In my opinion Qatar have superb chances to avoid loss in this game. Double chance looks like a fantastic option to play. Value is huge.

Qatar has a big advantage because they are playing at home. For sure, support from the crowd is going to be strong and loud.

Qatar is the defending champion so I really don’t see them as the underdog in this game.

Qatar in this tournament looks outstanding at both ends of the pitch. Defensive formation is rock-solid. In the group stage they kept a clean sheet in all 3 matches. In the knockout stage Qatar conceded goals against Palestine and Uzbekistan, but in both matches they had expected goals conceded below 0.65. On the other hand, Qatar scored at least one goal in all 5 matches in the current edition of Asian Cup.

Iran doesn't have a better defensive formation than Qatar, no doubt about that. In 5 matches they kept a clean sheet only one time, against poor Hong Kong (3 losses). Obviously, Iran has a lot of quality in attack, they scored more than one goal in 4 of 5 matches in the current edition of Asian Cup, but they have not played against such a stable defense yet. Iran is the favorite and it is not easy to play from such a position, especially against the home team and title defender. In addition to that, when they played as a big favorite against Hong Kong, they had problems with creating big chances. Iran finished that game with only 0.95 expected goals scored.

In those circumstances I see great value on the home side. They have all the required tools to hold Iran firepower and with an electric crowd behind them they have serious chances to make another final in the Asian Cup.

This matchup is much closer than bookies want to suggest for us in their odds.

在我看来，卡塔尔有极好的机会在这场比赛中避免失败。双倍机会看起来是个不错的选择。价值是巨大的。

卡塔尔有很大的优势，因为他们是在主场比赛。当然，来自人群的支持将是强大而响亮的。

卡塔尔是卫冕冠军，所以我真的不认为他们在这场比赛中处于劣势。

本届比赛中，卡塔尔在攻防两端都表现出色。防守阵型坚如磐石。在小组赛中，他们3场比赛都没有失球。在淘汰赛阶段，卡塔尔对巴勒斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦都丢了球，但在这两场比赛中，他们都预期失球低于0.65。另一方面，卡塔尔在本届亚洲杯的5场比赛中都至少进了1球。

毫无疑问，伊朗没有比卡塔尔更好的防守阵型。在5场比赛中，他们只有1场没有失球，对手是实力不强的上港(3场失利)。显然，伊朗队在进攻端很有实力，在本届亚洲杯的5场比赛中，他们有4场进球超过1球，但他们还没有遇到过如此稳定的防守。伊朗队是最受欢迎的球队，在这样的位置上比赛并不容易，尤其是面对主队和卫冕冠军。除此之外，当他们作为大热门对阵香港时，他们在创造大机会方面存在问题。伊朗队在那场比赛中只打入了0.95个预期进球。

在这种情况下，我看到了主队的巨大价值。他们拥有所有必要的工具来压制伊朗的火力，在球迷的支持下，他们有很大的机会再次进入亚洲杯决赛。

这场比赛比庄家给我们的赔率要接近得多。