In my opinion Western have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Western is currently on a winning trend at home versus Sydney, having won two of the last three meetings in front of their home crowd.

I don't see Sydney as a significant favorite in this game. They failed to win two of their last three league games. According to the predicted goals scored/conceded models, there is no significant difference between the two sides on either end of the pitch. Sydney has 25.2 anticipated goals scored (Western 21.2) and 23.3 expected goals surrendered (Western 23.4). Home ground should make a significant difference. Sydney is not a great road team; in the current season, they have failed to win 5 of 7 away league matches (failed to win in 21 of last 33).

Obviously, Western is in last place on the table, yet they play better than their results indicate. According to the predicted goals scored/conceded model, they should be in eighth place now. Western has only one point in its last three matches, but I observed growth. In all three matches, they faced teams ranked higher than Sydney, and in each game, Western had a greater predicted goal score than their opponents.

The odds on the home team with a double chance are simply too high.

在我看来，西部在这场比赛中避免输掉的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

西部目前在主场对阵悉尼的比赛中取得了胜利，在过去的三次主场比赛中取得了两场胜利。

我不认为悉尼是这场比赛中最受欢迎的球队。他们在最近的三场联赛中有两场失利。根据预测进球数/失球数模型，双方在球场两端没有显著差异。悉尼队的预期进球数为25.2个(西部21.2)，预期失球数为23.3个(西部23.4)。主场应该会有很大的不同。悉尼不是一支伟大的公路球队;在本赛季，他们客场7场比赛中有5场失利(最近33场比赛中有21场失利)。

显然，西部在积分榜上排名垫底，但他们的表现比他们的成绩所显示的要好。根据预测进球数/失球数模型，他们现在应该排在第八位。西部在最近三场比赛中只得到一分，但我看到了增长。在这三场比赛中，他们面对的都是排名高于悉尼的球队，而且每场比赛，西部队的预测进球数都高于对手。

主队获得双倍机会的几率实在太高了。