Qatar won their second game in Group A 1-0 against Tajikistan, which means that they have already qualified for ⅛ finals as they have 6 points, 4 advantage with China.

Qatar showed a very good attack during this tournament, even Tayistkitan who used a very defensive system with a solid defensive block, Qatar was resilient and gradually able to create space to attack. They are also yet to concede a goal, although both rivals so far (Tayikistan and Lebanon) have a very weak attack and lack quality.

Their best player Akram Afif scored again, making 3 goals in 2 goals. While his three goals have been important, I think his ability to get on the ball and create space in tight situations is even more crucial. He will be dangerous here because China needs to win this match so will take a risk. However, his participation in the game (at least as starter) is not confirmed yet.

As Qatar is already qualified as leaders in any case, they dont have any motivation for this fixture. So most probably will be rotations, resting their best players to avoid fatigue and injuries is a totally useless game for them. So players like Afif will surely start on the bench.

On the other hand, China needs to win this match. After two goalless draws against Tayikistan and Lebanon, they have only 1 point advantage. Although they are second in the group, they need a victory here to be certain of a place in ⅛ finals. A draw could be enough also but only in the case of seeing another draw in the other game (Tayikistan - Lebanon), which looks like a very improbable result.

In both games they were pretty unlucky, as they generated a lot of chances. Especially in the previous one against Lebanon, where missed a lot and lacked decisive quality in front of goal. They generated 1.40 expected goals. Against Tayikistan they also saw a goal disallowed by VAR and generated 1.39 expected goals.

Wu Lei is the most likely to capitalise on one of China’s opportunities, although Xie Pengfei also showed quality after coming on as a substitute against Lebanon.

China has to win here and will be much more motivated. However if they don’t score early I think they could grow impatient, so this game could also finish as a draw.

卡塔尔在A组的第二场比赛中以1比0战胜塔吉克斯坦，这意味着他们以6分4分的优势晋级了世界杯决赛。

卡塔尔队在本届比赛中表现出了非常出色的进攻，即使塔伊斯基坦采用了非常防守的防守体系，但卡塔尔队也很有弹性，并逐渐能够创造进攻空间。他们还没有失球，尽管两个对手(塔吉克斯坦和黎巴嫩)的进攻都很弱，缺乏实力。

他们最好的球员阿克拉姆·阿菲夫再次进球，两球进三球。虽然他的三个进球很重要，但我认为他在紧张的情况下拿球和创造空间的能力更为重要。他在这里会很危险，因为中国需要赢得这场比赛，所以他会冒险。然而，他是否会参加这场比赛(至少作为首发)还没有得到确认。

无论如何，卡塔尔已经获得了出线资格，他们没有任何动力参加这场比赛。所以最有可能的是轮换，让他们最好的球员休息以避免疲劳和受伤，对他们来说是一场完全无用的比赛。所以像阿菲夫这样的球员肯定会在板凳上首发。

另一方面，中国队需要赢得这场比赛。在两场0比0战平塔吉克斯坦和黎巴嫩之后，他们只领先1分。虽然他们在小组中排名第二，但他们需要在这里取得一场胜利才能确保进入决赛。一场平局也足够了，但前提是在另一场比赛中看到另一场平局(塔吉克斯坦对黎巴嫩)，这看起来是一个非常不可能的结果。

在这两场比赛中，他们都很不走运，因为他们创造了很多机会。特别是在上一场对阵黎巴嫩的比赛中，他们丢了很多球，而且在门前缺乏决定性的能力。他们产生了1.40个预期目标。在对阵塔吉克斯坦的比赛中，他们也有一个进球被VAR吹掉，并产生了1.39个预期进球。

武磊最有可能利用中国队的一个机会，尽管谢鹏飞在对阵黎巴嫩的比赛中替补出场，也展示了自己的实力。

中国必须在这里获胜，而且会更有动力。然而，如果他们不能尽早进球，我认为他们会变得不耐烦，所以这场比赛也可能以平局结束。