STRONG results in this league! $$$
2024-01-23

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

01/24 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Grenoble VS AJ Auxerre


Grenoble host Auxerre for this French Ligue 2 round 21 battle at Stade des Alpes  early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of French football. The level of this league is quite high by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of very high level by this league's standards. Auxerre were relegated to this level from the Ligue 1 after last season. They had a very poor season and there were negative rumours around the club. According to my sources the relationship between some players and the head coach is at the moment not the best possible. Moreover, I also think that Christophe Pelissier is an overrated coach – especially in terms of leadership skills! Auxerre have unarguably been strong as a whole this season. They top the standings with 41 points to their account but it is also important to keep in mind that they have had quite a lot of luck on their side. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 37.65. They definitely do, however, have massive firepower. Indeed, there are many fast, skilled and creative offensive players in the squad. In this area of the game they have a clear edge over Grenoble.

The hosts' offense, on the other hand, has a very good structure but sometimes lacks creativity to break the opponent's well-organized defence. They have netted the ball 27 times in Ligue 2 and their number of xG is 30.11. Their defence, on the other hand, does not have any obvious weaknesses! Indeed, they have conceded only 19 goals. Auxerre have allowed 22 goals and their defenders sometimes give pretty risky passes near their own goal. Both teams' number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is a bit higher than the actual number. I expect Grenoble to put big pressure on Auxerre's defenders here right from the kickoff. They have loyal and loud fans boosting them! Moreover, they have lost just one game at this stadium in Ligue 2 so far this season. Taking the substantial home advantage into account I see this match as a coin toss – a 50-50% game without an actual favourite. The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits disagree and see Auxerre as solid favourites – offering them odds of about 2.25 to win. Grenoble +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here! Auxerre have won four of their last five games but have not faced many opponents of Grenoble's caliber and have not performed as well as the number of points grabbed would suggest.. In their last game they beat Bordeaux at home 3-1 as clear favourites – priced around 1.80 to win on the betting market. They were however, only marginally the better team in this clash. Auxerre recorded 1.54 in xG – the visitors managed 1.33. Before this they lost to Nice in a Coupe de France (French Cup) game away from home 0-1 after penalties. Nice are, of course, a big team though. They dominated the game allowing Auxerre only 0.23 in xG. The visitors also recorded only one shot on goal. Grenoble have not been quite at their best lately but have still won two of their last competitive matches. In their last game they faced Dunkerque at home and it was a 2-2 draw. Grenoble looked oddly disorganized in this game but I will not overreact to this match. The visitors also played a better-than-normal match. Grenoble generated 1.43- in xG – the visitors recorded 1.18.



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格勒诺布尔VS欧塞尔


格勒诺布尔将于北京时间周三凌晨在阿尔卑斯球场迎战法甲联赛第21轮的欧塞尔队。这是法国足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的——我的意思是,对于一个二线球队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准非常高水平的比赛。欧塞尔在上个赛季后从法甲降级到这个级别。他们度过了一个非常糟糕的赛季,俱乐部里到处都是负面的谣言。根据我的消息来源,一些球员和主教练之间的关系目前不是最好的。此外,我还认为Christophe Pelissier是一位被高估的教练——尤其是在领导技能方面!欧塞尔这个赛季的整体实力毋庸置疑。他们以41分排名榜首,但同样重要的是要记住,他们有很多运气。事实上,他们的预期进球数(xG)“只有”37.65。然而,它们确实拥有强大的火力。的确,球队中有很多速度快、技术娴熟、有创造力的进攻球员。在比赛的这方面,他们明显胜过格勒诺布尔。

另一方面,主队的进攻结构很好,但有时缺乏创造力,无法突破对手组织严密的防守。他们在法甲联赛中取得了27次进球,xG数为30.11次。另一方面,他们的防守没有任何明显的弱点!事实上,他们只丢了19个球。欧塞尔已经丢了22个球,他们的后卫有时会在自己的球门附近进行相当危险的传球。两队的预期进球数(xGA)略高于实际数字。我希望格勒诺布尔从开球开始就给欧塞尔的后卫施加很大的压力。他们有忠实而响亮的粉丝支持他们!此外,本赛季到目前为止,他们在这个球场只输了一场法甲比赛。考虑到巨大的主场优势,我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——50-50%的比赛,没有真正的最爱。拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司不同意这一观点,他们认为欧塞尔是最受欢迎的——给他们提供了2.25的获胜赔率。格勒诺布尔+0.5个进球显然是明智的选择!欧塞尔在最近的五场比赛中赢了四场,但并没有遇到很多像格勒诺布尔这样水平的对手,也没有表现得像所获得的分数所显示的那样好。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场3-1击败波尔多,成为夺冠热门,在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.8英镑。然而,在这场冲突中,他们只是稍微好一点。欧塞尔在xG的记录是1.54,而访客的记录是1.33。在此之前,他们在法国杯的比赛中客场0-1输给了尼斯。当然,尼斯是一个庞大的团队。他们控制了比赛,只给欧塞尔0.23分。客队也只射门一次。格勒诺布尔最近状态不佳,但在最近的正式比赛中仍然赢了两场。上一场比赛,他们在主场与敦刻尔克打成2比2平。格勒诺布尔在这场比赛中看起来很混乱,但我不会对这场比赛反应过度。客队也打了一场比平常更好的比赛。格勒诺布尔的数字是1.43,而游客的数字是1.18。

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