Local bookie sees RoPS - who got relegated from Veikkausliiga after a very poor season - as about 60% favourites and I have to agree.

In general the gap between the tiers in Finland is rather big, and MP do not belong to top-6 favourites this season as they have a cheap squad which is short of attacking talent. Defensively they are solid, and the coach Pasoja has done good work, but to win an away game - some 800 km away by bus - at Rovaniemi. There has traditionally been one or two divisions between them in class, and so their latest encounter dates back to 2010.

The ranking with winning odds for this league go like this:

总的来说，两队之间的差距是相当大的，而MP米克力不属于本赛季的前6大热门，因为他们有一支廉价的队伍，缺少进攻人才。他们的防守很稳固，教练帕索贾也做得很好，但是在800公里外的罗瓦涅米赢得了一场客场比赛。两队基本一直在不同级别参赛，所以他们最近的一次相遇可以追溯到2010年。

这个联赛的获胜几率是这样的:

We discussed VPS and TPS last time, and especially VPS do not attract one bit, so RoPS have a realistic chance of promotion back to Veikkausliiga whereas MP are closer to relegation zone.

Team news then? And form?

RoPS have played their share of friendlies mostly vs good clubs with mediocre results:

29.04. RoPS - KPV 1-4 (0-3)

24.04. RoPS - FF Jaro 0-0 (0-0)

18.04. RoPS - AC Oulu 1-2 (1-2)

11.04. RoPS - Hercules 0-0 (0-0)

28.03. RoPS - HIFK 0-1 (0-0) (Cup)

MP have had more realistic opponents from this and lower league.

29.04. MP - PK-35 1-0 (0-0)

24.04. JJK - MP 1-1 (1-1)

01.04. MP - JIPPO 2-0 (1-0)

27.03. MP - FCV 1-0 (1-0)

09.03. KuPS - MP 2-0 (1-0)

RoPS are practically with full squad, no news from MP side but even with their best lineup RoPS remain as big favourites. MP won their last friendly vs a decent side PK-35, but on the second half PK-35 changed kids in and the match turned upside down, they were classwise a few steps behind against the stronger lineup, and I see the same happening today in Lapland.

2-0

洛瓦涅米阵容完整，MP队没有消息，但即使他们派出最好的阵容，洛瓦涅米仍然是大热门。MP米克力在最后一场友谊赛中战胜了实力不俗的的PK-35，但是下半场PK-35换上了很多年轻球员，比赛就颠倒过来了，他们在面对更强大的阵容时发挥不佳，本场比赛可能会出线类似的情况。

预测比分2 - 0