8/9 last WON in this competition! $$$
2024-02-20

Tapio

外籍分析师

英锦标赛

02/21 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Blackpool VS Peterborough United


Blackpool host Peterborough for this EFL Trophy semi-finals battle at Bloomfield Road early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the League One, the third-highest level of English football. This league is clearly the best third tier on the planet. Most teams play pretty physical and straightforward "traditional English football". This is what I expect to see here as well. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much better than average level by this competition's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative game to bet on here! We have won eight of the last nine games betting on the EFL Cup. There is no doubt about the fact that Peterborough are the better team here! According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Peterborough are the much bigger team. Indeed, their squad has an estimated market value of about 17 million euros. The hosts' players are valued at a total of some 12 million. The visitors currently occupy the 5th place in League One. They have a fine 56 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher– 59.77 to be precise. Their goal difference is strong – 60:41. The 60 goals scored is the biggest number in this league! They have many fast, very skilled and creative offensive players - for this level I mean. They sometimes take a bit too big risks though and this leads to conceding more goals - especially from fast counter attacks - than some other top teams. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 37.43.

Blackpool have netted the ball 50 times in League one and their offense has significantly less firepower than Peterborough's. In terms of defensive quality the visitors have a narrow edge only. Indeed, the hosts have allowed 39 goals and their number of xGA is 40.03. Blackpool are having a disappointing season and are in 8th place in the standings. They have grabbed 50 points and their number of xPTS is 47.88. The bookies see the hosts as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to win during the 90 minutes of play. However, I expect the odds on the visitors to drop before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them. I disagree with the bookmakers and see Blackpool as not the favourites here. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Peterborough have not been at their best lately but have also had quite a lot of bad luck. The bookies have overreacted to their four straight losses. I will not. Blackpool defeated Peterborough 2-1 away from home only three days ago but the match was pretty balanced as a whole. The hosts had 63% ball possession but Blackpool recorded one more goal attempt. I want to highlight that for some reason Peterborough played clearly below their normal level in this game. They are surely very disappointed with - and irritated by their performance in this clash and are looking for "revenge" here. Before this the visitors lost to Wycombe 2-5 on the road but the final score is massively misleading! Peterborough had 68% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Wycombe did record more goal attempts though – 15-11. Both teams generated 1.44 in xG. Blackpool have not been in strong form lately either. Before beating Peterborough they suffered two losses and took one draw (in February). On the 13th of this month they were abysmal – losing to Cheltenham 0-2 away from home as solid favourites on their betting market. The hosts recorded massively more goal attempts (17-3) and shots on target – 8-1! Moreover, they generated 2.56 in xG – poor Blackpool managed only 0.19!



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布莱克浦VS彼得堡联队


北京时间周三凌晨,布莱克浦将在布卢姆菲尔德路主场迎战彼得伯勒,进行联赛杯半决赛。这两支球队都参加了英甲联赛,这是英国足球的第三高级别联赛。这个联盟显然是这个星球上最好的第三梯队。大多数球队踢的都是身体对抗和直截了当的“传统英式足球”。这也是我期望在这里看到的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比比赛平均水平高得多的比赛。最重要的是,我们又有一个非常有利可图的游戏可以押注!我们在过去9场赌联赛杯的比赛中赢了8场。毫无疑问,彼得堡在这里是一支更好的球队!根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,彼得堡是一支更大的球队。事实上,这支球队的市值估计在1700万欧元左右。东道主球员的身价总计约为1200万欧元。客队目前在英甲排名第五。他们被罚了56分。他们的期望值(xPTS)更高——准确地说是59.77。他们的净胜球差距很大——60:41。60个进球是这个联赛中最多的数字!他们有很多速度快、技术娴熟、有创造力的进攻球员——我指的是这个级别的球员。他们有时会冒太大的风险,这导致他们比其他一些顶级球队丢了更多的球,尤其是在快速反击中。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)只有37.43个。

布莱克浦在联赛中有50次进球,他们的进攻火力明显低于彼得伯勒。就防守质量而言,客队只有微弱的优势。事实上,东道主已经丢了39个球,他们的射门数是40.03。布莱克浦本赛季表现令人失望,目前排名第8。他们拿到了50分,他们的得分是47.88分。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队,在90分钟的比赛中,他们的胜率约为2.35。然而,我预计客队的赔率在开球前会下降,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。我不同意博彩公司的看法,我认为布莱克浦不是最受欢迎的球队。我们将采用+0.5目标障碍选项。彼得伯勒最近状态不佳,而且运气也不太好。赌徒们对他们的四连败反应过度了。我不会的。就在三天前,布莱克浦客场2-1击败了彼得伯勒,但这场比赛总体上是相当平衡的。主队有63%的控球率,但布莱克浦又尝试了一个进球。我想强调的是,由于某些原因,彼得伯勒在这场比赛中的表现明显低于他们的正常水平。他们肯定对自己在这场比赛中的表现感到非常失望和恼火,并在这里寻求“报复”。在此之前,客队客场2-5不敌维康比,但最后的比分是非常误导人的!彼得堡有68%的控球率,记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。不过,威康比的进球次数更多,15胜11负。两支球队在xG上的得分都是1.44。布莱克浦最近的状态也不太好。在击败彼得伯勒之前,他们经历了两场失利和一场平局(二月)。本月13日,他们表现糟糕——客场0-2不敌切尔滕纳姆,在他们的博彩市场上,他们是夺冠热门。东道主的进球次数(17-3)和射正次数(8-1)都要多得多!此外,他们在xG赛季取得了2.56的进球,而可怜的布莱克浦只取得了0.19的进球!

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