FREE PICK! 西甲 阿梅里亚VS毕尔巴鄂
2024-02-13

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西甲

02/13 04:00

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Almeria VS Athletic Bilbao


Almeria and Athletic Bilbao lock horns in this Spanish LaLiga round 24 battle at Power Horse Stadium early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the 2nd-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very interesting game to bet on here! It is pretty obvious that the visitors are the better team here in terms of pure class. They currently occupy the 5th place in the standings and have a fine 26 points in their pocket. They have a genuine chance of making it to the top-4 – and earning a ticket for the UEFA Champions League for the next season. Atletico Madrid, currently in 4th place, have grabbed three more points than Bilbao. The visitors have not been either lucky or unlucky of expected points (xPTS) is 27.89. They have a lot of firepower and have scored 42 goals so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 46.11. Their defence has been very solid – they have only conceded 21 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is a bit higher though. Girona, in 2nd place and Barcelona (3rd) have allowed many more goals – 29 and 26 to be precise. Bilbao have clearly improved from last season – especially in terms of offensive creativity. They have been in excellent form for many months already - losing only one of their last 19 matches. Moreover, they have won 14 of these 19 games! What an amazing record it is. I trust their coach a lot and according to my sources they have a great team spirit.

Athletic Bilbao beat Atletico Madrid 1-0 away from home in their last game. It was a Copa del Rey game and Bilbao were clear underdogs in this 1st leg clash – priced around 4.50 to win on the betting market. Before this they crushed Mallorca 4-0 at home. They fully deserved the win after having 62% ball possession and recording many more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated 2.34 in xG and defended very well – allowing Mallorca only 0.33 in xG. Almeria, on the other hand, are a poor team. They are, in fact, the worst team in LaLiga. They are a small team in terms of financial resources and lack quality in all areas of the game. They have scored only 22 goals and have allowed a whopping 51 goals. This is the biggest number in this league. They are in 20th (last) place with a pathetic six points to their attack and will almost surely be relegated to LaLiga2. I cannot see them being able to stop the visitors' skilled and fast offensive players here. They do have some potential for improvement though and have been unlucky in terms of xPTS. The bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis here and offer Bilbao odds of around 1.80 to win. This is too high as they have a 62% chance to win. The hosts have lost three games in a row and are low in confidence. Moreover, they have not won any of their last 14 matches!



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阿尔梅里亚VS毕尔巴鄂竞技


北京时间周二凌晨,阿尔梅里亚和毕尔巴鄂竞技将在马力体育场进行西甲联赛第24轮激战。这是世界上第二好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有趣的游戏可以下注!很明显,客队在纯粹的水平上是更好的球队。他们目前在积分榜上排名第五,并且已经拿到了26分。他们有真正的机会进入前四,并赢得下赛季欧洲冠军联赛的入场券。目前排名第四的马德里竞技比毕尔巴鄂多拿了3分。客队既不幸运也不不幸,期望积分(xPTS)为27.89。他们火力强大,目前已经进了42个球。然而,他们的预期目标数(xG)为46.11。他们的防守非常稳固——他们只丢了21个球,但是他们的预期失球数(xGA)要高一些。排名第二的赫罗纳和排名第三的巴塞罗那丢了更多的球——确切地说是29和26。毕尔巴鄂明显比上赛季有了进步,尤其是在进攻创造力方面。他们在最近的19场比赛中只输了一场,已经有好几个月的状态了。此外,他们在这19场比赛中赢了14场!这是一个多么惊人的记录啊。我非常信任他们的教练,据我所知,他们有很强的团队精神。

毕尔巴鄂竞技在上一场比赛中客场1-0击败马德里竞技。这是一场国王杯的比赛,毕尔巴鄂在第一回合的比赛中显然处于劣势,在博彩市场上的胜率约为4.5英镑。在此之前,他们在主场4-0击败了马洛卡。他们拥有62%的控球率,记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数,完全配得上这场胜利。他们在场上的得分也达到了2.34,防守也很好——只让马洛卡在场上的得分达到了0.33。另一方面,阿尔梅里亚是一支糟糕的球队。事实上,他们是西甲最差的球队。从财政资源来看,他们是一个小团队,在游戏的所有领域都缺乏质量。他们只进了22个球,丢了51个球。这是联盟中最大的数字。他们排在第20(最后)位,攻击力只有可怜的6分,几乎肯定会降级到西甲。我看不出他们能在这里阻挡客队技术娴熟、进攻速度快的球员。不过,它们确实有一些改进的潜力,而且在xPTS方面表现不佳。博彩公司似乎在这里过于强调这种潜在的方式,并提供毕尔巴鄂的赔率约为1.80。这太高了,因为他们有62%的获胜机会。东道主连输三场,信心低落。此外,他们在过去的14场比赛中没有赢过一场!

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