Who is the favorite here? 西甲 马洛卡VS贝蒂斯
2024-01-27

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

01/28 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I’m expecting a very tight game where Betis should be favorites.

Although Mallorca is improving recently with only 1 defeat in their last 12 games between all competitions (which was against Real Madrid), 4 of them were in the Cup against teams from lower categories. Only against Girona this Wednesday made a great performance, especially in the first half, winning 3:2.

However, that game will take its toll for the team. Firstly, because they will play the semi finals for the first time in 20 years, so the players will be overconfident and difficult to be motivated this weekend. Secondly and more important: fatigue. They received a red card at 67’ so they had to defend a lot during 30 minutes with 10 players. In that game they used many starters to the team will be exhausted.

Mallorca has been a team who has been lacking goal during the whole season, with only 19 goals scored in 21 games. They have won only 3 games so far (3/11/7 is their balance) - Celta, Sevilla and Osasuna. Celta and Sevilla are below them in the table.

On the other hand, Betis is a very difficult team to beat and very competitive. They have been eliminated in the Cup so their only way to achieve the target (play Europe next season) is to win the Conference League, or achieve a TOP6 in La Liga. At the moment they are 9th and 4 points below TOP6, so this match is pretty important for them to not make the difference bigger.

They have lost only 4 games so far in the season, less than Atletico Madrid for example. Their problem has been upfront, where they are lacking goal due to the poor form of their strikers. They have scored only 24 goals so far. 2 of those defeats came in the last 3 rounds: Celta (2:1 conceding at 96’) and Barcelona (2:4 conceding at 91’ and 93’). Two very unlucky ones.

Betis has much more quality and less fatigue than Mallorca. They will dominate the match and I expect them to be very motivated to achieve the three points after their recent results. As said, Betis is a very difficult team to beat and Mallorca struggles a lot to win games, so the draw is very possible here. However, I also see Betis favorite to take the three points from here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我期待着一场势均力敌的比赛,贝蒂斯应该是最受欢迎的。

尽管马洛卡最近在各项赛事之间的最后12场比赛中只输了1场(对阵皇家马德里),但他们在杯赛中有4场对阵低级别球队。只有在周三对阵赫罗纳的比赛中表现出色,尤其是在上半场,以3:2获胜。

然而,这场比赛会让球队付出代价。首先,因为他们将在20年来第一次参加半决赛,所以球员们会过于自信,很难在这个周末被激励起来。第二,也是更重要的:疲劳。他们在第67分钟得到了一张红牌,所以他们不得不在10名球员的情况下在30分钟内进行很多防守。在那场比赛中,他们用了很多首发球员,使球队精疲力竭。

马略卡是一支整个赛季都缺少进球的球队,21场比赛只进了19球。到目前为止,他们只赢了3场比赛(3/11/7是他们的平衡)——塞尔塔、塞维利亚和奥萨苏纳。塞尔塔和塞维利亚在积分榜上低于他们。

另一方面,贝蒂斯是一支很难被击败的球队,竞争非常激烈。他们已经在杯赛中被淘汰,所以他们实现目标(下赛季参加欧洲联赛)的唯一途径就是赢得联盟联赛,或者在西甲联赛中取得前6名。目前他们排名第9,比TOP6低4分,所以这场比赛对他们来说非常重要,不能让差距变得更大。

本赛季到目前为止,他们只输了4场比赛,比马竞还少。他们的问题在前面,由于他们的前锋状态不佳,他们缺乏进球。到目前为止他们只进了24个球。其中2场失利发生在最后3轮:塞尔塔(96 '时2:1失球)和巴塞罗那(91 '和93 '时2:4失球)。两个非常不幸的人。

贝蒂斯比马洛卡更有实力,也更少疲劳。他们会在比赛中占据主导地位,我希望他们在最近的比赛结果之后会很有动力去拿到三分。正如我所说,贝蒂斯是一支很难被击败的球队,马洛卡也很难赢得比赛,所以平局是很有可能的。不过,我也看到贝蒂斯最喜欢从这里拿走三分。

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