Can Palestine upset Qatar? 亚洲杯 卡塔尔VS巴勒斯坦
2024-01-29

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外籍分析师

亚洲杯

01/30 00:00

已完赛

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Qatar VS Palestine


Palestine challenge Qatar in this Asian Cup 1/8-finals clash at Al Bayt Stadium in Al Khor very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. "Challenge" is the only thing I believe they are capable of here as the difference between the two teams in pure class is very clear! Qatar is not a country with a huge football country but the home advantage is still substantial here. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this tournament's standards. Indeed, I see a pretty one-sided game here. I expect the hosts to be very aggressive right from the kickoff – putting big pressure on Palestine's defence. They will most probably control the events on the pitch for most the 90 minutes of play. Palestine will surely defend hard – mainly relying on counter attacks, corners kicks, free kicks - or a possible penalty kick to score here. However, I would not be at all surprised if they were to fail at scoring here. Indeed, Qatar have defended extremely well in this tournament. They have not conceded a single goal so far. They won Group B with a goal difference of 5:0. They won all three games. In their last game they beat China 1-0 after a pretty balanced battle as a whole. Before this they were quite dominant against Tajikistan despite winning only 1-0. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes as well as attacks. Moreover, they generated 2.32 in expected goals (xG). Tajikistan managed only 0.15. 

In the first game of the tournament Qatar crushed Lebanon 3-0 -  recording much more in xG. Before this they lost to Jordan in a friendly game 1-2. I did not watch this match but according to reports Qatar were not bad. Prior to this loss they took three wins in a row. In the World Cup in 2022 in Qatar they faced too strong opponents but did not collapse.. For example, the Netherlands beat them only 2-0. The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers offer odds of around 1.50 on the hosts to win during 90 minutes of play. This is, based on my in-depth expert analysis, still too high. The chance of my fans and I winning is 72%. Palestine have a few pretty skilled individuals but cannot match the hosts in any areas of the game. They have won only one of their last 12 games. This win came in their last game – over Hong Kong – a very poor team. They deserved to win but the final score is misleading. Hong Kong generated 1.44 in xG – Palestine managed 2.13. Hong Kong had a decent 14 goal attempts – Palestine's number was 19 though. They are in 99th place in the FIFA ranking. This is clearly too high. Qatar, on the other hand, are in 58th place which is more or less correct..



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卡塔尔VS巴勒斯坦


北京时间周二凌晨,巴勒斯坦将在阿尔科尔的阿尔贝特体育场迎战卡塔尔,进行亚洲杯1/8决赛。“挑战”是我相信他们在这里唯一能做的事情,因为两支队伍在纯级别上的区别非常明显!卡塔尔不是一个足球大国,但主场优势仍然很大。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届锦标赛的标准来看相当普通的比赛。事实上,我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。我预计东道主从开球开始就会很有侵略性,给巴勒斯坦的防守带来很大的压力。他们很可能会在90分钟的比赛中控制场上的局势。巴勒斯坦肯定会努力防守——主要依靠反击、角球、任意球——或者可能的点球来得分。然而,如果他们在这里得分失败,我一点也不会感到惊讶。的确,卡塔尔在本届比赛中防守非常出色。到目前为止,他们一个球也没有丢。他们在B组以5:0的净胜球获胜。他们赢了所有三场比赛。在上一场比赛中,他们在一场相当平衡的战斗中以1比0击败了中国队。在此之前,他们在对阵塔吉克斯坦的比赛中占据了统治地位,尽管他们只赢了1-0。他们记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数以及进攻次数。此外,他们还产生了2.32个预期目标(xG)。塔吉克斯坦只有0.15个。

在比赛的第一场比赛中,卡塔尔以3比0击败了黎巴嫩,在xG中取得了更多的成绩。在此之前,他们在一场友谊赛中以1比2输给了乔丹。我没有看这场比赛,但是据报道卡塔尔踢得不错。在这场失利之前,他们取得了三连胜。在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上,他们面对的对手过于强大,但没有崩溃。例如,荷兰队仅以2比0击败了他们。接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司在90分钟的比赛中为东道主提供约1.50的赔率。根据我深入的专家分析,这还是太高了。我和我的粉丝赢的几率是72%。巴勒斯坦有一些技术精湛的球员,但在比赛的任何领域都无法与东道主匹敌。他们在过去的12场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利是在他们的最后一场比赛中取得的,对手是香港队,这是一支非常糟糕的球队。他们理应获胜,但最后的比分令人误解。香港为1.44,巴勒斯坦为2.13。香港队有14次进球,而巴勒斯坦队只有19次。他们在国际足联排名中排名第99位。这显然太高了。另一方面,卡塔尔排在第58位,这或多或少是正确的。

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