In my opinion, Barcelona has bigger chances to win than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds. +0 AH looks like a very safe option to play. I don't see a home win here.

Barcelona had a big mental advantage before this game. They won their last four consecutive matches against Bilbao, all of them 'to nil'. Overall, Barcelona has a superb record against Bilbao; they went unbeaten in 34 of the last 41 matches against them and recorded 26 wins in the process. Barcelona won the last match between the two teams at this stadium, 1:0.

Both teams are coming to this game in totally different moods. At the weekend, Bilbao lost 0:1 on the road against Valencia, and that was a poor performance. Bilbao looked toothless in attack, had only six shots, and finished with 0.49 expected goals scored. On the other hand, Barcelona recorded a great win on the road against Betis (that was their first loss at home in the current season of La Liga!). Guests looked very sharp up front and finished with 2.96 expected goals scored.

There are no new absences, so the Barcelona lineup should look exactly the same as against Betis. On the other hand, Bilbao has serious squad problems. For sure, they are without a key defender, De Marcos. In addition to that, they are probably also without key defender Lekue, important midfielder Garcia, key midfielder Vesga, key midfielder de Galaretta, key winger Berenguer, and top scorer Inaki Williams. That should have an extremely bad impact on the hosts performance today.

In those circumstances, value is definitely on the away side and I expect big drops in odds prior to the kickoff.

在我看来，巴塞罗那有更大的机会赢得比博彩公司希望我们根据他们的赔率。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择。我没看到主场能赢。

巴塞罗那在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势。他们在最近四场对毕尔巴鄂的比赛中都以“0比0”获胜。总的来说，巴塞罗那在对阵毕尔巴鄂的比赛中有着出色的战绩;在过去的41场比赛中，他们保持了34场不败，并取得了26场胜利。巴塞罗那队在这个体育场以1:0赢得了两队之间的最后一场比赛。

两支球队都带着完全不同的心情来参加这场比赛。上周末，毕尔巴鄂客场0:1输给了瓦伦西亚，这是一场糟糕的比赛。毕尔巴鄂在进攻端显得毫无优势，只有6次射门，预期进球数为0.49。另一方面，巴塞罗那在客场对阵贝蒂斯的比赛中取得了一场伟大的胜利(这是他们本赛季在西甲主场的第一场失利!)宾客队在前场表现非常犀利，最终预期进球2.96个。

没有新的球员缺席，所以巴萨的阵容应该和对阵贝蒂斯的一模一样。另一方面，毕尔巴鄂有严重的阵容问题。可以肯定的是，他们没有一个关键的后卫，德马科斯。除此之外，他们可能还没有核心后卫勒库、核心中场加西亚、核心中场维斯加、核心中场德加拉雷塔、核心边锋贝伦格尔和最佳射手伊纳基威廉姆斯。这将对东道主今天的表现产生极其恶劣的影响。

在这种情况下，价值肯定是在客场一方，我预计在开球前赔率会大幅下降。