On Sunday evening, Atletico Madrid secured a deserved 2-0 home victory against Valencia, propelling them to third place in the table due to FC Barcelona's struggles. However, with an eleven-point gap to league leaders Girona, winning the title seems unrealistic. Atletico Madrid's away record has been less impressive, with four wins, one draw, and five defeats.Their home form, on the other hand, has been nearly impeccable, earning them 31 points in front of their home crowd out of a total of 44 points. The team's defensive stability, a hallmark of Atletico Madrid, has been somewhat compromised this season, conceding 23 goals in 21 games. However, excluding two matches, they've only conceded 16 goals in 19 games, maintaining a strong average of less than one goal per game.In their last three competitive games, Atletico Madrid has shown signs of returning to their usual form, securing two league wins (1-0 against Granada, 2-0 against Valencia) and a victory in the cup quarter-final against Sevilla (1-0). The team is known for managing narrow leads effectively, often requiring just one goal to secure a victory.Atletico Madrid faces Rayo Vallecano, a team currently in 13th place with 24 points. Rayo Vallecano has struggled at home, winning only one game, but their away record is better with four wins, four draws, and three defeats. But Atletico won 7-0 last time so Simeone's players know were to attack Vallecano. Therefore, bet falls on Atletico Madrid to win, I would skip -1.5 on them as this match can be easily finished 1-0 or 2-1.

周日晚上，马德里竞技主场2比0战胜瓦伦西亚，在巴塞罗那的困境下，马德里竞技升至积分榜第三。然而，与联赛领头羊赫罗纳有11分的差距，赢得冠军似乎不太现实。马德里竞技的客场战绩就没那么令人印象深刻了，4胜1平5负。另一方面，他们的主场状态几乎无可挑剔，在主场观众面前为他们赢得了31分，总得分为44分。作为马竞的标志，球队的防守稳定性在本赛季有所下降，在21场比赛中丢了23个球。然而，除去两场比赛，他们在19场比赛中只丢了16个球，保持着场均不到一个球的强劲势头。在最近的三场正式比赛中，马竞已经显示出恢复正常状态的迹象，他们取得了两场联赛胜利(1-0对阵格拉纳达，2-0对阵瓦伦西亚)，并在1 / 4决赛中战胜塞维利亚(1-0)。这支球队以有效管理微弱的领先优势而闻名，通常只需要一个进球就能确保胜利。马德里竞技将面对巴列卡诺，一支目前积24分排名第13的球队。巴列卡诺在主场表现不佳，只赢了一场比赛，但他们的客场战绩更好，有4胜4平3负。但是马竞上次以7-0获胜，所以西蒙尼的球员知道要进攻巴列卡诺。因此，赌注落在马竞身上，我会跳过-1.5的赌注，因为这场比赛很容易以1-0或2-1结束。