6/6 last WON in this competition! $$$
2024-01-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

英锦标赛

01/31 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Bradford City VS Doncaster Rovers



Bradford welcome Doncaster for this EFL Trophy quarter-finals clash at Valley Parade early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in League Two, the third tier of English football. This is clearly the best fourth tier in the world. The players are full time professionals. Most teams play quite physical, "traditional English" football and players are expected to fight hard for every ball and never give up – especially in home games. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty mediocre level by this competition's standards. Both teams are having a difficult season so far. Bradford were strong last season and finished in 6th place after the regular season. Doncaster, on the other hand, ended up in 18th place. Not that much has changed after the last season in terms of pure class. Indeed, the hosts have a clear edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. They are currently only in 18th place with 36 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is much bigger – 40.02. Their offense does lack some individual skill and creativity to fight for a top-4 place in the League Two. They have netted the ball 35 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 39.87. Their defence, on the other hand, has a good structure and the defenders do not make many stupid mistakes. They have conceded only 39 goals – just two more than Wrexham, currently in 2nd place. I expect them to climb up the standings as the season progresses. They are in 12th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class excluding motivation factors as well as possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. The visitors are in 23rd place in this rating. I expect their manager to choose the best, or almost the best starting eleven here as they have a decent chance to win this competition. Their fans are loud and enthusiastic and winning at home – after some disappointing/unlucky games is surely important. 

Indeed, Bradford have not been at their best lately but have also had some bad luck. In their last game they lost to Swindon 0-2 away from home. However, they had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (11-5), shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 82-45. Before this they faced Salford at home and it was a 1-1 draw. However, the hosts generated 2.23 in xG – Salford managed only 0.44. On the 13th of this month they were – once again – unlucky away from home against Colchester. Bradford recorded more goal attempts (17-6), shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 75-35. They also generated much more in xG – 1.56-0.45. Doncaster are in the 22nd place in the league table and are not safe from relegation. Avoiding this fate must be their main focus this season and I would not be surprised to see their manager doing some squad rotation here. They do have some offensive power -and have scored 32 goals in League Two but their defence is poorly organized and the defenders make too many silly mistakes. They have conceded 52 goals! Doncaster have lost three of their last four games. In their last game they were extremely shaky in defence – losing 1-5 to Stockport at home! What an embarrassing performance! Before this they were a little lucky to beat Wigan at home after penalties 2-1. Wigan recorded more in xG – 1.43-0.67. The hosts have a 62% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of play. Odds of 1.85 are widely available at the time of posting. Let's go for the 7th winner in a row betting on this competition. One more pick on this competition will be posted today!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布拉德福德城VS唐卡斯特流浪者



布拉德福德欢迎唐卡斯特参加北京时间周三凌晨在山谷广场举行的联赛杯四分之一决赛。这两支球队都在英国足球的第三级联赛乙级比赛。这显然是世界上最好的第四梯队。这些球员都是全职的专业人士。大多数球队踢的都是身体对抗的“传统英式”足球,球员们要为每一个球拼搏,永不放弃——尤其是在主场比赛中。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这项赛事的标准来看相当平庸的比赛。到目前为止,这两个队都度过了一个艰难的赛季。布拉德福德上赛季很强,常规赛结束后排名第六。另一方面,唐卡斯特排在第18位。从纯粹的水平来看,上赛季之后并没有太大的变化。的确,东道主在比赛的各个方面都比客队有明显优势。他们目前仅排在第18位,积分为36分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要大得多,为40.02。他们的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技巧和创造力来争夺英乙前四的位置。虽然进球35次,但期望进球数(xG)为39.87。另一方面,他们的防守结构很好,后卫不会犯很多愚蠢的错误。他们只丢了39个球,只比目前排名第二的雷克瑟姆多2个。我希望随着赛季的进行,他们的排名会上升。在我的力量排名中,他们排在第12位,这反映了球队的纯粹水平,不包括动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的比赛日程引起的。访客队在这一排名中排名第23位。我希望他们的主教练选择最好的,或者几乎最好的首发11人,因为他们有很大的机会赢得这场比赛。他们的球迷大声而热情,在一些令人失望或不幸的比赛之后,在主场获胜当然很重要。

事实上,布拉德福德最近并没有处于最佳状态,而且运气也不太好。上一场比赛,他们客场0比2输给了斯文顿队。然而,他们有52%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(11-5),射门,角球,进攻,特别是危险进攻- 82-45。在此之前,他们在主场与索尔福德打成1-1平。然而,东道主在上一场比赛中攻入2.23球,索尔福德仅攻入0.44球。本月13日,他们在客场对阵科尔切斯特的比赛中再次遭遇不幸。布拉德福德的进球次数(17胜6负)、射门次数、角球次数、进攻次数,尤其是危险进攻次数(75胜35负)更多。它们在xG - 1.56-0.45中也产生了更多。唐卡斯特目前在联赛中排名第22位,并不能保证保级。避免这种命运必须是他们本赛季的主要目标,如果他们的教练在这里进行一些阵容轮换,我不会感到惊讶。他们确实有一些进攻力量,在英乙联赛中打进了32球,但他们的防守组织得很差,后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。他们已经丢了52个球!唐卡斯特最近四场比赛输了三场。在上一场比赛中,他们的防守非常不稳定——主场1-5输给斯托克波特!多么尴尬的表演啊!在此之前,他们在主场的点球大战中2-1击败了维冈。维冈在xG - 1.43-0.67的记录更多。在90分钟的比赛中,东道主有62%的获胜机会。1.85的赔率在发布时广泛可用。让我们为连续第七次在这场比赛中获胜而战。今天将公布更多的比赛结果!

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