High winning rate in La Liga!
2024-01-31

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

02/01 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Atletico Madrid is in good form, managing the rotations very well and keeping the competitive spirit. However, they need to continue pushing because they have now two serious rivals for the TOP3 which is their target: leaders Girona and Athletic Club, who are 5th just two points below them.

As said many times, the main difference with Atletico this season is their attack. Morata and Griezmann are in great form, they have scored 13 and 11 goals respectively, and they are being very effective upfront. Furthermore, Atletico is attacking well and generating a lot of chances in all games.

Another player who should be important this season is Memphis, who is also in good form, as he scored a goal in the weekend game against Valencia.

Furthermore, Atletico is a beast at home. They are unbeaten since more than a year ago, which was in January 2023 against Barcelona. In La Liga they have won 19 of their last 20 home games, being a very difficult team to beat there and winning against strong sides such as Real Madrid or Real Sociedad.

On the other hand, Rayo’s season is being very mediocre in my opinion. They gained a lot of points in the first rounds with a lot of luck, as they were lucky in many games there. But recently they are showing their real level: a team who should be fighting to avoid relegation and if they are not in the relegation zone, is because the teams in relegation this season are weaker than other seasons.

They have a huge lack of goal with only 18 goals scored in 21 rounds, and their main strikers have scored 0 goals (Falcao, Raul de Tomas) or 2 in the best case (Camello). Their topscorer is winger Alvaro Garcia with 4 goals.

The most worrying thing is that lately they are not even generating too much upfront. It’s very easy for rivals to defend them, as they just need to close the lines and not leave spaces in the area, and Rayo is unable to find alternatives.

Rayo has won only 1 of the last 11 league games, which was against Getafe who received two red cards.

In the previous game this season Atletico destroyed Rayo winning 0:7. Of course I’m not expecting the same here but I believe that Rayo will struggle to generate chances whilst Atletico should be able to score at least 1 or 2 goals. Seeing the current form and recent performances from both teams, Atletico should be able to win here without problems.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马竞的状态很好,轮换安排得很好,保持着竞争精神。然而,他们需要继续努力,因为他们现在有两个强大的对手争夺前三,这是他们的目标:领头羊赫罗纳和竞技俱乐部,后者排名第五,仅比他们低两分。

正如我多次说过的,本赛季与马竞的主要区别在于他们的进攻。莫拉塔和格列兹曼状态很好,他们分别打入了13球和11球,他们在前场的表现非常有效。此外,马竞的进攻很好,在所有比赛中都创造了很多机会。

另一个本赛季很重要的球员是孟菲斯,他的状态也很好,他在周末对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中打进了一球。

此外,马竞在主场是一头野兽。他们自一年多前以来保持不败,那是在2023年1月对阵巴塞罗那。在西甲联赛中,他们在最近的20场主场比赛中取得了19场胜利,是一支很难被击败的球队,并且击败了像皇家马德里或皇家社会这样的强队。

另一方面,在我看来,雷诺这个赛季的表现非常平庸。他们在第一轮比赛中获得了很多分,运气很好,因为他们在那里的很多比赛中都很幸运。但最近他们展现出了自己的真实水平:一支应该为保级而战的球队,如果他们不在降级区,那是因为本赛季降级的球队比其他赛季都弱。

他们在21轮比赛中只有18个进球,他们的主要前锋已经打进了0个进球(法尔考,劳尔·德·托马斯),最好的情况是2个进球(卡梅洛)。他们的头号射手是边锋阿尔瓦罗·加西亚,打进4球。

最令人担忧的是,最近他们甚至没有产生太多的前期收益。对手很容易防守他们,因为他们只需要缩小防线,而不是在这个区域留下空间,而雷奥找不到替代品。

在过去的11场联赛中,雷约只赢了1场,那是对阵赫塔菲的比赛,赫塔菲吃了两张红牌。

在本赛季的上一场比赛中,马竞以0:7击败了雷约。当然,我并不期待同样的结果,但我相信雷奥会努力创造机会,而马竞应该至少能进1到2个球。从两队目前的状态和最近的表现来看,马竞应该能够毫无问题地在这里获胜。

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