A FINE match to bet on! $$$
2024-01-21

Tapio

外籍分析师

西乙

01/21 23:15

已完赛

解读理由:

Mirandes VS Levante


Mirandes and Levante lock horns in this LaLiga2 round 23 battle at Estadio Municipal de Anduva in Miranda de Ebro late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Spanish football. The level of this league is very high by European standards – for a second tier I mean. The players are full time professional footballers and some are even paid pretty well. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards. The hosts are in 16th place in my power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class – excluding motivation factors and the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding match schedule. Blackpool currently occupy the 4th place in this rating. The hosts, on the other hand, are in 17th place. Levante currently occupy the 6th place in the standings but have been somewhat unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, they would have deserved only around 36 or 37 points. They have netted the ball a fine 30 times - However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 32.33. They do have quite a lot of firepower for this level. They have many skilled, fast and creative offensive players. In this area of the game they, however, have a pretty narrow edge over Mirandes who have scored 29 goals. The hosts' number of xG is 27.56. They have conceded 28 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 31.98. Levante have conceded 28 goals and their number of xGA is 24.12. I also want to mention that last season the visitors finished in 3rd place. Mirandes ended up only in 16th place.

Let's not forget that Levante played in LaLiga for many seasons and were relegated to the LaLiga2 for last season. They are a much bigger club than Mirandes in terms of overall financial resources. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, The Levante squad has an estimated total market value of about 26 million euros. This is a little too low. Mirandes's players, on the other hand, are valued at only about 16 million which is more or less correct. The hosts have not been in good form at all recently. Indeed, they have won only one of their last six games. In their last match they faced Alcorcon away from home and no goals were scored. The hosts recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in xG – 0.91-0.45 to be precise. Even so, the bookies see them as favourites here- offering them odds of only about 2.55 to take all three points. I disagree – Levante deserve to be solid favourites and we will take them with the +0.5 goals handicap. Levante have played well recently – losing just once in their last six games!



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米兰达VS莱万特


北京时间周日晚,米兰德斯和莱万特在米兰德埃布罗的市政体育场进行了第23轮比赛。这是西班牙足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是非常高的——我的意思是,对于一个二线球队来说。这些球员都是全职的职业足球运动员,有些人甚至拿着相当高的薪水。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。主持人在我的能量评级中排名第16位。这一评级反映了球队的纯粹级别——不包括动机因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。布莱克浦目前在这一排名中排名第四。而东道主则排在第17位。莱万特目前在积分榜上排名第六,但在期望积分(xPTS)方面有些不走运。事实上,他们只配得36或37分。他们有30次进球,但是他们的预期进球数(xG)是32.33。对于这个级别,他们确实有相当多的火力。他们有很多技术娴熟、速度快、有创造力的进攻球员。然而,在这方面,他们与打进29球的米兰斯的差距很小。xG的主机号是27.56。他们已经丢了28个球,他们的预期失球(xGA)是31.98个。莱万特已经丢了28个球,他们的射门数是24.12个。我还想提一下,上赛季客队获得了第三名。米尔南德斯最终只排在第16位。

让我们不要忘记莱万特在西甲踢了很多赛季,上赛季被降级到西甲。就整体财政资源而言,他们是一家比米兰大得多的俱乐部。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,莱万特队的总市值约为2600万欧元。这有点太低了。另一方面,米兰斯的球员的价值只有1600万欧元左右,这或多或少是正确的。东道主最近状态不佳。事实上,他们在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场面对奥尔科康,没有进球。东道主的进球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。他们在xG - 0.91-0.45中也产生了更多。即便如此,博彩公司还是认为他们是最受欢迎的球队——给他们提供的赔率只有2.55左右,他们可以拿到全部三分。我不同意,莱万特应该是最受欢迎的,我们将以+0.5个进球的劣势拿下他们。莱万特最近打得很好,在过去的六场比赛中只输了一场!

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