Against the big audience? Top price!
2024-01-29

Jarkko

外籍分析师

英足总杯

01/30 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Let us start the week with an interesting value pick.


FA Cup, Blackburn are two divisions higher, but does it draw the full picture?

Blackburn:

they are in the relegation zone, they have the weakest defense of all teams in the Championship.

Their form in all competitions is very questionable:


They have conceded at least 2 goals 11 times out of their 16 home games this season, and only the 16 goals of Sammie Szmodics have kept them winning at times.

Wrexham promoted last season after almost a 100 % record, they are on their way to another promotion and they might face Blackburn next season in League One. They are currently 2 points ahead of the team below promotion line, but with two games in hand so it all looks good for Wrexham.


Wrexham naturally prioritize promotion, but as they are now backed by big sponsors they also will do well under any big publicity and live tv, there has even been a TV series of them - for two seasons - and now there will 3rd. Another promotion season with some cup success?

A few injuries and absentees at both camps.

The Transfermarket values on on Blackburn of course, but are their players overpriced, Wrexhams undervalued? I think so, and under current form and the horrible defense of the hosts I see a surprise away here, or well, it is not a surprise in my papers, but to be on the safe side let us take a +0.5 asian handicap here for a top price!




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

让我们从一个有趣的价值选择开始这一周。


足总杯,布莱克本比我们高两个级别,但这能说明问题吗?

布莱克本:

他们在降级区,他们的防守是英冠所有球队中最弱的。

他们在所有比赛中的表现都很值得怀疑。


在本赛季的16场主场比赛中,他们有11场至少丢了2球,只有萨米·斯莫迪奇的16球让他们保持了胜利。

雷克瑟姆上赛季几乎以100%的胜率晋级,他们正在再次晋级的路上,下赛季他们可能会在英甲联赛面对布莱克本。他们目前领先球队2分,但还有两场比赛,所以对雷克瑟姆来说一切都很好。


雷克瑟姆自然会优先考虑推广,但由于他们现在有大赞助商的支持,他们也会在任何大的宣传和直播电视下做得很好,甚至有一部关于他们的电视剧——两季——现在将有第三季。又一个在杯赛上取得成功的晋级赛季?

两个阵营都有一些受伤和缺席。

转会市场当然看重布莱克本,但是他们的球员是不是被高估了,雷克瑟姆被低估了?我想是的,在目前的状态和东道主糟糕的防守下,我看到了一个惊喜,或者,在我的论文中,这不是一个惊喜,但为了安全起见,让我们在这里以最高的价格接受+0.5的亚洲障碍!


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