Blackpool VS Bolton Wanderers

Blackpool host Bolton for this EFL Trophy quarter-finals clash at Bloomfield Road early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in League One, the third tier of English football. This is undoubtedly the best third tier on the planet. The players are full time professionals. Most teams play quite physical, "traditional English" football and players are expected to fight hard for every ball and never give up. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty high level by this competition's standards. Blackpool were relegated from the Championship after an abysmal last season. They lost some important players in the summer and are playing a very disappointing season. I did expect more from them in my in-depth preseason analysis. They are currently in 8th place in the standings. They have a decent 46 points to their account and have not really been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They have scored 47 goals in the League One but their number of expected goals (xG) is lower. Their defence is pretty mediocre – they have conceded 34 goals. For example Cambridge United, currently in 15th place, have allowed 33 goals.. They cannot match the visitors in any area of the game. Indeed, Bolton have scored an awesome 50 goals. However, they have a bigger advantage over the hosts in terms of defensive quality. Their defence is very well structured and silly individual mistakes are few. They have allowed only 26 goals. Bolton occupy the 2nd place in the league table with an impressive 57 points in their pocket! They have an excellent chance of being promoted to the Championship for next season! I trust their manager and players a lot! Furthermore, according to my sources they also have an excellent team spirit.

The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers see Bolton as marginal favourites here - offering them odds of around 2.55 to win during the 90 minutes of play. This is too high as based on my strongly data-based analysis they have a 43.50% chance of winning! We will take the Bolton +0.5 goals handicap option - hoping to win for the 7th time in row betting on this competition! According to a well-known and respected German website Bolton are the bigger team. Indeed, the Bolton squad has an estimated market value of around 15 million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, clearly too low. At least three players are undervalued. About 22 million would be a more realistic players' total market value. The Blackpool squad is valued about 12 million which is more or less correct. Both teams have been in pretty good form lately. Bolton have lost two of their last 10 games. The hosts have lost three of their 10 most recent matches. Bolton have now won two games in a row. In their last game they crushed Carlisle 4-1 away from home. They fully deserved the three points as they had 62% ball possession. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (8-2), shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Carlisle generated only 0.28 in xG in this game. Before this Bolton were far from their best but still beat Cheltenham 1-0 at home. Blackpool faced Charlton (15th place in the standings) in their last game as very clear favourites on the betting market and were disappointing offensively. It was a 1-1 draw. Before this they beat Bristol Rovers 2-1 away from home but the hosts were the better team on the pitch and had 55% ball possession – generating more in xG – 1.11-0.56 to be precise.

布莱克浦VS博尔顿

北京时间周三凌晨，布莱克浦主场迎战博尔顿，他们将在布卢姆菲尔德路进行联赛杯四分之一决赛。两支球队都参加了英国足球的第三级别联赛——甲级联赛。这无疑是这个星球上最好的第三梯队。这些球员都是全职的专业人士。大多数球队踢的是身体对抗的“传统英式”足球，球员们被要求为每一个球拼搏，永不放弃。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这项比赛的标准来看相当高水平的比赛。布莱克浦队在上个赛季表现糟糕后从联赛中降级。他们在夏天失去了一些重要的球员，打出了一个非常令人失望的赛季。在季前赛的深入分析中，我确实对他们有更高的期望。他们目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们的账户上有相当不错的46分，从预期积分(xPTS)的角度来看，他们既不幸运也不不幸。他们在联赛中打进了47球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)较低。他们的防守相当平庸，他们丢了34个球。比如剑桥联队，目前排名第15，丢了33个球。他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与客队匹敌。的确，博尔顿打进了令人敬畏的50球。然而，他们在防守质量方面比东道主有更大的优势。他们的防守结构很好，愚蠢的个人失误很少。他们只丢了26个球。博尔顿以令人印象深刻的57分排名联赛第二!他们下赛季很有可能升入联赛!我非常信任他们的教练和球员!此外，据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神。

接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为博尔顿在这里是边缘热门-在90分钟的比赛中为他们提供约2.55的赔率。这太高了，因为根据我强烈的数据分析，他们有43.50%的获胜机会!我们将采取博尔顿+0.5个进球障碍的选项-希望在这场比赛中连续第七次获胜!根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站，博尔顿是更大的球队。事实上，博尔顿队的市场价值估计在1500万欧元左右。以我的专业意见，这显然太低了。至少有三名球员被低估了。2200万是更现实的球员总市场价值。布莱克浦队的身价大约是1200万，这多少是正确的。两队最近的状态都很好。博尔顿最近10场比赛输了2场。东道主在最近的10场比赛中输掉了3场。博尔顿已经连赢两场了。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场以4比1大胜卡莱尔队。他们有62%的控球率，完全配得上这三分。他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正(8胜2负)、射偏、进攻和危险进攻。卡莱尔在这款游戏中只生成了0.28的xG。在此之前，博尔顿还远未达到最佳状态，但仍在主场1-0击败了切尔滕纳姆。布莱克浦在上一场比赛中面对查尔顿(排名第15位)，他们在投注市场上是非常明显的热门，但在进攻端却令人失望。双方1比1战平。在此之前，他们在客场2-1击败了布里斯托尔流浪者，但主队在球场上表现更好，控球率为55%，更准确地说是1.11-0.56。