Clermont VS Strasbourg

Clermont welcome Strasbourg for this French Ligue 1 round 19 clash at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand late Sunday evening Beijing time. Ligue 1 which is the 5th-best league in Europe. Football lovers and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by this league's standards. The hosts are playing a weak poor season so far. Consequently, I have significantly lowered their power rating. At the moment, they are in 16th place in this rating that reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a tough match schedule. A total of 18 clubs play in Ligue 1. I expect to see Clermont struggling hard to save themselves from relegation to Ligue 2 for last season.. Strasbourg currently occupy the 10th place in my power rating. Yes, Clermont do have decent potential for improvement as the season progresses but the bookmakers seem to give this potential clearly too much emphasis. They have taken a very weak 14 points in the Ligue 1 and are in 17th place in the standings. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is only very marginally bigger. Moreover, their goal difference is abysmal – 13:27 to be precise. The 13 goals scored is clearly the lowest number in this league! Their offense has lacked absolutely everything – speed, creativity, individual skill and passing accuracy at important moments - near the opponent's goal. Furthermore, their defence is poorly structured and stupid individual mistakes have been surprisingly frequent.

Rather weirdly, the biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers see Strasbourg as very slim favourites – offering them odds of around 2.65 to take all three points at the time of writing this analysis Friday evening Beijing time. I strongly disagree with the bookies and expect the odds on Strasbourg to drop before the kickoff as smart money will probably pile up on the visitors. The visitors have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. They have a 43% chance of winning this game. We will take them with the Strasbourg +0.5 goals handicap. Strasbourg are playing a strong season and are in 9th place in the league table. They have taken a pretty good 24 points and have been only marginally lucky in terms of xPTS. Their goal difference is 19:23. Their offense does, in all honesty, lack some individual skill - and sometimes creativity too – but their number of xG is still 24.02. For example, Nice - currently in 2nd place - have scored only 19 goals so far. The visitors have been in impressive form recently – avoiding a defeat in seven of their last matches. Moreover, they have won five of their last seven matches. Clermont and Strasbourg locked horns at this same stadium on the 21th of this month in a Coupe de France (French Cup) clash. Strasbourg were clearly the better team and took a fine and fully deserved 3-1 win! They recorded many more goal attempts (20-12), shots on target, shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, the visitors generated 2.98 in xG – Clermont managed only 1.32.

Before the cup game Strasbourg played well away from home against a big and strong team, Marseille. Strasbourg were, of course, big underdogs in this game priced around 6.00 to win on the betting market. Even so, they had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (18-8), shots on goal, shots off goal, and dangerous attacks. Both teams recorded 103 attacks. It was, in the end, a 1-1 draw. Before this they destroyed Avoine 4-0 away from home in a Coupe de France clash. Clermont, on the other hand, have won only two of their last nine matches. Before losing to Strasbourg they did, however, grab an undeserved win away from home over Nantes 2-1. However, Nantes had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (20-15), shots on goal (9-6), attacks as well as dangerous attacks! They also generated much more in xG – 1.97-0.97 to be precise. Nantes's B. Traore was sent off in the 73rd minute which had a heavy effect on the game.. I also want to highlight that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the lowly Clermont squad has an estimated total market value of only about 26 million euros. We must realise that this is a very low number by the Ligue 1 standards! The Strasbourg players, on the other hand, are valued at a total of about 124 million which is more or less correct in my expert opinion! That's a massive difference and should materialise on the pitch as on Sunday as well!

克莱蒙VS斯特拉斯堡

北京时间周日晚，克莱蒙欢迎斯特拉斯堡参加在克莱蒙费朗的加布里埃尔蒙皮德球场举行的法甲第19轮比赛。法甲联赛是欧洲排名第五的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的相当平均水平的比赛。到目前为止，东道主打了一个不太好的赛季。因此，我大大降低了它们的功率等级。目前，他们在这一排名中排名第16位，这一排名反映了球队的纯粹等级——不包括动力因素和可能的疲劳——由艰苦的赛程引起的。法甲共有18家俱乐部。我希望看到克莱蒙努力挣扎，从上赛季降级到法甲拯救自己。斯特拉斯堡目前在我的权力评级中排名第十。是的，随着赛季的进行，克莱蒙确实有很大的潜力可以提升，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力了。他们在法甲联赛中只拿到了14分，排名第17位。它们的期望值(xPTS)只稍微大一点。此外，他们的净胜球差得一塌糊涂——准确地说是13:27。13个进球显然是这个联赛中最少的!他们的进攻绝对缺乏一切——速度、创造力、个人技术和关键时刻的传球准确性——在对手的球门附近。此外，他们的防守结构糟糕，愚蠢的个人失误频繁得令人吃惊。

相当奇怪的是，接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司将斯特拉斯堡视为非常渺茫的热门-在北京时间周五晚上撰写这篇分析时，他们提供的赔率约为2.65。我强烈反对博彩公司的说法，我预计斯特拉斯堡的赔率在开球前会下降，因为聪明的钱可能会堆积在客队身上。客队在比赛的各个方面都比主队占优势。他们有43%的机会赢得这场比赛。我们将以斯特拉斯堡+0.5个进球的条件来对付他们。斯特拉斯堡本赛季表现强劲，在联赛中排名第九。他们拿到了相当不错的24分，只是在积分方面运气不太好。他们的净胜球是19:23。老实说，他们的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技巧——有时也缺乏创造力——但他们的xG数仍然是24.02。例如，目前排名第二的尼斯迄今只进了19个球。客队最近的状态令人印象深刻，在最近的七场比赛中避免了失败。此外，他们在最近7场比赛中赢了5场。本月21日，克莱蒙和斯特拉斯堡在同一球场举行了法国杯比赛。斯特拉斯堡显然是一支更好的球队，他们取得了一场漂亮的、完全应得的3-1胜利!他们记录了更多的进球次数(20胜12负)、射正、射偏、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。此外，访客队在2009年获得了2.98分，而克莱蒙队只获得了1.32分。

在杯赛之前，斯特拉斯堡在客场对阵强大的马赛队时表现出色。当然，斯特拉斯堡队在这场比赛中处于劣势，在博彩市场上的获胜价格约为6.00。即便如此，他们有53%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(18-8次)、射正、射偏和危险进攻。两支球队都有103次进攻。最后，双方以1比1战平。在此之前，他们在法国杯的比赛中客场4-0击败了阿沃恩。另一方面，克莱蒙在最近的九场比赛中只赢了两场。然而，在输给斯特拉斯堡之前，他们在客场2-1战胜南特，赢得了一场不应得的胜利。然而，南特拥有52%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(20-15)，射门次数(9-6)，攻击和危险攻击!他们在xG(1.97-0.97)中也产生了更多。南特的B.特拉奥雷在第73分钟被红牌罚下，这对比赛产生了严重影响。我还想强调的是，根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，排名靠后的克莱蒙队的总市值估计只有2600万欧元左右。我们必须认识到，这是一个非常低的数字，以法甲的标准!另一方面，斯特拉斯堡球员的总身价约为1.24亿欧元，这在我的专家意见中或多或少是正确的!这是一个巨大的不同，应该在球场上实现，就像周日一样!