Eibar performing a miracle survival?
2021-05-09

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

05/09 20:00

已完赛

解读理由:
Getafe are four points above relegation zone, which is pretty much what they deserved as they have won 2 of their last 16 games. One of them was vs Valencia were at playing a long time with 1 man down, and the other one away at Huesca where it was a low chances 50/50 game according to the xG-data. They would perhaps deserved a bit more points than they do, but in  big picture they are no better than the bottom half teams of the league and their actual position in the table is a result of random factors.
Recent results prove that Getafe is rather easy to analyze, you know what you get from this hard-working but skilliwise limited Bordalas side.

Class-wise the same words apply to Eibar, who are in deep trouble with 5 points below safety, but they do not belong to be there as the performance data suggests they should be at 40 points, not at actual 26! What has gone wrong?
In open play they are 5 goals below their expected goal count, but so far they have only scored 1 goal from a set piece other than penalty, and they have also missed half of their penalties! Those misses may turn out to be crucial in the long run!
So the position is not good, it makes the rest of matches practically must-win occasions, but their latest performances give a lot of reason it could be done.

The strong striker Kike Garcia showed leadership with his first hat trick v Alaves, but the whole team oozed fighting spirit and winning mentality and gave Alaves no chance, also the previous 2 games v Granada and Real Sociedad could had brought them a few decisive points more. Admittely there was a poor run of results and performances earlier, partly due injuries. Today there are only a few doubts in the squad, and none of them a key player, and the lineup is likely the same than in the latest wonderful performance.
I have doubted the mental state of Getafe all season and in my eyes they are themselves bored with the demanding and annoying coaching style of Jose Bordalas, but the big problem is the lack of pure class of attacking players in the team. Unless Cucurella in the left can create havoc, or Arambarri succeeds with his long shots they do not create much danger, and if Eibar are back on their high-pressing style from the start Getafe can be caught pants down, and they also half a dozen players who are just one yellow card short of suspension, and it might make them a bit doubftul at times. 
Expected lineups by local paper:



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