A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-01-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡超

01/30 04:45

已完赛

里斯本
1:0
卡萨皮亚
解读理由:

Sporting CP VS Casa Pia AC


Casa Pia challenge Sporting CP in this Liga Portugal round 19 battle at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon early Tuesday morning Beijing time. "Challenge" is the only thing I believe they are capable of here as the difference between the two teams in pure class is massive! The lcel of this league is pretty high by European standards but it's still far from the level of the top-5 leagues. There are three big teams in this league. Sporting CP, Benfica and FC Porto. Braga, too, have a lot of money nowadays but on the pitch they are not at the top-3 level. The rest of the 18 teams are not very big in terms of player's total market value, according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. The hosts' squad has a huge market value of over 300 million euros! The Casa Pia players have an estimated total market value of only about 15 million which is still a bit too high in my expert analysis. The hosts currently top the standings with an impressive 46 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points xPTS is a little lower though. They have massive firepower and have scored 45 goals so far – this is the biggest number in this league. Their defence has not been quite at their best yet but can improve in this area of the game. They have conceded 19 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 16.56. They have been amazingly strong at home! Indeed, they have won all nine games at Estádio José Alvalade and have a score difference of 24:7 in these nine matches! I see a very one-sided game here. I expect the hosts to be very aggressive right from the kickoff – boosted by their loud fans - putting big pressure on Casa Pia's defence. They will most probably control the events on the pitch for most the 90 minutes of play. Casa Pia will surely defend hard – mainly relying on counter attacks, corners kicks, free kicks - or a possible penalty kick to score here. However, they do not have the fastest offensive players so I would not be at all surprised if they were to fail at scoring here..

The hosts have won five games in a row and have a big chance of winning by a margin of more than two goals – 73% to be precise. In their last game they were unlucky to lose to Braga away from home in a League Cup clash 0-1. However, they were the better team in this game! They recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, total passes, completed passes as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. Sporting CP generated 1.45 in xG – Braga managed 0.87.Casa Pia are in the 13th place in the league table and have just 19 points in their points in their pocket. The visitors' number of xPTS is 17.54. They definitely are not safe from relegation.. Their goal difference is poor – 19:27. They have now lost two of their last games and have looked vulnerable in defence. In their last game Farense beat them at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maio 3-1 and recorded more in xG. Casa Pia were solid favourites in this game on the betting market. Before this they suffered another defeat at home - this time to Famalicao. Casa Pia managed only one shot on target. The final score was 0-2.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

体育CP VS卡萨皮亚AC


北京时间周二凌晨,葡萄牙甲级联赛第19轮,Casa Pia将在里斯本主场Estádio jos<s:1> Alvalade迎战CP竞技。“挑战”是我相信他们在这里唯一能做的事情,因为两支球队在纯级别上的差异是巨大的!按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的,但距离前五名联赛的水平还很远。这个联赛有三支大球队。CP竞技,本菲卡和波尔图。布拉加现在也有很多钱,但在球场上他们不是前三的水平。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,其余18支球队在球员总市值方面都不是很大。东道主球队拥有超过3亿欧元的巨大市场价值!据我的专家分析,《Casa Pia》玩家的总市场价值估计只有1500万美元左右,这仍然有点过高。东道主目前以令人印象深刻的46分排名第一。不过,他们的预期点数xPTS略低一些。他们火力强大,到目前为止已经进了45个球——这是联赛中最多的。他们的防守还没有达到他们的最佳状态,但在这方面还可以提高。他们丢了19个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是16.56个。他们在主场表现得非常强大!事实上,他们在Estádio约瑟·阿尔瓦拉德赢得了所有的9场比赛,并且在这9场比赛中有24:7的比分差距!我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。我预计东道主从开球开始就会非常有侵略性,在他们响亮的球迷的推动下,会给卡萨皮亚的防守带来很大的压力。他们很可能会在90分钟的比赛中控制场上的局势。卡萨皮亚的防守肯定会很强硬——主要依靠反击、角球、任意球——或者可能的点球来得分。然而,他们没有最快的进攻球员,所以如果他们在这里得分失败,我一点也不惊讶。

东道主已经连续赢了五场比赛,并且有很大的机会以超过两个进球的优势获胜——准确地说,是73%。在上一场联赛杯比赛中,他们不幸在客场0-1输给了布拉加。然而,他们是这场比赛中更好的球队!他们记录了更多的射门次数、射正次数、射偏次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数以及进攻和危险进攻次数。在xG比赛中,竞技队的得分为1.45,布拉加队的得分为0.87。卡萨皮亚目前排在联赛第13位,他们的积分只有19分。xPTS的访问量为17.54。他们绝对不会保级…他们的净胜球很差,只有19:27。他们在最近的比赛中输了两场,防守看起来很脆弱。在上一场比赛中,法国队以3-1击败了他们在Estádio Municipal de Rio Maio的比赛,并在xG取得了更多的成绩。在这场比赛中,卡萨皮亚队是博彩市场上的大热门。在此之前,他们在主场又遭遇了一次失败——这次是输给法马里科。卡萨皮亚队只射正了一脚。最后的比分是0-2。

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