Completely wrong odds in Championship
2021-05-04

Przem

外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Luton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I completely don't agree with these odds. Without any shadow of doubt Luton should be a favorite here. Market overreacting for Rotherham motivation here. Rotherham is in relegation zone and have to win this match to have chances to avoid relegation, but Luton as well looking for good result here. They have chance to achieve the biggest number of points and highest position in table at this level in club history. Manager Nathan Jones said: "It’s not like we want to do anyone any favours, we are concentrating solely on getting three points and I want to get three pints, because that will cement us in a top half finish. If that's (points tally) the stat then I want us to beat that, I want us to finish higher than that team did and anything on Tuesday will mean that. All we’ve always wanted to do is progress and get better.''

First match of the season between both teams finished with Luton 1:0 away win.

Luton is in much better form, they went unbeaten in last 5 matches in a row. Team is full of confidence. On the other hand Rotherham didn't recorded a single win in last 6 matches (5 losses in the process).

Luton is very solid home team - they didn't lost in 16 of 22 home matches (expected goals scored 30.15, expected goals conceded 25.04). Rotherham didn't won in 15 of 21 away matches so far (expected goals scored 25.05, expected goals conceded 32.79). Difference is really visible.

Incorrect odds and really strong value on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,卢顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

我完全不同意这种可能性。毫无疑问,卢顿应该是这里的宠儿。市场对罗瑟勒姆的动机反应过度。罗瑟勒姆正处于保级区,必须赢得这场比赛才能有机会保级,但是卢顿也在期待一个好的结果。他们有机会获得俱乐部历史上最高的积分和最高的积分榜名次。主教练内森-琼斯说:“我们不想给任何人任何好处,我们只专注于拿下三分,我想拿下三品脱,因为这将巩固我们在上半赛的地位。”如果这是积分数据,那么我希望我们能打败它,我希望我们能比那支球队做得更好,周二的任何事情都意味着这一点。我们一直想做的就是进步,变得更好。”

本赛季两队之间的第一场比赛以卢顿1:0客场获胜结束。

卢顿现在状态好多了,他们在近5场比赛中保持不败。团队充满信心。另一方面,罗瑟勒姆在过去的6场比赛中没有一场胜利(5场失利)。

卢顿是一支非常稳固的主队——他们在22场主场比赛中有16场没有输(预期进球30.15,预期失球25.04)。到目前为止,罗瑟勒姆在21场客场比赛中有15场没有赢球(预期进球25.05,预期失球32.79)。差异是显而易见的。

不正确的赔率和主场的强势。

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