SpVgg Greuther Fürth VS Holstein Kiel

Greuther Furth host Holstein Kiel in this German 2. Bundesliga round 19 clash at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in Fürth Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is one of the best second tiers on the planet. Many teams have pretty big stadiums and a large number of spectators. Football lovers and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of high level by this league's standards. Both teams are playing a good season so far – much better than last season. In the 2022-2023 season Kiel finished in 8th place with 46 points. The hosts ended up in 12th place with 41 points. Changes in pure class for either team have not been that significant for this season. However, I have raised both team's power ratings from the in-depth preseason analysis. At the moment, the visitors in 3rd place in this rating that illustrates the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. A total of 18 clubs play in this league. Both teams have a genuine chance of being promoted to the Bundesliga for next season. Greuther Furth are in 5th place in my power rating. I do not see either team having much potential for improvement as the season progresses. Holstein Kiel are currently in 2nd place in the standings with a fine 35 points in their pocket. St. Pauli have grabbed 36 points. However, Holstein Kiel have been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They have scored an impressive 34 goals and definitely have an edge over the hosts in this area of the game. They do not have the best offensive players in terms of individual skill but their offensive structure is great! Furthermore, the midfielders - when needed - actively take part in attacking. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 32.67. Their defence, on the other hand, has not, in all honesty, been that solid. Their defenders sometimes take a bit too big risks which sometimes offers the opponent chances for dangerous counter attacks. They have conceded 25 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 22.34.

Greuther Furth currently occupy the 4th place in the league table. They have taken 32 points and their number of xPTS is 30.12. Their offense has not been top-level so far. It often lacks speed and creativity – especially against the top-10 teams that defend at least pretty well in most games. They have netted the ball only 28 times. Kaiserslautern, currently in 15th place, have scored the same number of goals! The hosts' defence, on the other hand, does not have any obvious weaknesses. They have conceded 20 goals – only St. Pauli have allowed less goals. Their number of xGA is 21.44. In this area of the game they have a marginal edge over Holstein Kiel. Neither team have been quite at their best recently. Indeed, the hosts have won only one of their last seven games. The visitors have failed to win any of their last three games but before this they won four games in a row. Greuther Furth have not been able to beat Kiel in any of the last three games between the two teams. Kiel won the last two head-to-head matches 2-1! They last locked horns in Kiel in August and the hosts generated much more in xG – 2.33-0.89. Rather weirdly, the biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers see the hosts as clear favourites – offering them odds of around 2.05 to take all three points at the time of writing this analysis Friday evening Beijing time. I strongly disagree with the bookmakers and expect the odds on Kiel to drop before the kickoff as smart money will probably pile up on the visitors! With the expected lineups I see the visitors as slightly the better team here but taking the home advantage into account Greuther Furth are narrow favourites here. However, at the current odds the Kiel +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious clever bet here – with a 61% chance of winning once again! In their last game the hosts faced Paderborn away from home and "stole" a 1-0 win. Indeed, the hosts had 71 % ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (8-3), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG – 3.33-1.45 to be precise! Holstein Kiel were unlikely to suffer a defeat in their last game to Braunschweig 0-1 at home. Indeed, the hosts had 61 % ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (22-15), shots on goal (9-5), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. . I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Holstein Kiel squad is valued a little more higher than that of the hosts'.. This should be a fun and balanced match to watch. 1-1 is the most probable final score.

GOOD LUCK!

SpVgg grether fth VS Holstein Kiel

在这场德国比赛中，格鲁瑟福特主场迎战荷尔斯泰因基尔。北京时间周日晚，德甲联赛第19轮将在桑默体育公园举行。这个联赛是世界上最好的二级联赛之一。许多球队都有相当大的体育场和大量的观众。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。到目前为止，两个队都打得很好，比上个赛季好多了。在2022-2023赛季，基尔以46分排名第8。东道主以41分排名第12。本赛季两支球队的纯粹职业变化都没有那么明显。然而，我在季前赛的深入分析中提高了两支球队的实力评级。目前，客队在这个排名中排名第三，这说明了球队的纯粹级别——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的比赛日程引起的。共有18个俱乐部参加这个联赛。两支球队都有机会在下赛季升入德甲。在我的力量评级中，格鲁瑟·福特排名第五。随着赛季的进行，我不认为这两支球队都有很大的进步潜力。荷尔斯泰因基尔目前以35分的积分排名第二。圣保利队拿到了36分。然而，在期望值(xPTS)方面，荷尔斯泰因基尔队有些幸运。他们已经打进了令人印象深刻的34球，在比赛的这一领域绝对比东道主有优势。就个人技术而言，他们没有最好的进攻球员，但他们的进攻结构很棒!此外，中场球员在需要的时候会积极参与进攻。他们的预期进球数(xG)是32.67。另一方面，他们的辩护，说实话，并没有那么坚实。他们的防守者有时会冒太大的风险，这有时会给对手带来危险的反击机会。他们丢了25个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)“只有”22.34个。

目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们拿到了32分，他们的得分是30.12分。到目前为止，他们的进攻还不是顶级的。它通常缺乏速度和创造力——尤其是面对在大多数比赛中防守都很好的前10名球队。他们只进了28次球。目前排名第15位的凯泽斯劳滕也进了同样多的球!另一方面，东道主的防守没有任何明显的弱点。他们丢了20个球，只有圣保利丢了更少的球。它们的xGA数是21.44。在游戏的这一领域，他们比Holstein Kiel略胜一筹。两队最近都没有达到最佳状态。事实上，东道主在最近七场比赛中只赢了一场。客队最近三场比赛一场都没赢，但在此之前他们赢了四场比赛。在两队最近的三场比赛中，格鲁瑟-福特都没能击败基尔。基尔队以2比1赢得了最后两场面对面的比赛!他们上次在基尔争吵是在8月，宿主在xG - 2.33-0.89中产生了更多的东西。相当奇怪的是，接受客户最大投注的最大博彩公司认为东道主显然是最受欢迎的——在北京时间周五晚上写这篇分析时，他们给出了2.05左右的赔率来获得全部三分。我强烈反对博彩公司的看法，并期望基尔的赔率在开球前下降，因为聪明的钱可能会堆积在客队身上!从预期的阵容来看，我认为客队在这里的表现稍好一些，但考虑到主场优势，弗斯队在这里的夺冠希望不大。然而，以目前的赔率来看，基尔+0.5个进球的赔率显然是一个聪明的赌注——有61%的机会再次获胜!在上一场比赛中，东道主客场面对帕德伯恩，并以1-0“偷走”了胜利。事实上，东道主拥有71%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正次数(8-3)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。他们也产生了更多的xG - 3.33-1.45准确地说!在上一场主场0-1不敌布伦瑞克的比赛中，荷尔斯泰因基尔不太可能遭遇失败。事实上，主队有61%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(22-15次)、射正次数(9-5次)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。我还想提一下，根据德国知名、受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，荷尔斯泰因基尔队的价值比东道主球队略高一些。这应该是一场有趣而平衡的比赛。1-1是最有可能的

好运！