Den Bosch VS Groningen

Den Bosch welcome Groningen for this Eerste Divisie round 28 battle at De Vliert in 's-Hertogenbosch very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Dutch football. The level is pretty good for a second tier by European standards but the difference compared to the highest level is substantial. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards here. However, we have a very lucrative match to bet on here! The visitors currently occupy the 6th place in the standings. A total of 20 clubs play in this league. They were relegated to this level after having an abysmal last season in the Eredivisie. They have been a disappointment to me this season – even taking into account the fact that they lost some important players after last season. Consequently I have lowered their power rating from my in-depth preseason analysis. This rating reflects the teams pure class with the best possible starting eleven – excluding the motivation factor or possible fatigue caused by a gruelling match schedule. Groningen have 45 points to their account at the moment. They haven't really been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Groningen have netted the ball 43 times in this league so far this season. This number is not particularly high for a top-6 team. Indeed, for example Cambuur, currently in 9th place, have scored 60 goals.. Indeed, Groningen's offensive structure is pretty good but their attacks often lack speed and creativity – especially away from home. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 44.67.

The Groningen defence has been solid – no denying this. They have conceded only 22 goals in this league. However, we must realize that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is significantly higher – 27.89 to be precise. They have been in decent form lately but not at their best. Indeed, they have won two of their last five games during 90 minutes of play. In their last game they faced Feyenoord away from home in a KNVB Beker (cup) game and lost only 1-2. However, the hosts were more dominant than the final score would suggest. Indeed, Feyenoord generated 3.12 in xG – Groningen managed 0.20. Yes, Groningen deserve to be solid favourites here but the current odds of around 1.60 on the away win are still too low! The smart bet here is Den Bosch +1.5 goals handicap. I want to highlight that they are not a clearly bigger team in terms of players' total market value here. Indeed, according to Transfermarkt.com the Groningen squad has an estimated total market value of some 11 million euros. The hosts' squad is valued at around seven million. Both numbers are more or less correct in my expert opinion. Den Bosch, too, have been disappointing this season – especially results-wise. They are in 20th place with 20 points to their account but can improve in all areas of the game! Their number of xPTS is 26.55. They have been in pretty good form recently – losing only two of their last nine matches! In front of loyal fans I expect them to defend and fight hard here. The goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate.

登博斯VS格罗宁根

北京时间周二凌晨，登博斯欢迎格罗宁根参加联赛第28轮在赫托根博斯的德弗利特的比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这一水平已经相当不错了，但与最高水平相比，差距很大。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。然而，我们有一场非常有利可图的比赛可以下注!客队目前在积分榜上排名第六。总共有20个俱乐部参加这个联赛。他们在上赛季的荷甲联赛中表现糟糕，因此被降到了这个级别。他们这个赛季让我很失望——即使考虑到他们在上赛季之后失去了一些重要的球员。因此，我在季前赛的深入分析中降低了他们的能量评级。这一排名反映了球队拥有最佳首发11人的纯粹级别——排除了激励因素或紧张赛程可能导致的疲劳。格罗宁根目前有45分。从期望值(xPTS)的角度来看，他们既不幸运，也不不幸。本赛季到目前为止，格罗宁根在联赛中打进了43球。对于一支排名前六的球队来说，这个数字并不算高。事实上，比如坎布尔，目前排名第九，已经进了60个球。的确，格罗宁根的进攻结构相当不错，但他们的进攻往往缺乏速度和创造力——尤其是在客场。他们的预期进球数(xG)为44.67。

格罗宁根的防守很稳固，这是不可否认的。他们在这个联赛中只丢了22个球。然而，我们必须意识到他们允许的预期进球数(xGA)要高得多——准确地说是27.89。他们最近状态不错，但还没有达到最佳状态。事实上，他们在最近的五场比赛中有两场在90分钟的比赛中获胜。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场对阵费耶诺德，只输了1-2。然而，东道主比最终比分显示的更具统治力。事实上，费耶诺德在2009年产生了3.12个，格罗宁根产生了0.20个。是的，格罗宁根应该是最受欢迎的球队，但目前客场获胜的赔率约为1.60，仍然太低了!明智的选择是登博斯+1.5个进球障碍。我想强调的是，就球员的总市场价值而言，他们并不是一支明显更大的球队。事实上，根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，格罗宁根队的总市值估计在1100万欧元左右。东道主球队的身价约为700万美元。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。登博斯本赛季的表现也令人失望，尤其是在成绩方面。他们现在排在第20位，有20分，但他们在比赛的各个方面都可以提高!他们的xpt数量是26.55。他们最近状态很好，最近9场比赛只输了2场!在忠实的球迷面前，我希望他们在这里努力防守和战斗。这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低。