Concarneau host Laval for this French Ligue 2 battle at Stade Francis-Le Blé in Brest very early Sundaymorning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have a very promising match to bet on here! Concarneau currently occupy the 14th place in the standings with a decent 32 points to their account. They have netted the ball 25 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is clearly higher – 27.44. The hosts have conceded 30 goals and their number of expected goals (xGA) is 29.12. They were promoted to this level from National for this season and have played better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. I have, as a result of their mainly positive performance, raised their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. The hosts currently occupy the 13th place in this rating. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 35.54. 

Corcarneau have been in fine form recently – taking two wins and a draw in their last three games. In their most recent game they played a draw at home against Paris FC as clear underdogs according to the bookies. It was a 2-2 draw but they would have, however, deserved all three points. Indeed, they had only 44% ball possession but generated much more in xG than the visitors – 2.23-0.44 to be precise. Before this they crushed Annecy on the road after an excellent performance! Indeed, they had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (6-1) as well as xG – 2.77-0.55! They were solid underdogs in this game on the betting market – priced around 3.50 to win. This was yet another example of them being undervalued by the bookies. The bookies see the visitors as narrow favourites here but I disagree. Laval have 41 points to their account but their number of xPTS is only 36.33. They have been in decline lately – failing to win any of their last four matches. They have looked confident on the pitch recently. The hosts +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here!

北京时间周日凌晨，康卡诺主场迎战拉瓦尔，将在布雷斯特的弗朗西斯-勒布莱尔球场进行这场法甲联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场非常有希望的比赛可以下注!康卡诺目前以32分的成绩排在积分榜第14位。他们有25次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)明显更高——27.44个。东道主已经丢了30个球，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是29.12。他们是本赛季从国家队提升到这个级别的，他们的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中所预期的要好。由于他们的积极表现，随着赛季的进展，我提高了他们的能量评级。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹级别——不包括激励因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起。东道主目前在该排名中排名第13位。他们的期望值(xPTS)为35.54。

科尔卡诺最近状态不错，最近三场比赛取得两胜一平。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场与巴黎足球俱乐部打成平局，根据博彩公司的说法，他们显然处于劣势。虽然平局为2比2，但他们本可以得到全部三分。事实上，他们只有44%的控球率，但在xG上的得分比客队高得多——准确地说是2.23-0.44。在此之前，他们在一场精彩的比赛后在路上彻底击败了安纳西!事实上，他们有55%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数，射门次数(6-1)和xG - 2.77-0.55!在这场比赛中，他们在投注市场上处于绝对的劣势——赢钱的价格约为3.50。这是他们被博彩公司低估的又一个例子。博彩公司认为客队的胜算不大，但我不这么认为。拉瓦尔有41分，但他们的得分只有36.33分。最近他们的状态一直在下降，最近四场比赛一场都没赢。他们最近在球场上看起来很自信。东道主+0.5球显然是明智的赌注!