12/10 in my last Australian bets
2024-02-23

Przem

外籍分析师

澳超

02/23 16:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Western, in my opinion, has a great possibility of gaining at least one point in today's encounter.


Western has a strong record against Brisbane, having not lost in seven of their last ten matchups. Western arrived to this stadium with no fear, having won three of their previous five matches here.


Brisbane is four places higher than Western, with ten more points, but the expected goals scored/conceded model suggests otherwise. Both sides have the same number of expected goals scored (26.7), while Western has less expected goals conceded (31.4 vs 32.9). According to it, it's difficult to say Western played worse than Brisbane up to this time.


Brisbane has been struggling for some time now. Only two wins in the last eleven matches. There has been no consistency at the back, with at least one goal conceded in the last 11 games. In the previous round, they led against Perth but lost 2:3. Their confidence is clearly not at its peak.


Western is now up and down, with three losses in their last six matchups. In the previous round, they faced formidable Melbourne Victory on the road (third place). Western had a 1:0 lead but fell after two late goals. From one side, that was a painful loss, but on the other hand, they almost won against a powerful Victory, so they should be able to pose significant issues for out of form Brisbane.


Without any shadow of doubt, value here is on the away side.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,西部队很有可能在今天的比赛中至少获得一分。


西部队在对阵布里斯班的比赛中战绩很好,在最近10场比赛中有7场没有输球。西部队毫无畏惧地来到这座球场,他们之前在这里的五场比赛中赢了三场。


布里斯班比西部高4位,多10分,但预期进球/失球模型显示情况并非如此。双方的预期进球数相同(26.7),而西部的预期失球数较少(31.4比32.9)。根据它,很难说西方到目前为止比布里斯班打得差。


布里斯班已经挣扎了一段时间。最近11场比赛只赢了两场。后防线缺乏稳定性,在过去的11场比赛中至少丢了一个球。在上一轮比赛中,他们领先珀斯,但以2:3输掉了比赛。他们的信心显然没有达到顶峰。


西部现在上下起伏,在最近的六场比赛中输了三场。在上一轮比赛中,他们在客场面对了强大的墨尔本胜利队(第三名)。西部队曾以1:0领先,但在最后两个进球后落后。从一方面来说,这是一个痛苦的失败,但另一方面,他们几乎赢得了强大的胜利,所以他们应该能够给布里斯班带来重大问题。


毫无疑问,这里的价值在远方。

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