Zambia VS Morocco

Zambia and Morocco lock horns in this Africa Cup of Nations Group of battle at Stade Laurent Pokou in San Pédro early Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this tournament is pretty high by international standards – but still far from the level of the European Championships. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better average level by this tournament's standards. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that Morocco are clearly the better team here. They definitely have an edge over Zambia in all areas of the game. The key question is how much better they are.. Most football fans probably still remember the fine run Morocco had at the World Cup in Qatar in 2022. They went all the way to the semi-finals were they were dominated by France. On their way to the semi-finals they beat Spain and Portugal. However, we must not be fooled by these results. Yes, Morocco defended very well in both games but were definitely not the better team on the pitch. I am convinced that their great run in Qatar still affects the odds (too) much here.

Morocco are in 13th place in the FIFA ranking. This is totally unrealistic! In reality they should be ranked in 26-28th place. Zambia are in the 84th place but I would say that around 70th would be a more realistic place in the ranking for them. Morocco were disappointing in their last match. Indeed, it was a 1-1 draw against D.R Congo. Morocco were very clear favourites in this game – priced around 1.70 to win by the bookies. Even so, they generated only 0.94 in expected goals (xG). D.R Congo's number was 1.65. Zambia on the other hand have played better than I would have expected – taking two draws. They have lost just one of their last six games. Morocco do not have massive offensive power. I expect Zambia to defend hard and keep this close. We will take the +1.5 handicap option here.

赞比亚VS摩洛哥

北京时间周四凌晨，赞比亚和摩洛哥将在非洲国家杯小组赛中展开激战。按照国际标准，这次比赛的水平是相当高的，但与欧洲杯的水平还差得很远。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比赛，以本届锦标赛的标准来看，这场比赛的平均水平略好一些。当然，毫无疑问，摩洛哥显然是本届世界杯上表现更好的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都比赞比亚有优势。关键的问题是他们有多好……大多数球迷可能还记得摩洛哥在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上的出色表现。在被法国队压制的情况下，他们一路杀入半决赛。在进入半决赛的路上，他们击败了西班牙和葡萄牙。然而，我们不能被这些结果所愚弄。是的，摩洛哥在两场比赛中防守都很好，但在球场上绝对不是更好的球队。我相信，他们在卡塔尔的出色表现仍然(太)影响着这里的夺冠几率。

摩洛哥在国际足联排名中排名第13位。这是完全不现实的!实际上，他们应该排在26-28位。赞比亚排在第84位，但我想说，对他们来说，排名在第70位左右更为现实。摩洛哥在上一场比赛中表现令人失望。事实上，与刚果民主共和国的比赛是1-1战平。在这场比赛中，摩洛哥是非常明显的热门球队——博彩公司开出的赔率在1.70左右。即便如此，他们也只产生了0.94的预期目标(xG)。刚果民主共和国的数字是1.65。另一方面，赞比亚踢得比我预期的要好——两场平局。他们最近六场比赛只输了一场。摩洛哥没有强大的进攻力量。我希望赞比亚能努力防守，保持距离。我们将采用+1.5的障碍选项。