Stade Rennais (Rennes) FC VS AC Milan

Rennes and AC Milan lock horns in this UEFA Europa League Playoffs 1/16-finals second leg battle at Roazhon Park very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty high level by this league's standards here! Most importantly we have yet another very promising match to bet on here! My fans and I have won a whopping10 picks in a row betting on this league! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that AC Milan are the better team here, in terms of players' individual skill in particular. They also have a better coach and I see them as a better, more mature team in terms of tactical capability. According to a German website Transfermarkt.com AC Milan are the much bigger team here with an estimated squad value of some 520 million euros! This is, in my expert opinion, still slightly too low. I would say that around 560 would be a fair number. The Rennes players are valued at approximately 260 million. This is undoubtedly too high – at least three players are overvalued. In my expert opinion around 210 million would be a more realistic number. AC Milan were the much better team in the first leg last week. They had a 58% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (19-11), shots on goal and corner kicks. They also generated massively more in expected goals (xG) 2.77-0.59 to be precise. AC Milan won the game 3-0 which of course means that Milan will qualify even if they were to lose by a margin of two goals. This definitely affects the probabilities here, no doubt about that. The bookies, however, seem to give this factor way much more emphasis..

The majority of the biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers, see Rennes as marginal favourites here. Yes, the home advantage is of course there but Milan are so much better in all areas of the game that - with the expected lineups - they deserve to be solid favourites here! We will take the AC Milan +0.5 goals handicap with a big chance of winning - once again! I want to highlight that Rennes will have to be extremely aggressive here – taking huge risks in an attempt to score goals..  This will certainly offer AC Milan many chances for fast counter attacks. They have some extremely quick and skilled high-quality players like R. Leao - who I expect to hurt Rennes mercilessly. Furthermore, I am not convinced that Rennes will necessarily even be able to actually control the events on the pitch in terms of ball possession. A lot depends on Milan's game plan and tactics..  The 0-3 aggregate score is pretty desperate from the hosts' point of view and I am not quite sure if the players or their fans truly believe in their chances of qualifying here.. Rennes currently occupy the 7th place in the French League which is a lot worse than the Italian Serie A! Rennes have taken 34 points and their number of expected points (xPTS) is 32.66. They have scored 34 goals and have conceded 26 goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 30.04. in their last game they defeated Clermont, a pretty lowly team, 3-1 at home. The ball possession was 53-47% and Rennes recorded two more scoring attempts (16-14). Rennes were priced around 1.60 to win this game on the betting market. Before losing to Milan they defeated Le Havre 1-0 on the road but the hosts recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks (5-1) and dangerous attacks - 72-39. They also generated more in expected goals (xG) – 1.03-0.53. Milan started the month of February by winning three games in a row but lost to Monza 2-4 away from home. However, the final score is very misleading! Milan recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 40-27. Milan are playing a strong season in the Serie A – currently occupying the 3rd place in the standings. They have a fine 52 points in their pocket.

雷恩球场FC VS AC米兰

北京时间周五凌晨，雷恩和AC米兰将在罗忠公园球场展开欧联杯附加赛1/16决赛次回合的激战。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准来看相当高水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一场非常有希望的比赛可以下注!我和我的球迷已经连续在这个联赛中赢得了10张彩票!当然，毫无疑问，AC米兰在这里是一支更好的球队，尤其是在球员的个人技术方面。他们也有一个更好的教练，我认为他们在战术能力方面是一支更好、更成熟的球队。根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，AC米兰是这里规模更大的球队，估计球队价值约为5.2亿欧元!以我的专家观点来看，这还是有点太低了。我想说，大约560个是一个合理的数字。雷恩球员的身价约为2.6亿美元。这无疑太高了——至少有三名球员被高估了。在我的专家看来，2.1亿左右是一个更现实的数字。AC米兰队在上周的首回合比赛中表现要好得多。他们有58%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(19胜11负)、射门次数和角球次数。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)，准确地说是2.77-0.59。AC米兰以3比0获胜，这当然意味着即使他们以两球之差输掉比赛，米兰也将获得出线资格。这肯定会影响概率，这是毫无疑问的。然而，博彩公司似乎更重视这个因素。

大多数接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为雷恩在这里是边缘热门。是的，主场优势当然是存在的，但米兰在比赛的各个方面都要好得多，在预期的阵容下，他们应该是最受欢迎的!我们将以AC米兰+0.5个进球的劣势再一次赢得比赛!我想强调的是雷恩在这里将会非常有侵略性——冒着巨大的风险去尝试进球。这无疑会给AC米兰提供很多快速反击的机会。他们有一些速度快、技术高的球员，比如莱奥，我希望他能无情地伤害雷恩。此外，我不相信雷恩有必要在控球方面控制比赛。这在很大程度上取决于米兰的比赛计划和战术。从东道主的角度来看，0-3的总比分相当令人绝望，我不太确定球员或他们的球迷是否真的相信他们在这里出线的机会。雷恩目前在法甲联赛中排名第七，比意甲还差得多!雷恩拿到了34分，他们的期望分数(xPTS)是32.66分。他们进了34球丢了26球。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是30.04。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场以3-1击败了实力相当弱的克莱蒙队。控球率为53-47%，雷恩又有两次得分尝试(16-14)。雷恩在博彩市场上的赌价是1.60左右。在输给米兰之前，他们在客场以1比0击败勒阿弗尔，但东道主的进球次数、射正、角球(5比1)和危险进攻(72比39)更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG) - 1.03-0.53。米兰在二月初取得了三连胜，但在客场2-4不敌蒙扎。然而，最终的分数是非常误导的!米兰的进球次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都要多出40胜27负。米兰本赛季在意甲表现强劲，目前排名第三。他们被罚了52分。