02月01日马德里竞技 VS 巴列卡诺比赛分析直播
30：马竞VS巴列卡诺比赛分析
解读理由：
On Wednesday night, two games in the Spanish La Liga are going to happen. One of the matches will be between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. After 21 games, Atletico has 14 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, a total of 44 points and 3rd place while Rayo has 5 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses, a total of 24 points and 13th place. In this game, I predict Atletico's win.
Atletico has been on tier with 4 wins in a row. This team has been super good at home where they haven't lost a single game this season! Out of 11 games, Atletico has won 10 and one game ended with a draw. Overall, Atletico has scored a total of 25 goals in front of their fans and conceded 11. Atletico has generated an xG of 23.1 at home, xGA is 10.6 and the difference is 12.5.
Rayo Vallecano doesn't have the best period as they have 2 losses and 1 draw in the last 3 games. If we look further, they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the last 13 games. On the road, Rayo has 4 wins and 4 draws in 11 games, with a total of 16 points, 9 goals scored and 8 conceded. At this point of the season, I would say that this road record is misleading. Rayo has just 1 win in the last 5 road games in La Liga. Wins have been against Las Palmas, Getafe, Almeria and Granada - the last two are at the bottom right now while the first two are ok teams. One draw was against Real Madrid but the royal club should have won as they had a much better xG. Rayo has generated an xG of 11.7 on the road, xGA is 11.8 and the difference is -0.1.
The hosts are still unable to call upon defender Cesar Azpilicueta and midfielder Thomas Lemar, who are currently sidelined with injuries. Centre-back Jose Maria Gimenez is set to be out of action for two to three weeks while Alvaro Morata is a minor doubt after he picked up a knock at the weekend. As for the visitors, they are unable to call upon the injured Diego Mendez, while Pathe Ciss and Bebe are currently on international duty.
I'm going with Atletico. They are on a roll and should win this game. While they aren't competing for the title, they are just 2 points above the 5th-placed Athletic so Atletico can't afford losing points if they want to be in the Champions League next season. Since August 25th, 2013, teams have met 15 times and Atletico has won 12 times. At home, Atletico has won 10 out of the last 11 meetings.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
周三晚上，西甲将有两场比赛。其中一场比赛将在马德里竞技和巴列卡诺之间进行。21场比赛后，马竞14胜2平5负，积44分排名第3，而雷约5胜9平7负，积24分排名第13。在这场比赛中，我预测马竞会赢。
马竞已经取得了4连胜。这支球队在主场打得超级好，他们本赛季一场也没输过!在11场比赛中，马竞取得了10场胜利，其中一场以平局结束。总的来说，马竞在球迷面前进了25球，丢了11球。马竞主场的xG值为23.1,xGA值为10.6，两者之差为12.5。
巴列卡诺最近的3场比赛2负1平，表现不佳。如果我们进一步观察，他们在过去的13场比赛中取得了3胜4平6负的成绩。在客场，雷约在11场比赛中取得4胜4平的成绩，总共得到16分，进9球丢8球。在这个赛季的这个时候，我会说这个客场记录是误导性的。雷约在西甲最近的5场客场比赛中只赢了1场。赢过拉斯帕尔马斯、赫塔菲、阿尔梅里亚和格拉纳达——后两支球队现在排名垫底，而前两支球队还不错。一场平局是对阵皇家马德里，但皇家俱乐部应该赢，因为他们有更好的xG。Rayo在路上生成的xG为11.7,xGA为11.8，差值为-0.1。
东道主仍然无法召唤后卫塞萨尔·阿兹皮利奎塔和中场托马斯·勒马尔，他们目前正因伤缺阵。中后卫希门尼斯将缺席两到三周的比赛，而莫拉塔在周末的比赛中被撞了一下，他能否上场也有一点疑问。至于客队，他们无法召唤受伤的门德斯上场，而西塞和贝贝目前正在参加国家队比赛。
我支持马竞。他们状态很好，应该会赢得这场比赛。虽然他们没有争夺冠军，但他们只比排名第五的马竞高出2分，所以如果马竞想在下赛季进入欧冠联赛，他们就不能丢分。自2013年8月25日以来，两队交锋15次，马竞赢了12次。在主场，马竞在过去的11次交锋中赢了10次。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。