Union Berlin VS VfL Wolfsburg

Union Berlin welcome Wolfsburg for this German Bundesliga round 24 clash at Stadion An der Alten Försterei late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by this league's standards here! Most importantly we have yet another very promising game to bet on here. We have achieved fine results betting on this league. Union Berlin are having a terrible season – especially results-wise. They currently occupy the 15th place in the Bundesliga where a total of 18 clubs play. They are not even safe from relegation! They have only 17 points to their account. I have significantly lowered their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors or possible fatigue – caused by a gruelling match schedule.. Yes, they have potential for some improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis. Last season they played much better than – I believe – anyone would have expected. They ended up in 4th place with 62 points. However, they were very lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Furthermore, many of their players played above their normal level last season. This season they have been unlucky in terms of xPTS but not significantly. They even played in the UEFA Champions League last autumn but their lack of pure class became very clear in the six group stage matches. They lost four games and took two draws. They have scored only 18 goals in the Bundesliga this season – this is the third-lowest number in the league. Yes, their number of expected goals (xG) is higher but it is clear that they lack especially speed and individual skill to seriously compete for a top-8 position. Their defence is not awful but they have still allowed 34 goals. This reflects their defensive vulnerabilities pretty well. They struggle especially when the opponent presses them hard in an organized way.

Wolfsburg are playing a pretty strong season and are in 11th place in the league table. They have grabbed 23 points. Their number of xPTS is 26.03. In terms of xG and expected goals allowed (xG) they have been slightly unlucky. Their score difference is much better than the hosts' - 25:32. With the expected linups they are definitely the stronger team here. They are also the much bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. Indeed, the Union Berlin squad is valued at around 150 million euros. The hosts' players are valued at around 250 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, more or less correct. The biggest bookies see the hosts as solid favourites, offering them odds of around 2.20 to take all three points at the time of posting this preview Wednesday evening Beijing time. I strongly and expect a very balanced game here. We will take the Wolfsburg +0.5 goals handicap option here. Both teams have been in mediocre form recently. They face Mainz on Wednesday local time. The hosts have won two of their last five games at the time of posting. In their last game they were quite poor – losing to Leipzig 0-2 on the road. The hosts controlled the game – having a 64% ball possession. They also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG – 1.78-0.52. Before this they were okay and beat Darmstadt, a small team, 1-0 at home as clear favourites according to the bookies. However, the visitors, too, had their chances and recorded 16 goal attempts. On the 24th of January they met Bayern in Munich and lost only 0-1 but Bayern dominated the game and should have won by a bigger margin. The xG numbers were 3.02-0.44. The visitors have not lost for a long time but have now played four draws in a row. In their last game they faced Hoffenheim, a better team than Union Berlin, at home and it was a balanced battle. 2-2 was the final score. Before this they were very unlucky not to beat Köln at home – it was a 1-1 draw.. Wolsburg recorded many more goal attempts (12-6) , shots on goal, shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG – 2.56-0.39 to be precise. On the 20th of January they played against Heidenheim on the road and it was a 1-1 draw. Wolfsburg generated more in xG – 1.34-0.82.

柏林联盟VS沃尔夫斯堡

北京时间周六晚，柏林联盟将在阿尔滕球场迎来与沃尔夫斯堡的第24轮德甲大战Försterei。这是世界上第三好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一场很有希望的比赛可以押注。我们把赌注押在这个联赛上，取得了不错的成绩。柏林联盟正经历一个糟糕的赛季——尤其是在成绩方面。目前他们在共有18家俱乐部参加的德甲联赛中排名第15位。他们甚至都无法保级!他们的账户上只有17分。随着赛季的进行，我大大降低了他们的能量等级。这个评级反映了球队的纯粹水平，排除了动机因素或可能的疲劳——由紧张的比赛日程引起的。是的，他们有一些改进的潜力，但是博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。上个赛季，他们的表现比任何人预期的都要好得多。他们以62分排名第四。然而，他们在期望值(xPTS)方面非常幸运。此外，他们的许多球员上赛季的表现都高于正常水平。本赛季他们在xPTS方面运气不佳，但并不明显。他们甚至参加了去年秋天的欧洲冠军联赛，但他们在六场小组赛中表现得非常明显，缺乏纯粹的水平。他们输了四场比赛，两平。他们本赛季在德甲只进了18个球，这是联赛第三低的数字。是的，他们的预期进球数(xG)更高，但很明显，他们缺乏特别的速度和个人技术，无法真正竞争前8名的位置。他们的防守并不糟糕，但他们仍然丢了34个球。这很好地反映了他们的防御弱点。当对手以有组织的方式压迫他们时，他们会挣扎。

沃尔夫斯堡这个赛季踢得很好，现在排在联赛第11位。他们已经拿到了23分。他们的xPTS数量是26.03。从进球数和预期失球数来看，他们有点不走运。他们的比分差距比东道主的大得多——25:32。有了预期的阵容，他们绝对是这里更强的球队。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的估计总市值来看，他们也是一支大得多的球队。事实上，柏林联盟队的身价约为1.5亿欧元。东道主球员的身价约为2.5亿美元。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。北京时间周三晚上，最大的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，在发布这篇预告时，他们给出了2.20左右的赔率来获得所有三分。我强烈期待一场非常平衡的比赛。我们将采用沃尔夫斯堡+0.5个进球障碍选项。这两个队最近的状态都很一般。他们将在当地时间周三对阵美因茨。截至发稿时，东道主在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。上一场比赛他们踢得很差，客场0-2输给了莱比锡。东道主控制了比赛，控球率达64%。他们也记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。它们在xG - 1.78-0.52中也产生了更多。在此之前，他们还不错，并在主场1-0击败了一支小球队达姆施塔特，根据博彩公司的说法，他们显然是夺冠热门。然而，客队也有机会，他们有16次射门。1月24日，他们在慕尼黑与拜仁相遇，只输了0-1，但拜仁控制了比赛，本应以更大的比分获胜。xG值为3.02 ~ 0.44。客队已经很长时间没有输球了，但现在已经连续打了四场平局。在他们的上一场比赛中，他们在主场面对霍芬海姆，一支比柏林联盟更好的球队，这是一场势均力敌的比赛。2比2是最终比分。在此之前，他们很不幸没能在主场击败Köln，打成1-1平。沃尔斯堡的进球次数(12-6次)、射正、射偏、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。它们在xG(准确地说是2.56-0.39)中也产生了更多。1月20日，他们客场对阵海登海姆，双方1-1战平。沃尔夫斯堡在xG - 1.34-0.82产生更多。