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2024-02-26

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡超

02/26 02:00

已完赛

吉维森特
1:0
波尔图
解读理由:

Gil Vicente VS FC Porto


Gil Vicente hosts Porto for this Liga Portugal round 23 battle at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in Barcelos very early Monday morning Beijing time.. The level of this league is clearly better than on average on the planet but it is still far from the level of the top-5 European leagues as a whole. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much lower than average level by this league's standards here. I mean, I expect a pretty one-sided game here. I believe Gil Vicente will be forced to defend hard for the most of the 90 minutes of play. They simply do not have the capability to challenge Porto for the control of the ball. There is no doubt about the fact that Porto are the massively better team here. The relevant question when analysing this match is how much stronger than Gil Vicente they are.. My answer is: even better than the bookies seem to think! Odds of around 1.50 are widely available on the visitors to take all thee points. Porto currently occupy the 3rd place in the league table. They have a decent 48 points to their account. However, they have been a slight disappointment in Liga Portugal so far, no denying that. Even so, in terms of pure class they are more or less at the same level as Benfica and Sporting CP.

Porto's number of xPTS is 52.33. They do not have the biggest firepower in the league and have scored only 37 goals. However, their defence is, in my expert opinion, the best in Liga Portugal. Indeed, it has no obvious weaknesses. They have allowed only 16 goals. The Gil Vicente offense is not totally useless but I would still not be at all surprised if they were to fail at scoring here. They are in 11th place and are not in real danger of being relegated but also have no true chance to finish in the top-7. Porto proved their class earlier this week, beating Arsenal 1-0 at home. Arsenal failed to record any shots on goal in this game. Moreover, Porto generated much more in xG than the English visitors – 1.34-0.51 to be precise. This massive win is surely a huge boost to Porto!



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吉尔·维森特VS波尔图


北京时间周一凌晨,吉尔·维森特将在巴塞罗那主场Estádio迎战波尔图。这个联赛的水平显然比这个星球上的平均水平要好,但它与欧洲五大联赛的整体水平还有很大的差距。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场远低于联赛平均水平的比赛。我的意思是,我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。我相信吉尔·维森特将被迫在90分钟的比赛中努力防守。他们根本没有能力挑战波尔图的控球能力。毫无疑问,波尔图在这里的表现要好得多。在分析这场比赛时,相关的问题是他们比吉尔·维森特强多少……我的回答是:甚至比赌徒想的还要好!游客获得全部三分的赔率约为1.50。波尔图目前在积分榜上排名第三。他们的账户上有48分。然而,到目前为止,他们在葡萄牙联赛中有点令人失望,这是不可否认的。即便如此,就纯粹的水平而言,他们或多或少与本菲卡和马德里竞技处于同一水平。

波尔图的得分是52.33。他们的火力在联赛中并不是最强的,而且只进了37个球。然而,在我看来,他们的防守是葡萄牙联赛中最好的。事实上,它没有明显的弱点。他们只丢了16个球。吉尔·维森特的进攻并不是完全没用,但如果他们在这里得分失败,我也不会感到惊讶。他们排在第11位,没有降级的危险,但也没有真正的机会进入前7名。本周早些时候,波尔图在主场1-0击败阿森纳,证明了他们的实力。阿森纳队在这场比赛中没有一次射门入球。此外,波尔图队产生的xG比英国客队多得多——准确地说是1.34-0.51。这场大胜对波尔图来说无疑是一个巨大的鼓舞!

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