A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-01-21

Tapio

外籍分析师

法国杯

01/22 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Clermont VS Strasbourg


Clermont welcome Strasbourg for this Coupe de France (French Cup) 1/16-finals battle at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand early Monday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the Ligue 1 which is the 5th-best league in Europe. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of good average level by this competition's standards. The hosts are playing a very poor season so far. I have, as a result, significantly lowered their power rating. At the moment, they are in 16th place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. A total of 18 clubs play in Ligue 1. I expect to see Clermont fighting hard to avoid relegation to Ligue 2 for last season. This must be their main focus this season.. However, both managers doing some squad rotation would not be a surprise here. However, Strasbourg have a deeper squad than the hosts.. Strasbourg currently occupy the 10th place in this rating. Yes, Clermont do have (some) potential for improvement as the season progresses but the bookies give this potential way too much emphasis. They have taken a pathetic 14 points in the Ligue 1 and are in 17th place. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is only marginally higher. Moreover, their score difference is abysmal – 13:27 to be precise. The 13 goals scored is clearly the lowest number in this league! Their offense has lacked basically everything – speed, creativity, individual skill and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their defence is poorly structured and silly mistakes have been surprisingly common.

Rather weirdly, the biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers see Clermont as favourites – offering them odds of around 2.60 to win during the 90 minutes of play. I strongly disagree. The visitors have an edge over Clermont in all areas of the game. They have a 41% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of football. We will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap. Strasbourg are playing a strong season and are in 9th place in the league table. They have taken a fine 24 points and have been only slightly lucky in terms of xPTS. Their score difference is 19:23. Their offense does lack some individual skill - and at times creativity too – but their number of xG is still 24.02. The visitors have been in great form recently – avoiding a defeat in six of their last games. Moreover, they have won four of these six matches. In their last game they played well away from home against a strong team, Marseille. Strasbourg were big underdogs in this game priced around 6.00 to win on the betting market. Even so, they had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (18-8), shots on goal, shots off target and dangerous attacks. Both teams had 103 attacks. It was a 1-1 draw. Before this they crushed Avoine 4-0 away from home in a Coupe de France battle. Clermont have won only two of their last eight matches. In their most recent game they did, however, take a lucky win away from home over Nantes 2-1. However, Nantes had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (20-15), shots on goal (0-6), attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG – 1.97-0.97. Nantes's B. Traore received a red card in the 73rd minute which heavily affected the game.. I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Claremont squad has an estimated total market value of only about 26 million euros. This is a very small number by the Ligue 1 standards! The Strasbourg players, on the other hand, are valued at a total of about 124 million which is more or less correct! That's a huge difference!



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克莱蒙VS斯特拉斯堡


北京时间周一凌晨,克莱蒙欢迎斯特拉斯堡参加法国杯1/16决赛,比赛将在克莱蒙费朗的蒙皮德球场举行。两支球队都参加了法甲联赛,这是欧洲排名第五的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准衡量的平均水平不错的比赛。到目前为止,主队这个赛季打得很糟糕。因此,我大大降低了它们的功率等级。目前,他们在我的能量评级中排名第16位。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹级别——不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。法甲共有18家俱乐部。我希望克莱蒙能在上个赛季努力避免降级到法甲。这一定是他们本赛季的主要焦点。然而,两位主帅都在轮换阵容,这并不令人意外。然而,斯特拉斯堡的阵容比东道主更有深度。斯特拉斯堡目前在该排名中排名第十。是的,随着赛季的进展,克莱蒙确实有(一些)提升的潜力,但博彩公司过于强调这种潜力了。他们在法甲只拿到可怜的14分,排在第17位。他们的期望值(xPTS)只稍微高一些。此外,他们的得分差距非常大——准确地说是13:27。13个进球显然是这个联赛中最少的!他们的进攻基本上缺乏一切——速度、创造力、个人技术和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的防守结构很差,愚蠢的错误出奇地普遍。

相当奇怪的是,那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为克莱蒙是最受欢迎的——在90分钟的比赛中,他们给他们提供了大约2.60的赔率。我强烈反对。客队在比赛的各个方面都比克莱蒙队有优势。在90分钟的比赛中,他们有41%的机会获胜。我们将以+0.5个进球的门槛参加比赛。斯特拉斯堡本赛季表现强劲,在联赛中排名第九。他们已经拿到了整整24分,只是在积分方面运气稍微好一点。他们的比分差是19:23。他们的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技巧——有时也缺乏创造力——但他们的xG数仍然是24.02。客队最近状态很好,在最近的六场比赛中避免了失败。此外,他们赢了这六场比赛中的四场。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场对阵强队马赛时踢得很好。斯特拉斯堡在这场比赛中处于劣势,在博彩市场上的获胜价格约为6.00。尽管如此,他们有53%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(18-8次)、射正、射偏和危险进攻。两队都有103次进攻。双方1比1战平。在此之前,他们在法国杯比赛中客场4-0击败了阿沃恩。克莱蒙在过去的八场比赛中只赢了两场。然而,在最近的一场比赛中,他们却幸运地在客场2-1战胜了南特。然而,南特拥有52%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(20胜15负)、射门次数(0胜6负)、进攻和危险进攻。它们在xG - 1.97-0.97中也产生了更多。南特的B.特拉奥雷在第73分钟吃了一张红牌,严重影响了比赛。我还想提一下,根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,克莱蒙特队的总市值估计只有2600万欧元左右。以法甲的标准来看,这是一个非常小的数字!另一方面,斯特拉斯堡球员的总身价约为1.24亿英镑,这或多或少是正确的!这是一个巨大的差异!

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