Pisa VS Modena

Pisa and Modena lock horns in this Italian Serie B round 27 battle at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani early Thursday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of a little better than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have a very promising match to bet on here! The hosts currently occupy the 15th place in the league table with a disappointing 30 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is even a little lower. There is no denying the fact that they have been disappointing as a whole so far this season. I expected more from them in my comprehensive preseason analysis. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding the motivation factor as well as possible fatigue caused by a demanding match schedule. However, it seems that the bookmakers have not reacted as much as I have.. Indeed, the biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits see Pisa as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.40 to send the visitors home empty-handed. Even taking the home advantage into account I strongly disagree with the bookmakers and see the game as a coin toss – a 50-50 match without an actual favourite. Modena +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here! Last season Modena finished only a little higher up in the standings than the hosts. However, this season they have been clearly better than Pisa!

Modena have netted the ball times but their number of expected goals (xG) is substantially higher – 35.66 to be precise. They have conceded 33 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is lower – 29.65. The hosts, on the other hand, have a score difference of 31:33. Their number of xG is 28.11 and their xGA is 36.54. Pisa have been in pretty poor form recently. Indeed, they have won just one of their last five games. They have now lost two games in a row. In their last game they were quite poor – losing to Pisa 1-2 at home. The visitors recorded more shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, they also generated much more in xG than Pisa -1.23-0.53. Before this they lost to Parma 2-3 on the road. Parma recorded many more goal attempts (16-8) shots on goal (9-3), attacks and dangerous attacks – 58-27. Modena have not lost any of their last five matches. In their last game they played a goalless draw at home against Spezia, a team who are more dangerous than the standings would suggest. Modena had 75% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts (31-3) shots on goal 7-0), corner kicks (11-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 94-29. Modena generated 1.87 in xG - Spezia managed only 0.15. Before this Modena faced Venezia on the road as big underdogs – priced around 4.60 to win by the bookies. The hosts recorded one more goal attempt but teams had four goal attempts. It was a 2-2 draw but Modena generated more in xG – 2.01-1.67.

比萨VS摩德纳

北京时间周四凌晨，比萨和摩德纳将在意大利乙级第27轮比赛中在加里波第竞技场-安科内塔尼罗密欧球场展开激战。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平好一点的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场非常有希望的比赛可以下注!东道主目前以令人失望的30分排名联赛第15位。他们的期望值(xPTS)甚至更低一些。不可否认的是，这个赛季到目前为止，他们整体上是令人失望的。在季前赛的综合分析中，我对他们的期望更高。因此，随着赛季的进展，我降低了他们的能量等级。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹级别——排除了激励因素以及高强度赛程可能造成的疲劳。然而，博彩公司似乎没有我的反应那么强烈……事实上，拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司认为比萨队在这里是最受欢迎的——他们开出了大约2.40的赔率，让游客空手而归。即使考虑到主场优势，我也强烈反对博彩公司的观点，认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——一场50-50的比赛，没有真正的热门。摩德纳+0.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择!上个赛季，摩德纳在积分榜上只比东道主高一点。然而，这个赛季他们明显比比萨好!

摩德纳有进球的次数，但是他们的预期进球数(xG)要高得多，准确地说是35.66。他们丢了33个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)更低，为29.65个。另一方面，东道主的比分差距为31:33。xG是28.11,xGA是36.54。Pisa最近的表现相当糟糕。事实上，他们在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。他们已经连输两场了。上一场比赛他们踢得很差，主场1-2输给了比萨。客队记录了更多的射门、进攻和危险进攻。此外，他们在xG上的产出也远高于Pisa -1.23-0.53。在此之前，他们客场2-3输给了帕尔马。帕尔马的进球次数更多(16-8次)，射门次数(9-3次)，进攻和危险进攻(58-27)。摩德纳最近五场比赛没有输过一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场0比0战平了斯佩齐亚，这是一支比排名更危险的球队。摩德纳拥有75%的控球率，并记录了更多的进球次数(31-3)，射门次数(7-0)，角球次数(11-0)，总传球次数，完成传球次数，进攻次数和危险进攻次数(94-29)。Modena在xG中生成1.87，而Spezia仅生成0.15。在此之前，摩德纳在客场面对的是威尼斯，被认为是大输家——博彩公司开出的胜率约为4.60。东道主多了一次进球尝试，但其他球队有四次进球尝试。双方战成2-2平，但摩德纳在xG - 2.01-1.67创造了更多的比分。