一个多么危险的球员——这是主教练路易斯·恩里克不得不选择的众多进攻选项之一。

如果皇家社会想要得到任何机会，他们必须尽早进球。巴黎圣日耳曼在之前的淘汰赛中遭遇了一些戏剧性的失败，所以如果他们落后了，他们可能会感到压力，但我认为他们会赢得这场比赛。在这种情况下，主队被迫开始强势进攻，打进攻，并在后场留下空间，这些空间将被巴黎圣日耳曼的前锋杀死，他们在反击时是致命的。