Sutton United VS Harrogate Town

Sutton welcome Harrogate for this English League Two round 21 battle at VBS Community Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-highest tier of English football. This is undoubtedly the best fourth tier on the planet. The players are full time professionals. Most teams play pretty physical football and players are expected to fight hard for every ball. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards. Sutton are playing a very poor season so far. Indeed, they currently occupy the 23rd place in the standings in this league with a total of 24 clubs. The last two teams will be relegated to the 5th tier. Sutton are at great risk of suffering this fate! Indeed, Doncaster, in 22nd place, have taken 28 points. According to my sources their team spirit is far from great and I also do not trust their coach either in terms of tactical skills – or as a leader. Last season they finished in 14th place and the bookies seemingly do not understand how much their level has dropped this season. Yes, they do have some potential for improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 23.11. They have not won any of their last six games. Moreover, they have taken a win in only two of their last 15 matches! They have been low in confidence recently and their fans have understandably been very frustrated.. They have not been able to perform well even at VBS Community Stadium lately. The home advantage is of course there but it is smaller than on average.. I do not expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be that great here. Their defence has been incredibly leaky and it is impossible to write anything positive about it! They have conceded a whopping 56 goals – this is the biggest number in the league! Their offense is somewhat better than their defence though. They have netted the ball 32 times in League One. In their last game they played okay against Walsall away from home. It was a 1-1 draw but the hosts were the better team on the pitch. They recorded five shots on goal – Sutton managed only two. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 0.98-0.69 in the hosts' favour.

Before the game against Walsall they were dominated by Mansfield away from home but took a very lucky point. Mansfield had 68% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (13-2), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated 1.45 in xG – Sutton managed only 0.34. Harrogate have improved a lot from last season. They currently occupy the 11th place in the league table with 40 points in their pocket. They have been a little lucky in terms of xPTS. They have netted the ball 34 times but their number of xG is 38.12. They have allowed only 35 goals and have no obvious defensive weaknesses. With the expected lineups they have a clear edge over the hosts – especially in terms of defensive quality. Rather oddly, the biggest bookies see the hosts as favourites here – offering them odds of about 2.55 to take all three points. I strongly disagree! The visitors deserve to be solid favourites with a 43% chance of winning! They have been in fine form recently – losing just one of their last seven games. Moreover, they have won five of these seven matches! They have won two of their last matches. In their most recent game they beat Forest Green 2-0 away from home as clear underdogs according to the bookies. This was yet another example of Harrogate being undervalued by the bookies. Harrogate had 65 % ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-5), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG number were 1.89 for Harrogate - Forest Green managed only 0.66. Before this they comfortably beat Doncaster 3-1 at home as narrow favourites.

萨顿联队VS哈罗盖特镇

萨顿欢迎哈罗盖特参加北京时间周三凌晨在VBS社区体育场举行的英乙第21轮比赛。这是英国足球的第四梯队。这无疑是这个星球上最好的第四梯队。这些球员都是全职的专业人士。大多数球队踢的都是身体对抗的足球，球员们需要为每个球而努力拼搏。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。到目前为止，萨顿打了一个非常糟糕的赛季。事实上，他们目前在这个联赛中排名第23位，共有24家俱乐部。最后两支球队将被降级到第五梯队。萨顿很有可能遭受这种命运!事实上，排在第22位的唐卡斯特(Doncaster)已经获得了28分。根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神远非伟大，我也不相信他们的教练，无论是在战术技巧方面，还是作为一个领导者。上赛季他们只排在第14位，博彩公司似乎不明白他们这个赛季的水平下降了多少。是的，他们确实有一些改进的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。它们的期望值(xPTS)为23.11。他们最近六场比赛一场也没赢。此外，他们在过去的15场比赛中只赢了两场!他们最近信心低落，他们的球迷很沮丧，这是可以理解的。他们最近甚至在VBS社区体育场都表现不佳。主场优势当然存在，但比平均水平要小。我没想到球场的气氛会这么好。他们的防守漏洞百出，根本不可能写出任何积极的东西!他们丢了56个球，这是联赛中丢球最多的!不过他们的进攻比防守要好一些。他们在英甲联赛中打进32球。在上一场客场对阵沃尔索尔的比赛中，他们打得还不错。平局是1比1，但主队在球场上表现得更好。他们有5次射门，萨顿只有2次射正。预期进球数(xG)为0.98-0.69，对东道主有利。

在与沃尔索尔的比赛之前，他们在客场被曼斯菲尔德控制，但幸运地拿到了一分。曼斯菲尔德有68%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(13-2)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。他们在比赛中也有1.45个进球，而萨顿只有0.34个。哈罗盖特队比上个赛季进步了很多。目前他们以40分的积分排名联赛第11位。他们在xPTS方面有点幸运。他们有34次进球，但他们的得分是38.12次。他们只丢了35个球，并且没有明显的防守弱点。凭借预期的阵容，他们比东道主有明显的优势——尤其是在防守质量方面。奇怪的是，最大的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，他们提供了2.55的赔率来获得所有三分。我强烈反对!客队有43%的获胜机会，理应成为夺冠热门!他们最近状态很好，最近七场比赛只输了一场。而且，他们赢了这七场比赛中的五场!他们最近的比赛赢了两场。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们客场2-0击败森林绿队，根据博彩公司的说法，他们显然处于劣势。这是哈罗盖特被博彩公司低估的又一个例子。哈罗盖特有65%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(16-5次)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。哈罗盖特的xG值为1.89，森林格林仅为0.66。在此之前，他们以微弱优势在主场3-1轻松击败唐卡斯特。